Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 243.96 RUNE at 0.611$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5959 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6439 (5.37 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 10:15:14
hyperliquid
RUNE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 10:15
→ 11:50
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.6111$
Qty 243.9638 RUNE
Size 149.0985$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5959 (+2.49%)
TP $ 3.71$
SL 0.6439 (-5.37%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.46
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +3.71$
MAE -0.31%
MFE +7.16%
1.3R
expires
01 Nov 16:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 239581)
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 10:00
score du 01/11/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1044
Quality Score
0.372
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.37 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#53 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.37 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.46×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.51×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.17
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 10:00
01/11 10:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/11 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7540
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
42.7%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.062
Δ 4h
▼-0.116
Δ 12h
▼-0.068
Δ 24h
▼-0.223
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 34.4% |
| 1h | 46.9% |
| 4h | 37.5% |
| 24h | 68.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 34.4% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 37.5% | -0.17% |
| 24h | 43.8% | +0.54% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.34
Tail ↓
+0.42
Dispersion :
0.057
Universe :
32
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 10:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4734
Score SMA
0.5659
Rank
#10
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8393
Rank Norm SMA
0.8593
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3540 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.02% · r3d: 0.97% · ema21_slope: -0.3695% · dist_ema21: -2.513% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4872 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.27% · rs_3d: 5.63% · beta_24h: 1.314 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8336 | rvol_20: 2.73× · zscore_50: 1.163 · trend: 118.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5246 | ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.3720
Score SMA
0.5378
Rank
#53
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1044
Rank Norm SMA
0.5966
Calculé le
01/11/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2547 | r1h: -1.346% · r4h: -2.096% · r1d: -13.50% · r3d: -0.50% · ema21_slope: -0.2786% · dist_ema21: -3.609% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3023 | rs_1h: -1.359% · rs_4h: -2.116% · rs_1d: -14.32% · rs_3d: 3.36% · beta_24h: 2.572 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1659 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.511 · trend: -67.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5792 | ADX: 29.2 (trend) · Chop: 58.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.311% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4171
Score SMA
0.5791
Rank
#35
/ 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4734
Rank Norm SMA
0.7818
Calculé le
01/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4501 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.414% · r1d: -9.44% · r3d: 1.94% · ema21_slope: 0.1429% · dist_ema21: -3.897% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3990 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.427% · rs_1d: -9.89% · rs_3d: 4.69% · beta_24h: 0.614 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2481 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.269 · trend: -0.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6267 | ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 38.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3865 | ATR%: 4.841% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.367%
(0.0328)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.645% | 0.1R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.677% | 0.5R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.029% | 1.1R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 19.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.156% | 1.3R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 23.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +9.998% | 1.9R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 32.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +18.653% | 3.5R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 60.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +19.107% | 3.6R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 61.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +19.107% | 3.6R | -3.232% | 0.6R | 5.9× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 814 min
MAE in 9 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 13 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.53
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.68 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.26 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.11% | +0.43 | 01/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.41 | range_low | -0.53% | -0.83 | 01/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.16 | range_low | +0.32% | -0.26 | 01/11 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475001
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.655 | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 2b -0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 2.73 | 96% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | +0.02 | — | #224493 | 0.68 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.26 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#478465
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.659 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 4b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.20 | 67% | ↑ +0.34 | value | -0.84 | — | #225938 | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.11% | +0.43 |
01/11 03:00
upd 01/11 07:12
|
|
1h
anchor #479327
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.529 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 9b -1.9ATR | — | — | 0.32 | 70% | ↓ -0.82 | below_value | -1.50 | — | #226307 | 0.41 | range_low | -0.53% | -0.83 |
01/11 09:00
upd 01/11 10:08
|
|
15m
#479273
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.529 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 17b -2.4ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 2.94 | 79% | ↔ -0.01 | above_value | -0.89 | — | #226200 | 0.16 | range_low | +0.32% | -0.26 |
01/11 09:45
upd 01/11 10:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.003×ATR | p0 | -0.325×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 3.797×ATR | p44 | -0.703×ATR | p36 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 2.753×ATR | p38 | -1.947×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -2.449×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.64394175
- tp_price: 0.59587125
- atr: 0.0131167
- expires_at: 2026-11-01T21:15:14+00:00
Details
- rank: 53
- total: 54
- score: 0.2547
- delta_2h: -0.031
- extension_atr: -1.52
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1044
- confidence: 0.981
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:15 | 0.61115000 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 11:15 | 0.60970000 | -0.229% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6111 | 0.6439 | 0.5959 | 0.46 | 0.641 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6111
- Stop Loss: 0.6439
- Take Profit: 0.5959
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6439 - 0.6111 = 0.0328
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6111 - 0.5959 = 0.0152
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0152 / 0.0328 = 0.4634
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149.0985 | 100 | 243.9638 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0328
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0328 = 243.9
Taille de position USD = 243.9 x 0.6111 = 149.05
Donc, tu peux acheter 243.9 avec un stoploss a 0.6439
Avec un position size USD de 149.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 243.9 x 0.0328 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 243.9 x 0.0152 = 3.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position 243.9
- Taille de position USD 149.05
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4634
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 3.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.37 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.71 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3109 % | 5.79 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6111 | 0.6439 | 0.5959 | 0.46 | 0.641 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6111
- Stop Loss: 0.6439
- Take Profit: 0.5959
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6439 - 0.6111 = 0.0328
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6111 - 0.5959 = 0.0152
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0152 / 0.0328 = 0.4634
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.367%
(0.0328)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.645% | 0.1R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.677% | 0.5R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 8.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.029% | 1.1R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 19.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.156% | 1.3R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 23.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +9.998% | 1.9R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 32.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +18.653% | 3.5R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 60.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +19.107% | 3.6R | -0.311% | 0.1R | 61.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +19.107% | 3.6R | -3.232% | 0.6R | 5.9× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 814 min
MAE in 9 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 13 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.