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Short Trade on RUNE

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01 Nov 2026 at 17:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 234.95 RUNE at 0.568$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5539 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6022 (6 %)

RUNE SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 17:15 → 18:25 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.5681$

Qty 234.9541 RUNE

Size 133.4891$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.5539 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.34$

SL 0.6022 (-6%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.42

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.34$ MAE -0.00% MFE +12.50% 2.1R expires 01 Nov 23:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240052)
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1834

Quality Score
0.380
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.00 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 1.28×ATR
1d near 0.21×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 17:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/11 11:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/11 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7568
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 34.4%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.194
Δ 4h
▲+0.077
Δ 12h
→+0.039
Δ 24h
▼-0.205

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 51.6%
1h 71.0%
4h 32.3%
24h 32.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.0% +0.00%
4h 41.9% -0.12%
24h 32.3% -0.48%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.32
Tail ↓
+0.28
Dispersion : 0.050
Universe : 31 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 17:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4734
Score SMA
0.5659
Rank
#10 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8393
Rank Norm SMA
0.8593
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3540 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.02% · r3d: 0.97% · ema21_slope: -0.3695% · dist_ema21: -2.513%
Force Relative 25% 0.4872 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.27% · rs_3d: 5.63% · beta_24h: 1.314
Volume 20% 0.8336 rvol_20: 2.73× · zscore_50: 1.163 · trend: 118.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5246 ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.3801
Score SMA
0.5296
Rank
#50 / 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1834
Rank Norm SMA
0.5659
Calculé le
01/11/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0726 r1h: -1.725% · r4h: -5.011% · r1d: -13.97% · r3d: -10.64% · ema21_slope: -0.4562% · dist_ema21: -7.160%
Force Relative 25% 0.1253 rs_1h: -1.712% · rs_4h: -4.894% · rs_1d: -14.26% · rs_3d: -9.17% · beta_24h: 1.859
Volume 20% 0.9729 rvol_20: 4.71× · zscore_50: 2.593 · trend: 108.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8187 ADX: 38.2 (trend) · Chop: 30.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.506% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3612
Score SMA
0.5671
Rank
#39 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2909
Rank Norm SMA
0.7556
Calculé le
01/11/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2644 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.556% · r1d: -14.54% · r3d: -6.59% · ema21_slope: 0.0086% · dist_ema21: -9.494%
Force Relative 25% 0.2073 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.318% · rs_1d: -14.85% · rs_3d: -2.83% · beta_24h: 0.598
Volume 20% 0.5429 rvol_20: 1.45× · zscore_50: 1.184 · trend: 34.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6225 ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 32.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2810 ATR%: 5.157% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.003% (0.0341)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.345% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.593% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +11.292% 1.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +12.496% 2.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +12.984% 2.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +12.984% 2.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +12.984% 2.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 288
48h +12.984% 2.2R -17.875% 3.0R 0.7× 576
72h +12.984% 2.2R -17.875% 3.0R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 394 min MAE in min

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 0.83
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 31% early near 0.2ATR — 0.68 range_high -0.31% -0.26 30/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
47%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.56 bear_high -3.19% -0.25 01/11 11:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.40 range_low -0.65% -0.71 01/11 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.10 range_low +0.03% -0.49 01/11 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475001
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.655 expansion bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 31% early 2b -0.3ATR near 0.2ATR — 2.73 96% ↑ +0.62 above_value +0.02 — #224493 0.68 range_high -0.31% -0.26
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:19
4h
#480754
 ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.527 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
47%
noisy_chop 42% late 6b -1.9ATR — — 1.45 95% ↓ -0.24 below_value -4.12 — #226877 0.56 bear_high -3.19% -0.25
01/11 11:00
upd 01/11 15:12
1h anchor
#481324
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.466 compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 48% late 16b -3.7ATR — — 4.71 98% ↑ +0.86 below_value -4.69 inside #227133 0.40 range_low -0.65% -0.71
01/11 16:00
upd 01/11 17:09
15m
#481272
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.751 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 42% early 3b -1.9ATR — — 3.78 99% ↔ -0.06 below_value -4.25 — #227033 0.10 range_low +0.03% -0.49
01/11 16:45
upd 01/11 17:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 2b — 1.003×ATR p0 -0.325×ATR p19
4h ↓ down late 6b — 5.34×ATR p84 -1.873×ATR p78
1h ↓ down late 16b — 5.997×ATR p96 -3.681×ATR p99
15m ↓ down early 3b — 1.836×ATR p26 -1.853×ATR p57

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.60219921
  2. tp_price: 0.55394625
  3. atr: 0.01361968
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-02T04:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 52
  2. total: 52
  3. score: 0.0906
  4. delta_2h: -0.0644
  5. extension_atr: -2.6
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.163
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5681 0.6022 0.5539 0.42 0.5871
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5681
  • Stop Loss: 0.6022
  • Take Profit: 0.5539

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6022 - 0.5681 = 0.0341

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5681 - 0.5539 = 0.0142

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0142 / 0.0341 = 0.4164

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
133.4891 100 234.9541 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0341

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0341 = 234.6

Taille de position USD = 234.6 x 0.5681 = 133.28

Donc, tu peux acheter 234.6 avec un stoploss a 0.6022

Avec un position size USD de 133.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 234.6 x 0.0341 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 234.6 x 0.0142 = 3.33

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.33$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 234.6
  • Taille de position USD 133.28
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.33
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4164

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.34 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
3.34 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5681 0.6022 0.5539 0.42 0.5871
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5681
  • Stop Loss: 0.6022
  • Take Profit: 0.5539

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6022 - 0.5681 = 0.0341

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5681 - 0.5539 = 0.0142

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0142 / 0.0341 = 0.4164

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.4999
            [stop_loss] => 0.6022
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-02 02:55:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.003% (0.0341)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.345% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +4.593% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +11.292% 1.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +12.496% 2.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +12.984% 2.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +12.984% 2.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +12.984% 2.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 288
48h +12.984% 2.2R -17.875% 3.0R 0.7× 576
72h +12.984% 2.2R -17.875% 3.0R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 394 min MAE in min

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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