Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_score)
With 191.15 RUNE at 0.554$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5957 (7.55 %)
01 Nov 2026 at 19:15:09
hyperliquid
RUNE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
01 Nov 2026 19:15
→ 22:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.5539$
Qty 191.1497 RUNE
Size 105.8759$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 105.88$
SL 0.5957 (-7.55%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+9.20%
/ +9.74$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +10.25%
1.4R
expires
01 Nov 22:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240155)
#51 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 19:00
score du 01/11/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1810
Quality Score
0.352
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#51 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#51 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.00×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.59
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 19:00
01/11 19:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 01/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/11 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7576
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
55.6%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.308
Δ 4h
▲+0.478
Δ 12h
→+0.032
Δ 24h
→+0.038
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 63.6% |
| 1h | 93.9% |
| 4h | 78.8% |
| 24h | 42.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 54.6% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 51.5% | +0.59% |
| 24h | 27.3% | -0.19% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.1%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
6.1%
Tail ↑
+0.33
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion :
0.090
Universe :
33
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
01/11 19:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4734
Score SMA
0.5659
Rank
#10
/ 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8393
Rank Norm SMA
0.8593
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3540 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.02% · r3d: 0.97% · ema21_slope: -0.3695% · dist_ema21: -2.513% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4872 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.27% · rs_3d: 5.63% · beta_24h: 1.314 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8336 | rvol_20: 2.73× · zscore_50: 1.163 · trend: 118.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5246 | ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.044% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3520
Score SMA
0.5271
Rank
#51
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1810
Rank Norm SMA
0.5561
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1145 | r1h: -0.296% · r4h: -3.396% · r1d: -11.91% · r3d: -10.45% · ema21_slope: -0.5277% · dist_ema21: -7.422% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1571 | rs_1h: -0.991% · rs_4h: -4.103% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 1.260 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4973 | rvol_20: 1.46× · zscore_50: 0.319 · trend: 41.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8490 | ADX: 41.9 (trend) · Chop: 32.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.564% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3333
Score SMA
0.5599
Rank
#51
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1275
Rank Norm SMA
0.7350
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2251 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.396% · r1d: -11.91% · r3d: -10.45% · ema21_slope: -0.1050% · dist_ema21: -11.557% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1429 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.103% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 0.469 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5208 | rvol_20: 1.22× · zscore_50: 0.958 · trend: 56.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6295 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 27.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2248 | ATR%: 5.326% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -7.547%
(0.0418)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +7.899% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +9.018% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +10.253% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +10.253% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +10.753% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +10.753% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +10.753% | 1.4R | -2.419% | 0.3R | 4.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.753% | 1.4R | -20.897% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.753% | 1.4R | -20.897% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 274 min
MAE in 1439 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.68 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.26 | 30/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.46% | -0.61 | 01/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.40 | range_low | -0.04% | -0.84 | 01/11 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.10 | range_low | +0.61% | -0.41 | 01/11 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#475001
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.655 | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 2b -0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 2.73 | 96% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | +0.02 | — | #224493 | 0.68 | range_high | -0.31% | -0.26 |
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#481862
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.524 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 7b -2.3ATR | — | — | 1.22 | 94% | ↓ -0.31 | below_value | -5.37 | inside | #227332 | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.46% | -0.61 |
01/11 15:00
upd 01/11 19:12
|
|
1h
anchor #481861
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.475 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 2b -3.7ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 1.46 | 88% | ↑ +0.81 | below_value | -5.37 | inside | #227332 | 0.40 | range_low | -0.04% | -0.84 |
01/11 18:00
upd 01/11 19:12
|
|
15m
#481793
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.764 | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 1b -1.5ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 1.23 | 87% | ↓ -0.37 | below_value | -5.21 | — | #227233 | 0.10 | range_low | +0.61% | -0.41 |
01/11 18:45
upd 01/11 19:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.003×ATR | p0 | -0.325×ATR | p19 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 6.012×ATR | p88 | -2.274×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 0.351×ATR | p2 | -3.65×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 0.322×ATR | p0 | -1.514×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5539 | 0.5957 | 0.5836 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5539
- Stop Loss: 0.5957
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5957 - 0.5539 = 0.0418
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5539 - = 0.5539
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5539 / 0.0418 = 13.2512
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 105.8759 | 100 | 191.1497 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0418
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0418 = 191.39
Taille de position USD = 191.39 x 0.5539 = 106.01
Donc, tu peux acheter 191.39 avec un stoploss a 0.5957
Avec un position size USD de 106.01$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 191.39 x 0.0418 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 191.39 x 0.5539 = 106.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 106.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position 191.39
- Taille de position USD 106.01
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 106.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 13.2512
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 105.88 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.55 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 9.74 $ | 9.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5539 | 0.5957 | 0.5836 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5539
- Stop Loss: 0.5957
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5957 - 0.5539 = 0.0418
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5539 - = 0.5539
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5539 / 0.0418 = 13.2512
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -7.547%
(0.0418)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +7.899% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +9.018% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +10.253% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +10.253% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +10.753% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +10.753% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +10.753% | 1.4R | -2.419% | 0.3R | 4.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.753% | 1.4R | -20.897% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.753% | 1.4R | -20.897% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 274 min
MAE in 1439 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.