01 Nov 2026 at 05:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 47.76 LIT at 3.262$ per unit. Take profit: 3.3431 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.0941 (5.14 %)

LIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 05:15 → 11:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.2616$

Qty 47.7636 LIT

Size 155.7858$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.3431 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.89$

SL 3.0941 (-5.14%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.49

Status loss PnL -0.74% / -1.15$ MAE -2.07% MFE +2.03% 0.4R expires 01 Nov 11:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 239290)
#2 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9646

Quality Score
0.678
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.38×ATR
4h near 0.21×ATR
1d clear 1.64×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.32
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
37.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 05:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

01/11 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/11 04:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7520
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 30.5%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.009
Δ 1h
▼-0.372
Δ 4h
▼-0.343
Δ 12h
▼-0.245
Δ 24h
▼-0.181

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 71.4%
1h 8.6%
4h 22.9%
24h 71.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 71.4% +0.06%
4h 22.9% -0.32%
24h 54.3% +1.04%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.9%
Down ≥1σ
2.9%
Expansion
5.7%
Tail ↑
+0.38
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion : 0.081
Universe : 35 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 05:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4327
Score SMA
0.2778
Rank
#17 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7143
Rank Norm SMA
0.2236
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3634 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 13.76% · r3d: 7.31% · ema21_slope: -0.9015% · dist_ema21: -2.116%
Force Relative 25% 0.7003 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 13.50% · rs_3d: 11.97% · beta_24h: 2.644
Volume 20% 0.3410 rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: -0.309 · trend: 3.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5361 ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.755% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.6776
Score SMA
0.5023
Rank
#2 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9646
Rank Norm SMA
0.3520
Calculé le
01/11/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8546 r1h: 3.008% · r4h: 1.880% · r1d: 19.97% · r3d: 11.52% · ema21_slope: 0.5076% · dist_ema21: 5.303%
Force Relative 25% 0.9011 rs_1h: 3.173% · rs_4h: 1.606% · rs_1d: 19.10% · rs_3d: 14.12% · beta_24h: -2.012
Volume 20% 0.6514 rvol_20: 1.87× · zscore_50: 2.099 · trend: 18.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6396 ADX: 37.6 (trend) · Chop: 59.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.113% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.4950
Score SMA
0.4038
Rank
#18 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7515
Rank Norm SMA
0.2142
Calculé le
01/11/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4830 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.456% · r1d: 15.50% · r3d: 11.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0744% · dist_ema21: 6.077%
Force Relative 25% 0.7240 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.669% · rs_1d: 14.70% · rs_3d: 13.42% · beta_24h: 3.701
Volume 20% 0.2296 rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.384 · trend: -8.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5490 ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.4083 ATR%: 4.775% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.136% (0.1675)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.055% 0.2R -1.009% 0.2R 1.1× 12
2h +1.085% 0.2R -1.009% 0.2R 1.1× 24
4h +2.027% 0.4R -2.073% 0.4R 1.0× 48
6h ★ +2.027% 0.4R -2.073% 0.4R 1.0× 72
8h +2.027% 0.4R -2.073% 0.4R 1.0× 96
12h +2.027% 0.4R -4.587% 0.9R 0.4× 144
24h +2.027% 0.4R -5.133% 1.0R 0.4× 288
48h +2.027% 0.4R -7.886% 1.5R 0.3× 576
⏱ MFE in 194 min MAE in 1279 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 48 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.41
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.42 range_high -0.31% -0.83 30/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion range_high
44%
noisy_chop 41% mid — near 0.2ATR 0.50 bear_high -3.18% +0.80 01/11 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 49% late — near 0.4ATR 0.44 range_low -0.49% +0.93 01/11 04:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.29 range_low +0.53% +0.13 01/11 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475062
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.375 normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 38% early 10b -0.2ATR — — 1.06 61% ↔ +0.08 value +1.10 — #224523 0.42 range_high -0.31% -0.83
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:23
4h
#477398
↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.464 expansion range_high
44%
noisy_chop 41% mid 5b 1.2ATR — near 0.2ATR 0.31 41% ↓ -0.49 above_value +0.14 — #225503 0.50 bear_high -3.18% +0.80
01/11 00:00
upd 01/11 03:14
1h anchor
#477937
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading 0.373 expansion_after_compression bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 49% late 2b 2.4ATR — near 0.4ATR 1.87 92% ↓ -0.45 value +1.43 — #225760 0.44 range_low -0.49% +0.93
01/11 04:00
upd 01/11 05:11
15m
#477886
↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.536 normal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 42% late 10b 2.1ATR — — 4.25 98% ↑ +0.82 above_value +0.66 — #225659 0.29 range_low +0.53% +0.13
01/11 04:45
upd 01/11 05:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 10b — 2.24×ATR p0 -0.185×ATR p11
4h ↑ up mid 5b — 3.022×ATR p46 +1.207×ATR p64
1h ↑ up late 2b — 2.094×ATR p34 +2.372×ATR p91
15m ↑ up late 10b — 4.136×ATR p82 +2.137×ATR p87

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.09410845
  2. tp_price: 3.34314
  3. atr: 0.06699662
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T16:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 53
  3. score: 0.8082
  4. delta_2h: 0.0484
  5. extension_atr: 2.47
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9621
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 05:15 3.26160000 0%
2 06:15 3.26550000 +0.12%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.2616 3.0941 3.3431 0.49 3.3387
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.2616
  • Stop Loss: 3.0941
  • Take Profit: 3.3431

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.0941 - 3.2616 = -0.1675

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.2616 - 3.3431 = -0.0815

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0815 / -0.1675 = 0.4866

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
155.7858 100 47.7636 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1675

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1675 = -47.76

Taille de position USD = -47.76 x 3.2616 = -155.77

Donc, tu peux acheter -47.76 avec un stoploss a 3.0941

Avec un position size USD de -155.77$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -47.76 x -0.1675 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -47.76 x -0.0815 = 3.89

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.89$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -47.76
  • Taille de position USD -155.77
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.89
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4866

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.89 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.15 $ -0.74
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0726 % 40.36 % 29
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.2616 3.0941 3.3431 0.49 3.3387
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.2616
  • Stop Loss: 3.0941
  • Take Profit: 3.3431

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.0941 - 3.2616 = -0.1675

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.2616 - 3.3431 = -0.0815

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0815 / -0.1675 = 0.4866

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.136% (0.1675)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.055% 0.2R -1.009% 0.2R 1.1× 12
2h +1.085% 0.2R -1.009% 0.2R 1.1× 24
4h +2.027% 0.4R -2.073% 0.4R 1.0× 48
6h ★ +2.027% 0.4R -2.073% 0.4R 1.0× 72
8h +2.027% 0.4R -2.073% 0.4R 1.0× 96
12h +2.027% 0.4R -4.587% 0.9R 0.4× 144
24h +2.027% 0.4R -5.133% 1.0R 0.4× 288
48h +2.027% 0.4R -7.886% 1.5R 0.3× 576
⏱ MFE in 194 min MAE in 1279 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 48 minutes ago

Commentaires

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