Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 251.98 RUNE at 0.596$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5809 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6276 (5.34 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 12:15:05
hyperliquid
RUNE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 12:15
→ 13:45
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.5958$
Qty 251.976 RUNE
Size 150.1374$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5809 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.75$
SL 0.6276 (-5.34%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.47
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.75$
MAE -0.99%
MFE +7.69%
1.4R
expires
01 Nov 18:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 239740)
#50 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 12:00
score du 01/11/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0317
Quality Score
0.378
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#50 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#50 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.34 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.56×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.16×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.20
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 12:00
01/11 12:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/11 11:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7548
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
29.9%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.057
Δ 4h
▲+0.070
Δ 12h
▼-0.220
Δ 24h
▼-0.412
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 62.1% |
| 1h | 34.5% |
| 4h | 34.5% |
| 24h | 44.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 72.4% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 17.2% | -0.20% |
| 24h | 34.5% | -0.05% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.5%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
3.5%
Tail ↑
+0.63
Tail ↓
+0.41
Dispersion :
0.064
Universe :
29
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 12:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4734
Score SMA
0.5659
Rank
#10
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8393
Rank Norm SMA
0.8593
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3540 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.02% · r3d: 0.97% · ema21_slope: -0.3695% · dist_ema21: -2.513% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4872 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.27% · rs_3d: 5.63% · beta_24h: 1.314 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8336 | rvol_20: 2.73× · zscore_50: 1.163 · trend: 118.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5246 | ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3780
Score SMA
0.5349
Rank
#50
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0317
Rank Norm SMA
0.5859
Calculé le
01/11/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2097 | r1h: -1.672% · r4h: -3.110% · r1d: -12.93% · r3d: -3.12% · ema21_slope: -0.2837% · dist_ema21: -4.847% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2315 | rs_1h: -1.876% · rs_4h: -3.426% · rs_1d: -13.63% · rs_3d: 0.73% · beta_24h: 0.613 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3120 | rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.059 · trend: -44.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6324 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.294% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3843
Score SMA
0.5760
Rank
#36
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3427
Rank Norm SMA
0.7727
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3833 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.719% · r1d: -15.87% · r3d: -2.10% · ema21_slope: 0.0960% · dist_ema21: -5.070% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3627 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.745% · rs_1d: -16.39% · rs_3d: 2.52% · beta_24h: 0.591 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2232 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.257 · trend: -19.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6170 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 38.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4144 | ATR%: 4.757% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.337%
(0.0318)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.313% | 0.3R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.615% | 0.7R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.772% | 0.9R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 4.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.687% | 1.4R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 7.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +14.376% | 2.7R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 14.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +17.029% | 3.2R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 17.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +17.029% | 3.2R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 17.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +17.029% | 3.2R | -12.395% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 694 min
MAE in 9 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 20 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.49
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.68 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.26 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.30 | 01/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | -0.38% | -0.87 | 01/11 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.16 | range_low | +0.38% | -0.35 | 01/11 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475001
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.655 | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 2b -0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 2.73 | 96% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | +0.02 | — | #224493 | 0.68 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.26 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#479621
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.595 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 5b -1.0ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.21 | 69% | ↔ -0.07 | value | -1.77 | — | #226412 | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.03% | +0.30 |
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 11:12
|
|
1h
anchor #479922
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.525 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 11b -2.7ATR | — | — | 1.13 | 83% | ↓ -0.73 | below_value | -2.49 | inside | #226567 | 0.40 | range_low | -0.38% | -0.87 |
01/11 11:00
upd 01/11 12:08
|
|
15m
#479870
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.403 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 25b -3.4ATR | — | — | 2.70 | 84% | ↑ +0.72 | value | -1.77 | — | #226412 | 0.16 | range_low | +0.38% | -0.35 |
01/11 11:45
upd 01/11 12:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.003×ATR | p0 | -0.325×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 4.299×ATR | p66 | -1.022×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 3.779×ATR | p61 | -2.657×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 25b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -3.407×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.62758905
- tp_price: 0.580944
- atr: 0.01269962
- expires_at: 2026-11-01T23:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 53
- total: 53
- score: 0.2097
- delta_2h: -0.045
- extension_atr: -2.27
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0342
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:15 | 0.59584000 | +0.007% |
| 2 | 13:15 | 0.59411000 | -0.284% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5958 | 0.6276 | 0.5809 | 0.47 | 0.6336 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5958
- Stop Loss: 0.6276
- Take Profit: 0.5809
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6276 - 0.5958 = 0.0318
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5958 - 0.5809 = 0.0149
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0149 / 0.0318 = 0.4686
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150.1374 | 100 | 251.976 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0318
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0318 = 251.57
Taille de position USD = 251.57 x 0.5958 = 149.89
Donc, tu peux acheter 251.57 avec un stoploss a 0.6276
Avec un position size USD de 149.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 251.57 x 0.0318 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 251.57 x 0.0149 = 3.75
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.75$
Résumé
- Taille de position 251.57
- Taille de position USD 149.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.75
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4686
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.75 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.34 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.75 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9919 % | 18.58 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5958 | 0.6276 | 0.5809 | 0.47 | 0.6336 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5958
- Stop Loss: 0.6276
- Take Profit: 0.5809
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6276 - 0.5958 = 0.0318
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5958 - 0.5809 = 0.0149
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0149 / 0.0318 = 0.4686
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.337%
(0.0318)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.313% | 0.3R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.615% | 0.7R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 3.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.772% | 0.9R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 4.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +7.687% | 1.4R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 7.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +14.376% | 2.7R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 14.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +17.029% | 3.2R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 17.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +17.029% | 3.2R | -0.992% | 0.2R | 17.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +17.029% | 3.2R | -12.395% | 2.3R | 1.4× | 576 |
⏱ MFE in 694 min
MAE in 9 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 20 minutes ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.