Long Trade on AAVE (PavLongMomentum4h)
With 1.26 AAVE at 140.14$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 135.3678 (3.41 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 01:30:24
hyperliquid
AAVE
LONG
PavLongMomentum4h
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 01:30
→ 12:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 140.14$
Qty 1.2638 AAVE
Size 177.1122$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 177.11$
SL 135.3678 (-3.41%)
SL $ 6.03$
RR
Status
loss
PnL
-3.41%
/ -6.03$
MAE -2.90%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 239000)
#1 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 01:00
score du 01/11/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8919
Quality Score
0.855
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.46×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.00×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.77×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie PavLongMomentum4h. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
14.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 01:15
01/11 01:15
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/11 01:00 Score : -1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7505
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
85.2%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
▲+0.204
Δ 1h
▲+0.278
Δ 4h
▲+0.126
Δ 12h
▲+0.106
Δ 24h
▲+0.623
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 80.6% |
| 1h | 91.7% |
| 4h | 86.1% |
| 24h | 72.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 63.9% | +0.14% |
| 4h | 86.1% | +0.67% |
| 24h | 55.6% | +0.99% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
13.9%
Down ≥1σ
2.8%
Expansion
16.7%
Tail ↑
+0.59
Tail ↓
+0.67
Dispersion :
0.115
Universe :
36
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 01:16
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3910
Score SMA
0.3326
Rank
#21
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6429
Rank Norm SMA
0.4502
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2987 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.58% · r3d: -0.40% · ema21_slope: -0.9373% · dist_ema21: -6.498% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5275 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.33% · rs_3d: 4.26% · beta_24h: 2.091 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3386 | rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: -0.346 · trend: 8.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6783 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 42.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.527% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.8548
Score SMA
0.5264
Rank
#1
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8919
Rank Norm SMA
0.5189
Calculé le
01/11/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7489 | r1h: 0.411% · r4h: 3.704% · r1d: 6.99% · r3d: 6.35% · ema21_slope: 0.1647% · dist_ema21: 3.443% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7374 | rs_1h: 0.279% · rs_4h: 3.455% · rs_1d: 6.14% · rs_3d: 9.25% · beta_24h: 1.533 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.45× · zscore_50: 5.422 · trend: 133.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7873 | ADX: 37.6 (trend) · Chop: 41.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.263% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5928
Score SMA
0.4591
Rank
#6
/ 56
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8206
Rank Norm SMA
0.3887
Calculé le
01/11/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5584 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.182% · r1d: 6.33% · r3d: 6.25% · ema21_slope: -0.0168% · dist_ema21: 4.380% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7252 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.883% · rs_1d: 5.49% · rs_3d: 8.85% · beta_24h: 2.488 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2414 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.007 · trend: -26.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6383 | ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 36.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.908% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.405%
(4.7722)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.456% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.119% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.897% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.897% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.860% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.252% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -11.653% | 3.4R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -12.102% | 3.6R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 20 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
30%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.94 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -2.0ATR | 0.70 | bear_high | -3.45% | +0.48 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.74 | bear_low | -0.80% | +0.46 | 01/11 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.59 | range_low | +0.48% | +0.37 | 01/11 01:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#474993
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.642 | normal | range_high |
30%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 29b -1.0ATR | — | — | 1.02 | 57% | ↔ +0.00 | above_value | +1.00 | — | #224489 | 0.69 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.94 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#476149
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.660 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 12b 1.2ATR | — | near -2.0ATR | 0.56 | 64% | ↓ -0.24 | above_value | +1.64 | — | #224990 | 0.70 | bear_high | -3.45% | +0.48 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 00:12
|
|
1h
anchor #476762
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.627 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 8b 3.1ATR | — | — | 5.45 | 98% | ↔ +0.10 | above_value | +4.01 | — | #225262 | 0.74 | bear_low | -0.80% | +0.46 |
01/11 01:00
upd 01/11 01:09
|
|
15m
#476820
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.526 | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 3b 2.0ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.34 | 75% | ↑ +0.55 | above_value | +4.01 | — | #225262 | 0.59 | range_low | +0.48% | +0.37 |
01/11 01:00
upd 01/11 01:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 29b | — | 5.387×ATR | p70 | -0.987×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 5.664×ATR | p85 | +1.234×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.594×ATR | p65 | +3.085×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 1.317×ATR | p0 | +2.049×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
PavLongMomentum4h - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 1
- reason: breakout
- stop_price: 133.81
- tp_price:
- atr:
- score: 1
- exit_rules: [{"type":"trailing_ma","params":{"period":9,"timeframe":"4h","on":"Close"}},{"type":"time_expiry","params":{"max_bars":20,"timeframe":"4h"}}]
- confidence_pre_ob: 1
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0655
- obi_top10 : 0.0315
- micro_price : 139.15166667
- spread_pct : 0.014373
- mid_price : 139.16
- bid_wall_price : 138
- bid_wall_size : 7856.94
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 140
- ask_wall_size : 5753.9
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0665
- obi_top5_std : 0.0044
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7073
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : pav_long_momentum
- timeframe : 4h
- breakout_period : 42
- ma_exit_period : 9
- breakout_high : 138.88
- breakout_high_time : 2026-10-25T16:00:00
- ma_exit_at_entry : 133.81
- entry_price : 140.14 ¸
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:30 | 140.14000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:56 | 140.14000000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7073ms
Confidence avant OB :
100%
→
100%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.066
avg 0.067
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.032
Microstructure
Mid Price
139.1600
Micro Price
139.1517
Spread
0.0144%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
138.0000
Size
7,856.94
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
140.0000
Size
5,753.90
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140.14 | 135.3678 | 132.69 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 140.14
- Stop Loss: 135.3678
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 135.3678 - 140.14 = -4.7722
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 140.14 - = 140.14
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 140.14 / -4.7722 = -29.3659
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177.1122 | 100 | 1.2638 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -4.7722
Taille de position = 8 / -4.7722 = -1.68
Taille de position USD = -1.68 x 140.14 = -235.44
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.68 avec un stoploss a 135.3678
Avec un position size USD de -235.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.68 x -4.7722 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.68 x 140.14 = -235.44
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -235.44$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.68
- Taille de position USD -235.44
- Perte potentielle 8.02
- Gain potentiel -235.44
- Risk-Reward Ratio -29.3659
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 177.11 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.41 % | 6.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.03 $ | -3.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4109 % | 100.16 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140.14 | 135.3678 | 132.69 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 140.14
- Stop Loss: 135.3678
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 135.3678 - 140.14 = -4.7722
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 140.14 - = 140.14
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 140.14 / -4.7722 = -29.3659
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 140.14
[stop_loss] => 134.89058
[rr_ratio] => 26.7
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 06:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 140.14
[stop_loss] => 134.41336
[rr_ratio] => 24.47
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 06:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 140.14
[stop_loss] => 133.93614
[rr_ratio] => 22.59
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 06:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] =>
[entry_price] => 140.14
[stop_loss] => 132.9817
[rr_ratio] => 19.58
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-01 06:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: PavLongMomentum4h (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.405%
(4.7722)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.456% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.119% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.897% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.897% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.860% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.252% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -11.653% | 3.4R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -12.102% | 3.6R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 20 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.