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Short Trade on NIL

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01 Nov 2026 at 08:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2106.42 NIL at 0.0719$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07007 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07567 (5.29 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 08:15 → 13:15 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.07187$

Qty 2106.4217 NIL

Size 151.3864$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07007 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.79$

SL 0.07567 (-5.29%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.47

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.79$ MAE -0.16% MFE +4.54% 0.9R expires 01 Nov 14:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 239494)
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2086

Quality Score
0.383
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.51×ATR
4h near 0.25×ATR
1d near -1.66×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.05
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 08:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 03:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/11 07:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7532
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 22.9%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.295
Δ 4h
▼-0.448
Δ 12h
▼-0.486
Δ 24h
▼-0.461

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 65.7%
1h 5.7%
4h 5.7%
24h 54.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 65.7% +0.03%
4h 25.7% -1.05%
24h 42.9% +0.10%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
17.1%
Expansion
17.1%
Tail ↑
+0.35
Tail ↓
+0.57
Dispersion : 0.105
Universe : 35 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 08:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3343
Score SMA
0.4436
Rank
#35 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3929
Rank Norm SMA
0.7422
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2626 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.58% · r3d: -7.24% · ema21_slope: -0.2035% · dist_ema21: -11.460%
Force Relative 25% 0.2510 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -9.83% · rs_3d: -2.59% · beta_24h: 1.218
Volume 20% 0.3887 rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.013 · trend: -5.23%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7671 ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 19.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3826
Score SMA
0.4886
Rank
#53 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2086
Rank Norm SMA
0.4176
Calculé le
01/11/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3166 r1h: -0.084% · r4h: -4.170% · r1d: -3.24% · r3d: -1.55% · ema21_slope: -0.0555% · dist_ema21: -2.149%
Force Relative 25% 0.3861 rs_1h: 0.002% · rs_4h: -3.716% · rs_1d: -3.70% · rs_3d: 1.15% · beta_24h: 4.401
Volume 20% 0.1886 rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.333 · trend: -57.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3779 ADX: 11.9 (weak) · Chop: 65.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.252% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.2496
Score SMA
0.4216
Rank
#54 / 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0294
Rank Norm SMA
0.3403
Calculé le
01/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2148 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.403% · r1d: -2.50% · r3d: -1.24% · ema21_slope: -0.3634% · dist_ema21: -5.255%
Force Relative 25% 0.3312 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.416% · rs_1d: -2.95% · rs_3d: 1.50% · beta_24h: 1.375
Volume 20% 0.1815 rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.431 · trend: -42.34%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4407 ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.661% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.287% (0.0038)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.123% 0.2R -0.161% 0.0R 7.0× 12
2h +1.706% 0.3R -0.161% 0.0R 10.6× 24
4h +2.079% 0.4R -0.161% 0.0R 12.9× 48
6h ★ +4.539% 0.9R -0.161% 0.0R 28.1× 72
8h +4.792% 0.9R -0.161% 0.0R 29.7× 96
12h +4.792% 0.9R -0.161% 0.0R 29.7× 144
24h +9.802% 1.9R -0.161% 0.0R 60.7× 288
⏱ MFE in 1249 min MAE in 14 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 47 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.34
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% early near -1.7ATR — 0.29 range_high -0.31% -0.94 30/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.2ATR — 0.17 bear_high -3.11% -0.01 01/11 03:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% mid near -1.5ATR — 0.28 range_low -0.74% -0.21 01/11 07:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.5ATR — -0.02 range_low +0.17% -0.25 01/11 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475046
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.530 expansion_after_compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% early 4b -0.7ATR near -1.7ATR — 1.30 89% ↔ -0.10 above_value -0.50 — #224515 0.29 range_high -0.31% -0.94
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:22
4h
#478501
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.396 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early 11b -0.9ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.48 28% ↔ -0.08 above_value -0.87 — #225956 0.17 bear_high -3.11% -0.01
01/11 03:00
upd 01/11 07:14
1h anchor
#478787
 ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.561 compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 36% mid 11b -1.1ATR near -1.5ATR — 0.57 20% ↑ +0.27 above_value -1.20 — #226112 0.28 range_low -0.74% -0.21
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 08:09
15m
#478733
 ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.432 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 45% late 15b -1.9ATR near -0.5ATR — 0.11 2% ↓ -0.63 above_value -0.87 — #225956 -0.02 range_low +0.17% -0.25
01/11 07:45
upd 01/11 08:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 4.327×ATR p46 -0.682×ATR p51
4h ↓ down early 11b — 2.123×ATR p10 -0.867×ATR p52
1h ↓ down mid 11b — 2.466×ATR p52 -1.066×ATR p56
15m ↓ down late 15b — 6.118×ATR p97 -1.861×ATR p85

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07566691
  2. tp_price: 0.07007228
  3. atr: 0.00151916
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-01T19:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 52
  2. total: 54
  3. score: 0.3156
  4. delta_2h: -0.0587
  5. extension_atr: -0.8
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2086
  9. confidence: 0.962

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07187 0.07567 0.07007 0.47 0.06473
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07187
  • Stop Loss: 0.07567
  • Take Profit: 0.07007

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07567 - 0.07187 = 0.0038

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07187 - 0.07007 = 0.0018

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0018 / 0.0038 = 0.4737

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
151.3864 100 2106.4217 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0038

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0038 = 2105.26

Taille de position USD = 2105.26 x 0.07187 = 151.31

Donc, tu peux acheter 2105.26 avec un stoploss a 0.07567

Avec un position size USD de 151.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2105.26 x 0.0038 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2105.26 x 0.0018 = 3.79

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.79$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2105.26
  • Taille de position USD 151.31
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.79
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4737

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.79 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.29 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.79 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1614 % 3.05 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07187 0.07567 0.07007 0.47 0.06473
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07187
  • Stop Loss: 0.07567
  • Take Profit: 0.07007

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07567 - 0.07187 = 0.0038

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07187 - 0.07007 = 0.0018

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0018 / 0.0038 = 0.4737

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.287% (0.0038)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.123% 0.2R -0.161% 0.0R 7.0× 12
2h +1.706% 0.3R -0.161% 0.0R 10.6× 24
4h +2.079% 0.4R -0.161% 0.0R 12.9× 48
6h ★ +4.539% 0.9R -0.161% 0.0R 28.1× 72
8h +4.792% 0.9R -0.161% 0.0R 29.7× 96
12h +4.792% 0.9R -0.161% 0.0R 29.7× 144
24h +9.802% 1.9R -0.161% 0.0R 60.7× 288
⏱ MFE in 1249 min MAE in 14 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 47 minutes ago

Commentaires

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