Short Trade on kPEPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 43047.78 kPEPE at 0.00484$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004715 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005022 (3.85 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 11:15:06
hyperliquid
kPEPE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 11:15
→ 17:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.004836$
Qty 43047.783 kPEPE
Size 208.1791$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.004715 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.21$
SL 0.005022 (-3.85%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.65
Status
loss
PnL
-0.85%
/ -1.76$
MAE -2.25%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
01 Nov 17:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 239624)
#47 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 11:00
score du 01/11/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1563
Quality Score
0.422
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.51×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.75×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.24
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
22.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 11:00
01/11 11:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/11 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7544
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
35.6%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.071
Δ 4h
▼-0.168
Δ 12h
▼-0.233
Δ 24h
▼-0.539
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 53.3% |
| 1h | 40.0% |
| 4h | 33.3% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 53.3% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 26.7% | -0.24% |
| 24h | 36.7% | +0.02% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
3.3%
Tail ↑
+0.61
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion :
0.068
Universe :
30
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 11:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6142
Score SMA
0.6263
Rank
#1
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.9361
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7678 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.87% · r3d: -1.43% · ema21_slope: 0.7176% · dist_ema21: 10.812% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7076 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.62% · rs_3d: 3.22% · beta_24h: 2.913 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4734 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.155 · trend: 175.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7483 | ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 36.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.393% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4217
Score SMA
0.5591
Rank
#47
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1563
Rank Norm SMA
0.5770
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3326 | r1h: -1.291% · r4h: -1.874% · r1d: -2.67% · r3d: -12.51% · ema21_slope: -0.0835% · dist_ema21: -2.553% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3044 | rs_1h: -1.212% · rs_4h: -1.900% · rs_1d: -3.19% · rs_3d: -7.89% · beta_24h: 3.409 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3460 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: -0.311 · trend: -59.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4761 | ADX: 13.2 (weak) · Chop: 54.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.648% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4085
Score SMA
0.5871
Rank
#33
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3803
Rank Norm SMA
0.7420
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4885 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.874% · r1d: -2.67% · r3d: -12.51% · ema21_slope: 0.0920% · dist_ema21: -2.228% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4382 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.900% · rs_1d: -3.19% · rs_3d: -7.89% · beta_24h: 3.068 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1785 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.323 · trend: -66.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3011 | ADX: 13.6 (weak) · Chop: 76.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4257 | ATR%: 4.723% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.846%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.055% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.220% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.654% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.254% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.269% | 0.1R | -2.254% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.269% | 0.1R | -3.247% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.198% | 1.1R | -3.247% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.066% | 1.3R | -3.805% | 1.0R | 1.3× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 1434 min
MAE in 549 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 52 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.05
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.72 | range_high | -0.31% | +0.98 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.05 | 01/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_low | -0.59% | -0.34 | 01/11 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bear_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.52 | range_low | +0.22% | -0.19 | 01/11 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#474980
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | 0.690 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 2b 1.0ATR | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.89 | 95% | ↑ +0.80 | above_value | -0.20 | — | #224483 | 0.72 | range_high | -0.31% | +0.98 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#479601
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.690 | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 12b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.16 | 69% | ↓ -0.89 | value | -2.02 | — | #226402 | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.05 |
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 11:11
|
|
1h
anchor #479600
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.479 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 7b -1.7ATR | — | — | 1.54 | 57% | ↑ +0.16 | value | -2.02 | — | #226402 | 0.51 | range_low | -0.59% | -0.34 |
01/11 10:00
upd 01/11 11:11
|
|
15m
#479537
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.516 | normal | bear_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 11b -2.4ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.52 | 22% | ↑ +0.20 | above_value | -1.24 | — | #226297 | 0.52 | range_low | +0.22% | -0.19 |
01/11 10:45
upd 01/11 11:00
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.612×ATR | p0 | +0.961×ATR | p57 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.171×ATR | p9 | -0.539×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 2.834×ATR | p50 | -1.734×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 3.952×ATR | p79 | -2.447×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00502184
- tp_price: 0.0047151
- atr: 7.434E-5
- expires_at: 2026-11-01T22:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 53
- score: 0.3498
- delta_2h: -0.1326
- extension_atr: -1.29
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1587
- confidence: 0.942
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004836 | 0.005022 | 0.004715 | 0.65 | 0.004865 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004836
- Stop Loss: 0.005022
- Take Profit: 0.004715
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005022 - 0.004836 = 0.000186
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004836 - 0.004715 = 0.000121
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000121 / 0.000186 = 0.6505
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 208.1791 | 100 | 43047.783 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.000186
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000186 = 43010.75
Taille de position USD = 43010.75 x 0.004836 = 208
Donc, tu peux acheter 43010.75 avec un stoploss a 0.005022
Avec un position size USD de 208$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 43010.75 x 0.000186 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 43010.75 x 0.000121 = 5.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.2$
Résumé
- Taille de position 43010.75
- Taille de position USD 208
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.2
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6505
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.21 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.85 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.76 $ | -0.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2539 % | 58.6 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004836 | 0.005022 | 0.004715 | 0.65 | 0.004865 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004836
- Stop Loss: 0.005022
- Take Profit: 0.004715
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005022 - 0.004836 = 0.000186
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004836 - 0.004715 = 0.000121
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000121 / 0.000186 = 0.6505
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.846%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.055% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.220% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.654% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.254% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.269% | 0.1R | -2.254% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.269% | 0.1R | -3.247% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.198% | 1.1R | -3.247% | 0.8R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.066% | 1.3R | -3.805% | 1.0R | 1.3× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 1434 min
MAE in 549 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 52 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.