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Long Trade on LIT

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01 Nov 2026 at 16:15:11 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 56.25 LIT at 3.168$ per unit. Take profit: 3.2471 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.0257 (4.49 %)

LIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 16:15 → 22:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.1679$

Qty 56.2486 LIT

Size 178.1899$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.2471 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.45$

SL 3.0257 (-4.49%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.56

Status loss PnL -0.09% / -0.16$ MAE -1.91% MFE +0.90% 0.2R expires 01 Nov 22:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240028)
#5 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9297

Quality Score
0.578
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.53×ATR
4h near -0.06×ATR
1d clear 1.64×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
recovering
OK
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
NO
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-1.10
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
39.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 16:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

01/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/11 15:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7564
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 15.1%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.073
Δ 4h
▼-0.148
Δ 12h
▼-0.526
Δ 24h
▼-0.309

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 64.5%
1h 77.4%
4h 12.9%
24h 32.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 64.5% +0.02%
4h 19.4% -1.10%
24h 25.8% -0.58%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
9.7%
Expansion
9.7%
Tail ↑
+0.66
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion : 0.112
Universe : 31 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 16:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4327
Score SMA
0.2778
Rank
#17 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7143
Rank Norm SMA
0.2236
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3634 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 13.76% · r3d: 7.31% · ema21_slope: -0.9015% · dist_ema21: -2.116%
Force Relative 25% 0.7003 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 13.50% · rs_3d: 11.97% · beta_24h: 2.644
Volume 20% 0.3410 rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: -0.309 · trend: 3.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5361 ADX: 14.2 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.755% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5778
Score SMA
0.5164
Rank
#5 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9297
Rank Norm SMA
0.3998
Calculé le
01/11/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6152 r1h: -0.164% · r4h: -1.933% · r1d: 1.57% · r3d: 5.72% · ema21_slope: 0.3028% · dist_ema21: 0.243%
Force Relative 25% 0.5267 rs_1h: -0.279% · rs_4h: -1.607% · rs_1d: 1.12% · rs_3d: 6.94% · beta_24h: -0.618
Volume 20% 0.1685 rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.720 · trend: -37.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6766 ADX: 34.5 (trend) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.936% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4784
Score SMA
0.4149
Rank
#7 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9027
Rank Norm SMA
0.2728
Calculé le
01/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4732 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.566% · r1d: 3.56% · r3d: 3.69% · ema21_slope: 0.2415% · dist_ema21: 5.127%
Force Relative 25% 0.5931 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.327% · rs_1d: 3.25% · rs_3d: 7.46% · beta_24h: 3.854
Volume 20% 0.2728 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.193 · trend: 14.23%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5955 ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.4433 ATR%: 4.670% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.489% (0.1422)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.556% 0.1R -1.765% 0.4R 0.3× 12
2h +0.556% 0.1R -1.765% 0.4R 0.3× 24
4h +0.900% 0.2R -1.910% 0.4R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +0.900% 0.2R -1.910% 0.4R 0.5× 72
8h +2.885% 0.6R -1.910% 0.4R 1.5× 96
12h +2.885% 0.6R -2.327% 0.5R 1.2× 144
24h +2.885% 0.6R -5.161% 1.2R 0.6× 288
48h +9.571% 2.1R -5.161% 1.2R 1.9× 576
72h +12.895% 2.9R -5.161% 1.2R 2.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 394 min MAE in 1204 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.93
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.42 range_high -0.31% -0.83 30/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion range_high
43%
noisy_chop 38% mid — near -0.1ATR 0.50 bear_high -3.19% +0.79 01/11 11:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 34% early near -0.4ATR — 0.43 range_low -0.65% +0.12 01/11 15:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.25 range_low +0.06% -0.13 01/11 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475062
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.375 normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 38% early 10b -0.2ATR — — 1.06 61% ↔ +0.08 value +1.10 — #224523 0.42 range_high -0.31% -0.83
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:23
4h
#480808
 ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.469 expansion range_high
43%
noisy_chop 38% mid 8b 1.2ATR — near -0.1ATR 0.47 58% ↓ -0.49 value +1.47 — #226904 0.50 bear_high -3.19% +0.79
01/11 11:00
upd 01/11 15:14
1h anchor
#481084
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.712 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 34% early 7b 0.1ATR near -0.4ATR — 0.25 28% ↑ +0.23 value +1.66 — #227059 0.43 range_low -0.65% +0.12
01/11 15:00
upd 01/11 16:10
15m
#481031
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.616 compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% early 5b -0.8ATR — — 0.09 3% ↓ -0.32 value +1.47 — #226904 0.25 range_low +0.06% -0.13
01/11 15:45
upd 01/11 16:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 10b — 2.24×ATR p0 -0.185×ATR p11
4h ↑ up mid 8b — 3.322×ATR p48 +1.163×ATR p62
1h ↓ down early 7b — 2.475×ATR p44 +0.125×ATR p7
15m ↑ up early 5b — 0.937×ATR p0 -0.847×ATR p45

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.02567422
  2. tp_price: 3.2470975
  3. atr: 0.05689031
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-02T03:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 54
  3. score: 0.6567
  4. delta_2h: 0.0645
  5. extension_atr: -0.05
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.942
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.1679 3.0257 3.2471 0.56 3.4457
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.1679
  • Stop Loss: 3.0257
  • Take Profit: 3.2471

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.0257 - 3.1679 = -0.1422

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.1679 - 3.2471 = -0.0792

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0792 / -0.1422 = 0.557

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
178.1899 100 56.2486 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1422

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1422 = -56.26

Taille de position USD = -56.26 x 3.1679 = -178.23

Donc, tu peux acheter -56.26 avec un stoploss a 3.0257

Avec un position size USD de -178.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -56.26 x -0.1422 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -56.26 x -0.0792 = 4.46

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.46$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -56.26
  • Taille de position USD -178.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.46
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.557

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.45 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.49 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.16 $ -0.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9098 % 42.55 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.1679 3.0257 3.2471 0.56 3.4457
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.1679
  • Stop Loss: 3.0257
  • Take Profit: 3.2471

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.0257 - 3.1679 = -0.1422

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.1679 - 3.2471 = -0.0792

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0792 / -0.1422 = 0.557

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.489% (0.1422)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.556% 0.1R -1.765% 0.4R 0.3× 12
2h +0.556% 0.1R -1.765% 0.4R 0.3× 24
4h +0.900% 0.2R -1.910% 0.4R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +0.900% 0.2R -1.910% 0.4R 0.5× 72
8h +2.885% 0.6R -1.910% 0.4R 1.5× 96
12h +2.885% 0.6R -2.327% 0.5R 1.2× 144
24h +2.885% 0.6R -5.161% 1.2R 0.6× 288
48h +9.571% 2.1R -5.161% 1.2R 1.9× 576
72h +12.895% 2.9R -5.161% 1.2R 2.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 394 min MAE in 1204 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.