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Long Trade on MORPHO

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01 Nov 2026 at 04:15:12 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MORPHO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 91.8 MORPHO at 2.341$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3999 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2543 (3.72 %)

MORPHO LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 04:15 → 10:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 2.3414$

Qty 91.8008 MORPHO

Size 214.9425$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 2.3999 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.37$

SL 2.2543 (-3.72%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.67

Status loss PnL -3.27% / -7.02$ MAE -3.29% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 01 Nov 10:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 239231)
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9178

Quality Score
0.634
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.72 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.45×ATR
4h clear 2.18×ATR
1d clear 1.05×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
expanding
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.39
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 04:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/11 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/11 03:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7516
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 67.7%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.076
Δ 4h
▲+0.158
Δ 12h
▲+0.217
Δ 24h
▲+0.383

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 35.3%
1h 79.4%
4h 79.4%
24h 79.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 35.3% -0.03%
4h 50.0% +0.39%
24h 64.7% +1.36%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.9%
Tail ↑
+0.42
Tail ↓
+0.50
Dispersion : 0.056
Universe : 34 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 04:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5169
Score SMA
0.3399
Rank
#8 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8750
Rank Norm SMA
0.4387
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4671 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 13.88% · r3d: 5.34% · ema21_slope: -0.6361% · dist_ema21: 3.584%
Force Relative 25% 0.8064 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 13.62% · rs_3d: 10.00% · beta_24h: 1.414
Volume 20% 0.4789 rvol_20: 1.51× · zscore_50: 0.313 · trend: 22.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5290 ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.273% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6336
Score SMA
0.5555
Rank
#3 / 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9178
Rank Norm SMA
0.6204
Calculé le
01/11/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7542 r1h: 1.203% · r4h: 0.529% · r1d: 10.35% · r3d: 6.68% · ema21_slope: 0.2397% · dist_ema21: 1.503%
Force Relative 25% 0.7223 rs_1h: 0.820% · rs_4h: -0.042% · rs_1d: 9.16% · rs_3d: 8.94% · beta_24h: 0.431
Volume 20% 0.3816 rvol_20: 1.09× · zscore_50: 0.648 · trend: -16.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6859 ADX: 43.2 (trend) · Chop: 59.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.576% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.6139
Score SMA
0.5188
Rank
#4 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9433
Rank Norm SMA
0.6185
Calculé le
01/11/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5722 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.056% · r1d: 9.10% · r3d: 6.34% · ema21_slope: 0.1826% · dist_ema21: 4.638%
Force Relative 25% 0.7588 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.156% · rs_1d: 8.30% · rs_3d: 8.71% · beta_24h: 1.248
Volume 20% 0.2672 rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.349 · trend: 17.82%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7104 ADX: 25.3 (trend) · Chop: 29.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9253 ATR%: 3.224% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.720% (0.0871)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.990% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.990% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -2.793% 0.8R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.293% 0.9R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -3.293% 0.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -4.963% 1.3R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -5.736% 1.5R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -10.165% 2.7R 0.0× 576

computed 14 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 40% early near 0.3ATR — 0.50 range_high -0.31% +0.39 30/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% late — — 0.52 bear_high -3.18% +0.60 01/11 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 42% early — near 0.4ATR 0.53 range_low -0.33% +0.45 01/11 03:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_medium
58%
noisy_chop 39% early — near -1.5ATR 0.37 range_low +0.72% +0.05 01/11 03:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475042
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.635 normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 40% early 1b 0.5ATR near 0.3ATR — 1.51 82% ↑ +0.15 above_value +4.87 — #224513 0.50 range_high -0.31% +0.39
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:22
4h
#477380
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.563 volatile_reversal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% late 13b 1.2ATR — — 0.39 48% ↔ -0.06 above_value +3.82 — #225494 0.52 bear_high -3.18% +0.60
01/11 00:00
upd 01/11 03:14
1h anchor
#477666
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.740 normal bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 42% early 15b 1.0ATR — near 0.4ATR 1.09 89% ↓ -0.65 above_value +4.37 — #225650 0.53 range_low -0.33% +0.45
01/11 03:00
upd 01/11 04:09
15m
#477613
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.575 compression bull_medium
58%
noisy_chop 39% early 2b 0.9ATR — near -1.5ATR 3.60 90% ↑ +0.40 above_value +3.82 — #225494 0.37 range_low +0.72% +0.05
01/11 03:45
upd 01/11 04:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 1b — 2.37×ATR p5 +0.503×ATR p36
4h ↑ up late 13b — 4.675×ATR p81 +1.215×ATR p67
1h ↓ down early 15b — 2.399×ATR p45 +1.033×ATR p44
15m ↑ up early 2b — 2.327×ATR p26 +0.923×ATR p48

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.25425482
  2. tp_price: 2.399935
  3. atr: 0.03485807
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T15:15:12+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 54
  3. score: 0.7356
  4. delta_2h: 0.0926
  5. extension_atr: 0.89
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9127
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.3414 2.2543 2.3999 0.67 2.2093
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.3414
  • Stop Loss: 2.2543
  • Take Profit: 2.3999

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2543 - 2.3414 = -0.0871

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.3414 - 2.3999 = -0.0585

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0585 / -0.0871 = 0.6716

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
214.9425 100 91.8008 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0871

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0871 = -91.85

Taille de position USD = -91.85 x 2.3414 = -215.06

Donc, tu peux acheter -91.85 avec un stoploss a 2.2543

Avec un position size USD de -215.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -91.85 x -0.0871 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -91.85 x -0.0585 = 5.37

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.37$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -91.85
  • Taille de position USD -215.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.37
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6716

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.37 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.72 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-7.02 $ -3.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.2929 % 88.52 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.3414 2.2543 2.3999 0.67 2.2093
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.3414
  • Stop Loss: 2.2543
  • Take Profit: 2.3999

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.2543 - 2.3414 = -0.0871

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.3414 - 2.3999 = -0.0585

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0585 / -0.0871 = 0.6716

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.720% (0.0871)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.990% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.990% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -2.793% 0.8R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.293% 0.9R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -3.293% 0.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -4.963% 1.3R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -5.736% 1.5R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -10.165% 2.7R 0.0× 576

computed 14 minutes ago

Commentaires

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