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Short Trade on NIL

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01 Nov 2026 at 16:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2537.01 NIL at 0.0693$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07247 (4.56 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 16:15 → 19:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.06931$

Qty 2537.0086 NIL

Size 175.8502$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 175.84$

SL 0.07247 (-4.56%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.23% / -0.41$ MAE -2.28% MFE +0.55% 0.1R expires 01 Nov 19:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240019)
#51 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0389

Quality Score
0.399
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#51 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#51 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.51×ATR
4h near -0.35×ATR
1d near -1.66×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-1.10
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 16:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/11 15:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7564
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 15.1%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.073
Δ 4h
▼-0.148
Δ 12h
▼-0.526
Δ 24h
▼-0.309

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 64.5%
1h 77.4%
4h 12.9%
24h 32.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 64.5% +0.02%
4h 19.4% -1.10%
24h 25.8% -0.58%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
9.7%
Expansion
9.7%
Tail ↑
+0.66
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion : 0.112
Universe : 31 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 16:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3343
Score SMA
0.4436
Rank
#35 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3929
Rank Norm SMA
0.7422
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2626 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.58% · r3d: -7.24% · ema21_slope: -0.2035% · dist_ema21: -11.460%
Force Relative 25% 0.2510 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -9.83% · rs_3d: -2.59% · beta_24h: 1.218
Volume 20% 0.3887 rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.013 · trend: -5.23%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7671 ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 19.350% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3991
Score SMA
0.4789
Rank
#51 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0389
Rank Norm SMA
0.3791
Calculé le
01/11/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2873 r1h: 0.246% · r4h: -2.501% · r1d: -3.27% · r3d: -4.97% · ema21_slope: -0.2502% · dist_ema21: -3.349%
Force Relative 25% 0.3824 rs_1h: 0.131% · rs_4h: -2.174% · rs_1d: -3.73% · rs_3d: -3.75% · beta_24h: 4.600
Volume 20% 0.1781 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.329 · trend: -68.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5934 ADX: 18.7 (weak) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.863% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.2108
Score SMA
0.4052
Rank
#52 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.2985
Calculé le
01/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1499 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.176% · r1d: -3.57% · r3d: -7.66% · ema21_slope: -0.4923% · dist_ema21: -7.583%
Force Relative 25% 0.2640 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.938% · rs_1d: -3.88% · rs_3d: -3.90% · beta_24h: 1.402
Volume 20% 0.1628 rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.558 · trend: -59.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4483 ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 63.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.559% (0.0032)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.545% 0.1R -2.275% 0.5R 0.2× 12
2h +0.545% 0.1R -2.275% 0.5R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.545% 0.1R -2.275% 0.5R 0.2× 36
4h +0.545% 0.1R -2.275% 0.5R 0.2× 48
8h +1.560% 0.3R -2.275% 0.5R 0.7× 96
12h +4.950% 1.1R -2.275% 0.5R 2.2× 144
24h +7.922% 1.7R -2.275% 0.5R 3.5× 288
48h +9.194% 2.0R -2.275% 0.5R 4.0× 576
72h +11.369% 2.5R -2.275% 0.5R 5.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1344 min MAE in 9 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% early near -1.7ATR — 0.29 range_high -0.31% -0.94 30/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -0.4ATR — 0.18 bear_high -3.19% -0.21 01/11 11:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.29 range_low -0.65% -0.58 01/11 15:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.05 range_low +0.06% -0.17 01/11 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475046
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.530 expansion_after_compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 39% early 4b -0.7ATR near -1.7ATR — 1.30 89% ↔ -0.10 above_value -0.50 — #224515 0.29 range_high -0.31% -0.94
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:22
4h
#480790
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.580 compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 43% mid 13b -1.4ATR near -0.4ATR — 0.26 12% ↓ -0.55 value -3.46 — #226895 0.18 bear_high -3.19% -0.21
01/11 11:00
upd 01/11 15:14
1h anchor
#481075
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.743 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 44% late 19b -2.2ATR — — 0.33 5% ↓ -0.55 value -3.56 — #227050 0.29 range_low -0.65% -0.58
01/11 15:00
upd 01/11 16:09
15m
#481022
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.523 normal bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 42% early 2b -1.0ATR — — 0.37 9% ↓ -0.31 value -3.46 — #226895 0.05 range_low +0.06% -0.17
01/11 15:45
upd 01/11 16:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 4.327×ATR p46 -0.682×ATR p51
4h ↓ down mid 13b — 2.931×ATR p31 -1.395×ATR p71
1h ↓ down late 19b — 5.018×ATR p80 -2.164×ATR p87
15m ↑ up early 2b — 1.917×ATR p21 -1.045×ATR p53

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07246732
  2. atr: 0.00105111
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-02T00:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 52
  2. total: 54
  3. score: 0.2765
  4. confidence: 0.962

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06931 0.07247 0.06156
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06931
  • Stop Loss: 0.07247
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07247 - 0.06931 = 0.00316

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06931 - = 0.06931

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.06931 / 0.00316 = 21.9335

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
175.8502 100 2537.0086 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00316

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00316 = 2531.65

Taille de position USD = 2531.65 x 0.06931 = 175.47

Donc, tu peux acheter 2531.65 avec un stoploss a 0.07247

Avec un position size USD de 175.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2531.65 x 0.00316 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2531.65 x 0.06931 = 175.47

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 175.47$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2531.65
  • Taille de position USD 175.47
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 175.47
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 21.9335

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 175.84 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.56 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-0.41 $ -0.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2753 % 49.91 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06931 0.07247 0.06156
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06931
  • Stop Loss: 0.07247
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07247 - 0.06931 = 0.00316

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06931 - = 0.06931

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.06931 / 0.00316 = 21.9335

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.559% (0.0032)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.545% 0.1R -2.275% 0.5R 0.2× 12
2h +0.545% 0.1R -2.275% 0.5R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.545% 0.1R -2.275% 0.5R 0.2× 36
4h +0.545% 0.1R -2.275% 0.5R 0.2× 48
8h +1.560% 0.3R -2.275% 0.5R 0.7× 96
12h +4.950% 1.1R -2.275% 0.5R 2.2× 144
24h +7.922% 1.7R -2.275% 0.5R 3.5× 288
48h +9.194% 2.0R -2.275% 0.5R 4.0× 576
72h +11.369% 2.5R -2.275% 0.5R 5.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1344 min MAE in 9 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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