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Short Trade on NIL

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01 Nov 2026 at 13:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2508.09 NIL at 0.0703$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07353 (4.54 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 13:15 → 16:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.07034$

Qty 2508.0886 NIL

Size 176.4265$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 176.42$

SL 0.07353 (-4.54%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +1.84% / +3.25$ MAE -0.00% MFE +2.72% 0.6R expires 01 Nov 16:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 239810)
#52 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0440

Quality Score
0.402
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#52 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#52 / 53
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.54 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.69×ATR
4h near 0.00×ATR
1d near -1.66×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.38
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 13:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 07:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/11 12:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7552
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 26.7%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.032
Δ 4h
▼-0.223
Δ 12h
▼-0.382
Δ 24h
▼-0.496

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 13.3%
1h 56.7%
4h 23.3%
24h 46.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 13.3% -0.08%
4h 16.7% -0.38%
24h 30.0% -0.01%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
3.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
3.3%
Tail ↑
+0.41
Tail ↓
+0.69
Dispersion : 0.108
Universe : 30 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 13:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3343
Score SMA
0.4436
Rank
#35 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3929
Rank Norm SMA
0.7422
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2626 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.58% · r3d: -7.24% · ema21_slope: -0.2035% · dist_ema21: -11.460%
Force Relative 25% 0.2510 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -9.83% · rs_3d: -2.59% · beta_24h: 1.218
Volume 20% 0.3887 rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.013 · trend: -5.23%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7671 ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 19.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4016
Score SMA
0.4830
Rank
#52 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0440
Rank Norm SMA
0.3944
Calculé le
01/11/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3371 r1h: -0.237% · r4h: -1.167% · r1d: -1.53% · r3d: -5.86% · ema21_slope: -0.1577% · dist_ema21: -2.196%
Force Relative 25% 0.4345 rs_1h: -0.014% · rs_4h: -1.082% · rs_1d: -1.89% · rs_3d: -2.26% · beta_24h: 4.072
Volume 20% 0.1785 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.322 · trend: -66.42%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4218 ADX: 13.8 (weak) · Chop: 62.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.892% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.2159
Score SMA
0.4134
Rank
#53 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.3190
Calculé le
01/11/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1619 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.651% · r1d: -4.31% · r3d: -7.11% · ema21_slope: -0.4325% · dist_ema21: -6.238%
Force Relative 25% 0.2783 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.677% · rs_1d: -4.83% · rs_3d: -2.48% · beta_24h: 1.364
Volume 20% 0.1596 rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.606 · trend: -53.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4390 ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 63.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.439% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.535% (0.0032)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.462% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.462% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +2.721% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 36
4h +2.721% 0.6R -0.778% 0.2R 3.5× 48
8h +2.721% 0.6R -0.778% 0.2R 3.5× 96
12h +5.191% 1.1R -0.778% 0.2R 6.7× 144
24h +9.183% 2.0R -0.778% 0.2R 11.8× 288
48h +10.523% 2.3R -0.778% 0.2R 13.5× 576
72h +12.667% 2.8R -0.778% 0.2R 16.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1409 min MAE in 189 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 23 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.64
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% early near -1.7ATR — 0.29 range_high -0.31% -0.94 30/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 40% mid near 0.0ATR — 0.17 bear_high -3.03% +0.03 01/11 07:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.29 range_low -0.59% -0.27 01/11 12:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_medium
59%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.03 range_low +0.14% -0.15 01/11 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475046
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.530 expansion_after_compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% early 4b -0.7ATR near -1.7ATR — 1.30 89% ↔ -0.10 above_value -0.50 — #224515 0.29 range_high -0.31% -0.94
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:22
4h
#479657
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.584 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 40% mid 12b -1.1ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.22 9% ↓ -0.28 above_value -1.85 — #226430 0.17 bear_high -3.03% +0.03
01/11 07:00
upd 01/11 11:13
1h anchor
#480208
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.744 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 38% mid 16b -1.4ATR — — 0.47 17% ↓ -0.56 above_value -2.18 — #226688 0.29 range_low -0.59% -0.27
01/11 12:00
upd 01/11 13:11
15m
#480154
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.745 compression bear_medium
59%
noisy_chop 43% mid 17b -1.2ATR — — 0.89 29% ↔ +0.14 above_value -1.97 — #226584 0.03 range_low +0.14% -0.15
01/11 12:45
upd 01/11 13:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 4.327×ATR p46 -0.682×ATR p51
4h ↓ down mid 12b — 2.493×ATR p18 -1.133×ATR p62
1h ↓ down mid 16b — 3.631×ATR p72 -1.397×ATR p70
15m ↓ down mid 17b — 3.16×ATR p63 -1.153×ATR p59

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07353268
  2. atr: 0.00106323
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-01T21:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 51
  2. total: 54
  3. score: 0.3271
  4. confidence: 0.943

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07034 0.07353 0.06179
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07034
  • Stop Loss: 0.07353
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07353 - 0.07034 = 0.00319

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07034 - = 0.07034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07034 / 0.00319 = 22.0502

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
176.4265 100 2508.0886 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00319

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00319 = 2507.84

Taille de position USD = 2507.84 x 0.07034 = 176.4

Donc, tu peux acheter 2507.84 avec un stoploss a 0.07353

Avec un position size USD de 176.4$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2507.84 x 0.00319 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2507.84 x 0.07034 = 176.4

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 176.4$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2507.84
  • Taille de position USD 176.4
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 176.4
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 22.0502

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 176.42 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.54 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.25 $ 1.84
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07034 0.07353 0.06179
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07034
  • Stop Loss: 0.07353
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07353 - 0.07034 = 0.00319

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07034 - = 0.07034

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07034 / 0.00319 = 22.0502

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.535% (0.0032)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.462% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.462% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +2.721% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 36
4h +2.721% 0.6R -0.778% 0.2R 3.5× 48
8h +2.721% 0.6R -0.778% 0.2R 3.5× 96
12h +5.191% 1.1R -0.778% 0.2R 6.7× 144
24h +9.183% 2.0R -0.778% 0.2R 11.8× 288
48h +10.523% 2.3R -0.778% 0.2R 13.5× 576
72h +12.667% 2.8R -0.778% 0.2R 16.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1409 min MAE in 189 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 23 hours ago

Commentaires

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