Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1881.85 NIL at 0.0733$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07151 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0776 (5.81 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 05:15:07
hyperliquid
NIL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 05:15
→ 07:05
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.07334$
Qty 1881.8526 NIL
Size 138.0226$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07151 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.44$
SL 0.0776 (-5.81%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.43
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.44$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +4.04%
0.7R
expires
01 Nov 11:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 239283)
#51 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 05:00
score du 01/11/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2646
Quality Score
0.378
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#51 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#51 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.72×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.60×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.66×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.32
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 05:02
01/11 05:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/11 04:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7520
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
30.5%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.009
Δ 1h
▼-0.372
Δ 4h
▼-0.343
Δ 12h
▼-0.245
Δ 24h
▼-0.181
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 71.4% |
| 1h | 8.6% |
| 4h | 22.9% |
| 24h | 71.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 71.4% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 22.9% | -0.32% |
| 24h | 54.3% | +1.04% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.9%
Down ≥1σ
2.9%
Expansion
5.7%
Tail ↑
+0.38
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion :
0.081
Universe :
35
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 05:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3343
Score SMA
0.4436
Rank
#35
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3929
Rank Norm SMA
0.7422
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2626 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.58% · r3d: -7.24% · ema21_slope: -0.2035% · dist_ema21: -11.460% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2510 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -9.83% · rs_3d: -2.59% · beta_24h: 1.218 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3887 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.013 · trend: -5.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7671 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 19.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3779
Score SMA
0.4918
Rank
#51
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2646
Rank Norm SMA
0.4334
Calculé le
01/11/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3363 | r1h: -2.615% · r4h: -1.285% · r1d: -4.05% · r3d: -1.59% · ema21_slope: -0.0299% · dist_ema21: -1.184% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3125 | rs_1h: -2.450% · rs_4h: -1.559% · rs_1d: -4.91% · rs_3d: 1.01% · beta_24h: 2.737 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1755 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.368 · trend: -54.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3828 | ADX: 13.2 (weak) · Chop: 66.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.440% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3693
Score SMA
0.4284
Rank
#49
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0476
Rank Norm SMA
0.3619
Calculé le
01/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3904 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.022% · r1d: 7.13% · r3d: 2.02% · ema21_slope: -0.3317% · dist_ema21: -3.429% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5374 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.234% · rs_1d: 6.33% · rs_3d: 4.39% · beta_24h: 1.341 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2026 | rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.380 · trend: -36.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5155 | ADX: 17.5 (weak) · Chop: 54.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.664% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.809%
(0.0043)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.904% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.953% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +3.105% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.042% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +4.553% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +6.700% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +11.610% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +13.485% | 2.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 1429 min
MAE in min
computed 7 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.29 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.94 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.18 | bear_high | -3.18% | -0.22 | 01/11 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.28 | range_low | -0.49% | -0.23 | 01/11 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.02 | range_low | +0.53% | -0.14 | 01/11 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475046
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.530 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 4b -0.7ATR | near -1.7ATR | — | 1.30 | 89% | ↔ -0.10 | above_value | -0.50 | — | #224515 | 0.29 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.94 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#477384
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.396 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 10b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.57 | 35% | ↔ +0.03 | above_value | -0.23 | — | #225496 | 0.18 | bear_high | -3.18% | -0.22 |
01/11 00:00
upd 01/11 03:14
|
|
1h
anchor #477930
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.564 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 8b -0.6ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.45 | 13% | ↑ +0.33 | above_value | -0.33 | — | #225753 | 0.28 | range_low | -0.49% | -0.23 |
01/11 04:00
upd 01/11 05:10
|
|
15m
#477879
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.587 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 3b -0.8ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.07 | 2% | ↓ -0.47 | above_value | +0.08 | — | #225652 | 0.02 | range_low | +0.53% | -0.14 |
01/11 04:45
upd 01/11 05:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 4.327×ATR | p46 | -0.682×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.71×ATR | p3 | -0.526×ATR | p30 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.585×ATR | p6 | -0.586×ATR | p34 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.911×ATR | p50 | -0.838×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.07759513
- tp_price: 0.0715104
- atr: 0.00170045
- expires_at: 2026-11-01T16:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 51
- total: 53
- score: 0.3427
- delta_2h: -0.1591
- extension_atr: -0.18
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2646
- confidence: 0.962
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07334 | 0.0776 | 0.07151 | 0.43 | 0.06347 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07334
- Stop Loss: 0.0776
- Take Profit: 0.07151
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0776 - 0.07334 = 0.00426
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07334 - 0.07151 = 0.00183
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00183 / 0.00426 = 0.4296
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 138.0226 | 100 | 1881.8526 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00426
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00426 = 1877.93
Taille de position USD = 1877.93 x 0.07334 = 137.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 1877.93 avec un stoploss a 0.0776
Avec un position size USD de 137.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1877.93 x 0.00426 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1877.93 x 0.00183 = 3.44
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.44$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1877.93
- Taille de position USD 137.73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.44
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4296
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.44 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.81 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.44 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07334 | 0.0776 | 0.07151 | 0.43 | 0.06347 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.07334
- Stop Loss: 0.0776
- Take Profit: 0.07151
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0776 - 0.07334 = 0.00426
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07334 - 0.07151 = 0.00183
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00183 / 0.00426 = 0.4296
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.809%
(0.0043)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.904% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.953% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +3.105% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.042% | 0.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +4.553% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +6.700% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +11.610% | 2.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +13.485% | 2.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 1429 min
MAE in min
computed 7 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.