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Long Trade on PONS

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01 Nov 2026 at 07:15:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_score)

With 624.78 PONS at 0.243$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2303 (5.27 %)

PONS LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 07:15 → 10:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2431$

Qty 624.7774 PONS

Size 151.8584$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 151.88$

SL 0.2303 (-5.27%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.18% / -1.79$ MAE -1.86% MFE +0.61% 0.1R expires 01 Nov 10:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 239396)
#5 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7749

Quality Score
0.595
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 6.63×ATR
4h clear 3.08×ATR
1d clear 14.74×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.05
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 07:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

01/11 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/11 05:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7528
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 52.4%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.019
Δ 4h
▼-0.076
Δ 12h
→+0.006
Δ 24h
▲+0.074

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 40.0%
1h 51.4%
4h 48.6%
24h 77.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 22.9% -0.01%
4h 45.7% -0.05%
24h 71.4% +0.91%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.9%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.9%
Tail ↑
+0.58
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion : 0.058
Universe : 35 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 07:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1855
Score SMA
0.2650
Rank
#56 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0179
Rank Norm SMA
0.2033
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1291 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.84% · r3d: -19.93% · ema21_slope: -1.9078% · dist_ema21: -19.453%
Force Relative 25% 0.2582 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.09% · rs_3d: -15.28% · beta_24h: 4.034
Volume 20% 0.1366 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.976 · trend: -65.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3657 ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 80.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 20.002% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.5948
Score SMA
0.5392
Rank
#5 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7749
Rank Norm SMA
0.5218
Calculé le
01/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6299 r1h: -0.216% · r4h: 2.508% · r1d: 7.73% · r3d: -10.48% · ema21_slope: 0.2866% · dist_ema21: 3.101%
Force Relative 25% 0.5730 rs_1h: -0.131% · rs_4h: 2.495% · rs_1d: 7.27% · rs_3d: -7.73% · beta_24h: 4.575
Volume 20% 0.2733 rvol_20: 1.09× · zscore_50: -0.468 · trend: -42.58%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7152 ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.894% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3974
Score SMA
0.4601
Rank
#38 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1136
Rank Norm SMA
0.3828
Calculé le
01/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3672 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.508% · r1d: 7.73% · r3d: -10.48% · ema21_slope: -0.5013% · dist_ema21: 1.281%
Force Relative 25% 0.6275 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.495% · rs_1d: 7.27% · rs_3d: -7.73% · beta_24h: 2.915
Volume 20% 0.1567 rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.649 · trend: -53.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3524 ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 75.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.4404 ATR%: 4.679% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.265% (0.0128)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.197% 0.0R -1.534% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.613% 0.1R -1.534% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.613% 0.1R -1.855% 0.4R 0.3× 36
4h +0.613% 0.1R -2.904% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.613% 0.1R -3.447% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +0.613% 0.1R -3.447% 0.7R 0.2× 144
24h +0.683% 0.1R -5.730% 1.1R 0.1× 288
48h +0.683% 0.1R -23.077% 4.4R 0.0× 576
⏱ MFE in 909 min MAE in 1309 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 22 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.44
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 41% — — — — range_high -0.31% -1.00 30/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.41 bear_high -3.18% -0.90 01/11 00:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.63 range_low -0.59% +0.64 01/11 05:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early — near -2.5ATR 0.49 range_low +0.28% +0.22 01/11 06:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475070
 ↔ — — — — — — bear_high
37%
noisy_chop 41% — — — 0.51 10% ↓ -0.50 value -1.89 inside #224527 — range_high -0.31% -1.00
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:24
4h
#477406
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.367 compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 40% early 13b -0.3ATR — — 0.40 11% ↓ -0.58 above_value +0.41 — #225507 0.41 bear_high -3.18% -0.90
01/11 00:00
upd 01/11 03:15
1h anchor
#478207
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.555 volatile_reversal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 41% mid 5b 1.8ATR — — 0.76 23% ↑ +0.33 value +1.24 — #225865 0.63 range_low -0.59% +0.64
01/11 05:00
upd 01/11 06:10
15m
#478421
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.475 normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early 6b 0.9ATR — near -2.5ATR 1.02 48% ↑ +0.27 value +1.24 — #225865 0.49 range_low +0.28% +0.22
01/11 06:45
upd 01/11 07:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
4h ↑ up early 13b — 1.863×ATR p0 -0.27×ATR p16
1h ↑ up mid 5b — 2.033×ATR p36 +1.776×ATR p77
15m ↓ down early 6b — 0.817×ATR p0 +0.895×ATR p54

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.23025544
  2. atr: 0.00426819
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-01T15:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 51
  3. score: 0.6644
  4. confidence: 0.96

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2431 0.2303 0.1985
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2431
  • Stop Loss: 0.2303
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2303 - 0.2431 = -0.0128

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2431 - = 0.2431

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2431 / -0.0128 = -18.9922

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
151.8584 100 624.7774 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0128

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0128 = -625

Taille de position USD = -625 x 0.2431 = -151.94

Donc, tu peux acheter -625 avec un stoploss a 0.2303

Avec un position size USD de -151.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -625 x -0.0128 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -625 x 0.2431 = -151.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -151.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -625
  • Taille de position USD -151.94
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -151.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -18.9922

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 151.88 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.79 $ -1.18
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8552 % 35.23 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2431 0.2303 0.1985
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2431
  • Stop Loss: 0.2303
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2303 - 0.2431 = -0.0128

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2431 - = 0.2431

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2431 / -0.0128 = -18.9922

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.2431
            [stop_loss] => 0.22902
            [rr_ratio] => 17.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.2431
            [stop_loss] => 0.22774
            [rr_ratio] => 15.83
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.2431
            [stop_loss] => 0.22646
            [rr_ratio] => 14.61
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.2431
            [stop_loss] => 0.2239
            [rr_ratio] => 12.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-01 12:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.265% (0.0128)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.197% 0.0R -1.534% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.613% 0.1R -1.534% 0.3R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.613% 0.1R -1.855% 0.4R 0.3× 36
4h +0.613% 0.1R -2.904% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.613% 0.1R -3.447% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +0.613% 0.1R -3.447% 0.7R 0.2× 144
24h +0.683% 0.1R -5.730% 1.1R 0.1× 288
48h +0.683% 0.1R -23.077% 4.4R 0.0× 576
⏱ MFE in 909 min MAE in 1309 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 22 minutes ago

Commentaires

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