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Short Trade on XPL

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01 Nov 2026 at 19:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1639.72 XPL at 0.0707$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0756 (6.9 %)

XPL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 19:15 → 22:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.07072$

Qty 1639.724 XPL

Size 115.9646$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 115.96$

SL 0.0756 (-6.9%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.55% / -0.64$ MAE -1.15% MFE +1.57% 0.2R expires 01 Nov 22:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240175)
#50 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0368

Quality Score
0.385
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#50 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#50 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.03×ATR
4h near -0.65×ATR
1d near 0.23×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.59
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
81.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 19:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/11 15:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/11 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7576
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 55.6%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.308
Δ 4h
▲+0.478
Δ 12h
→+0.032
Δ 24h
→+0.038

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 63.6%
1h 93.9%
4h 78.8%
24h 42.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 54.6% +0.02%
4h 51.5% +0.59%
24h 27.3% -0.19%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
6.1%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
6.1%
Tail ↑
+0.33
Tail ↓
+0.36
Dispersion : 0.090
Universe : 33 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 19:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 31/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4346
Score SMA
0.3331
Rank
#16 / 57
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7321
Rank Norm SMA
0.3968
Calculé le
31/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4349 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.01% · r3d: 6.07% · ema21_slope: -0.5999% · dist_ema21: 2.419%
Force Relative 25% 0.6444 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.24% · rs_3d: 10.72% · beta_24h: 2.010
Volume 20% 0.3947 rvol_20: 1.32× · zscore_50: -0.211 · trend: 8.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4273 ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 63.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.578% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3846
Score SMA
0.5613
Rank
#50 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0368
Rank Norm SMA
0.6534
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2833 r1h: 0.158% · r4h: -0.554% · r1d: -12.60% · r3d: -2.00% · ema21_slope: -0.3841% · dist_ema21: -3.419%
Force Relative 25% 0.3056 rs_1h: -0.537% · rs_4h: -1.261% · rs_1d: -13.62% · rs_3d: -2.49% · beta_24h: 1.690
Volume 20% 0.1857 rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.214 · trend: -62.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6152 ADX: 39.9 (trend) · Chop: 65.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.206% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3986
Score SMA
0.5406
Rank
#39 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3605
Rank Norm SMA
0.6737
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3839 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.554% · r1d: -12.60% · r3d: -2.00% · ema21_slope: -0.0125% · dist_ema21: -7.066%
Force Relative 25% 0.3210 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.261% · rs_1d: -13.62% · rs_3d: -2.49% · beta_24h: 1.302
Volume 20% 0.3322 rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.161 · trend: 57.18%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6848 ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 36.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3345 ATR%: 4.997% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.901% (0.0049)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.572% 0.2R -0.826% 0.1R 1.9× 12
2h +1.572% 0.2R -1.152% 0.2R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +1.572% 0.2R -1.152% 0.2R 1.4× 36
4h +1.572% 0.2R -1.714% 0.3R 0.9× 48
8h +1.572% 0.2R -1.714% 0.3R 0.9× 96
12h +2.780% 0.4R -1.714% 0.3R 1.6× 144
24h +6.581% 1.0R -1.714% 0.3R 3.8× 288
48h +12.062% 1.8R -1.714% 0.3R 7.0× 576
72h +14.987% 2.2R -1.714% 0.3R 8.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1194 min MAE in 224 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.55
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 33% late near 0.2ATR — 0.54 range_high -0.31% -0.06 30/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
44%
noisy_chop 37% late near -0.7ATR — — bear_high -2.46% -0.55 01/11 15:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.50 range_low -0.04% -0.93 01/11 18:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 39% early — near -0.2ATR 0.09 range_low +0.61% -0.15 01/11 18:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#475052
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.630 normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 33% late 36b 0.3ATR near 0.2ATR — 1.32 77% ↔ -0.10 above_value +3.70 — #224518 0.54 range_high -0.31% -0.06
30/10 20:00
upd 31/10 20:23
4h
#481900
 ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.447 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
44%
noisy_chop 37% late 4b -1.5ATR near -0.7ATR — 0.21 50% ↔ +0.10 value -1.57 inside #227351 — bear_high -2.46% -0.55
01/11 15:00
upd 01/11 19:14
1h anchor
#481899
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.741 expansion_after_compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 39% late 10b -2.0ATR — — 0.19 81% ↓ -0.91 value -1.57 — #227351 0.50 range_low -0.04% -0.93
01/11 18:00
upd 01/11 19:14
15m
#481812
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.638 compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 39% early 6b -0.5ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.52 49% ↓ -0.44 value -1.70 — #227253 0.09 range_low +0.61% -0.15
01/11 18:45
upd 01/11 19:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 36b — 6.327×ATR p88 +0.311×ATR p19
4h ↓ down late 4b — 4.28×ATR p63 -1.5×ATR p82
1h ↓ down late 10b — 2.677×ATR p60 -1.992×ATR p85
15m ↑ up early 6b — 1.253×ATR p4 -0.481×ATR p27

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07560087
  2. atr: 0.00162629
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-02T03:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 51
  2. total: 52
  3. score: 0.2738
  4. confidence: 0.98

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07072 0.0756 0.05714
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07072
  • Stop Loss: 0.0756
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0756 - 0.07072 = 0.00488

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07072 - = 0.07072

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07072 / 0.00488 = 14.4918

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
115.9646 100 1639.724 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00488

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00488 = 1639.34

Taille de position USD = 1639.34 x 0.07072 = 115.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 1639.34 avec un stoploss a 0.0756

Avec un position size USD de 115.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1639.34 x 0.00488 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1639.34 x 0.07072 = 115.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 115.93$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1639.34
  • Taille de position USD 115.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 115.93
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 14.4918

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 115.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.9 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.64 $ -0.55
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1524 % 16.7 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07072 0.0756 0.05714
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07072
  • Stop Loss: 0.0756
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0756 - 0.07072 = 0.00488

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07072 - = 0.07072

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07072 / 0.00488 = 14.4918

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.901% (0.0049)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.572% 0.2R -0.826% 0.1R 1.9× 12
2h +1.572% 0.2R -1.152% 0.2R 1.4× 24
3h ★ +1.572% 0.2R -1.152% 0.2R 1.4× 36
4h +1.572% 0.2R -1.714% 0.3R 0.9× 48
8h +1.572% 0.2R -1.714% 0.3R 0.9× 96
12h +2.780% 0.4R -1.714% 0.3R 1.6× 144
24h +6.581% 1.0R -1.714% 0.3R 3.8× 288
48h +12.062% 1.8R -1.714% 0.3R 7.0× 576
72h +14.987% 2.2R -1.714% 0.3R 8.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1194 min MAE in 224 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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