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Short Trade on RUNE

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01 Nov 2026 at 22:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 178.22 RUNE at 0.503$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5479 (8.93 %)

RUNE SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Nov 2026 22:15 → 01:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.503$

Qty 178.2152 RUNE

Size 89.6476$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 89.64$

SL 0.5479 (-8.93%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.88% / -2.58$ MAE -5.57% MFE +1.72% 0.2R expires 02 Nov 01:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240421)
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/11/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0521

Quality Score
0.345
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 0.62×ATR
1d clear 0.58×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.81
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/11 22:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/11 15:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/11 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7588
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 61.8%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h bullish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.008
Δ 1h
→+0.046
Δ 4h
▲+0.370
Δ 12h
▲+0.191
Δ 24h
▲+0.122

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 44.1%
1h 58.8%
4h 85.3%
24h 50.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 44.1% -0.02%
4h 47.1% +0.81%
24h 35.3% +0.01%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
17.7%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
17.7%
Tail ↑
+0.69
Tail ↓
+0.42
Dispersion : 0.099
Universe : 34 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 01/11 22:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3091
Score SMA
0.4976
Rank
#38 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2600
Rank Norm SMA
0.7593
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1589 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.91% · r3d: -10.45% · ema21_slope: -0.4554% · dist_ema21: -13.010%
Force Relative 25% 0.1523 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 0.836
Volume 20% 0.6890 rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 0.729 · trend: 104.08%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5704 ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.767% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.3446
Score SMA
0.5239
Rank
#54 / 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0521
Rank Norm SMA
0.5422
Calculé le
01/11/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0213 r1h: -1.621% · r4h: -9.480% · r1d: -18.55% · r3d: -23.32% · ema21_slope: -0.7445% · dist_ema21: -12.725%
Force Relative 25% 0.0552 rs_1h: -1.675% · rs_4h: -10.299% · rs_1d: -19.47% · rs_3d: -24.65% · beta_24h: 3.201
Volume 20% 0.4773 rvol_20: 1.24× · zscore_50: 0.311 · trend: 53.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9079 ADX: 48.9 (trend) · Chop: 17.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9277 ATR%: 3.217% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3243
Score SMA
0.5597
Rank
#53 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1275
Rank Norm SMA
0.7350
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2251 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.396% · r1d: -11.91% · r3d: -10.45% · ema21_slope: -0.1050% · dist_ema21: -11.557%
Force Relative 25% 0.1429 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.103% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 0.469
Volume 20% 0.5208 rvol_20: 1.22× · zscore_50: 0.958 · trend: 56.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6295 ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 27.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2248 ATR%: 5.326% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.926% (0.0449)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.199% 0.0R -2.024% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +1.722% 0.2R -2.024% 0.2R 0.9× 24
3h ★ +1.722% 0.2R -5.569% 0.6R 0.3× 36
4h +1.722% 0.2R -5.569% 0.6R 0.3× 48
8h +1.722% 0.2R -8.264% 0.9R 0.2× 96
12h +1.722% 0.2R -10.823% 1.2R 0.2× 144
24h +1.722% 0.2R -12.903% 1.5R 0.1× 288
48h +1.722% 0.2R -33.131% 3.7R 0.1× 576
72h +1.722% 0.2R -34.161% 3.8R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 94 min MAE in 1274 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.84
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 35% mid — — 0.66 range_high +0.70% -0.84 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
44%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.55 bear_high -2.46% -0.61 01/11 15:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 57% late — — 0.37 range_low +0.09% -0.98 01/11 21:00
15m ↓ down range range strong fading expansion bear_high
53%
choppy 52% late — — 0.07 range_low +0.59% -0.84 01/11 21:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#481985
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.588 expansion bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 35% mid 1b -1.6ATR — — 2.00 94% ↑ +0.72 below_value -5.37 — #227332 0.66 range_high +0.70% -0.84
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:18
4h
#481862
 ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.524 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
44%
noisy_chop 44% late 7b -2.3ATR — — 1.22 94% ↓ -0.31 below_value -5.37 inside #227332 0.55 bear_high -2.46% -0.61
01/11 15:00
upd 01/11 19:12
1h anchor
#482833
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.738 expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 57% late 4b -4.8ATR — — 1.24 87% ↑ +0.91 below_value -7.76 inside #227699 0.37 range_low +0.09% -0.98
01/11 21:00
upd 01/11 22:09
15m
#482778
 ↓ down range range strong fading 0.744 expansion bear_high
53%
choppy 52% late 12b -2.9ATR — — 2.53 96% ↑ +0.46 below_value -7.39 — #227591 0.07 range_low +0.59% -0.84
01/11 21:45
upd 01/11 22:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 1b — 3.278×ATR p14 -1.566×ATR p74
4h ↓ down late 7b — 6.012×ATR p88 -2.274×ATR p87
1h ↓ down late 4b — 4.182×ATR p75 -4.776×ATR p99
15m ↓ down late 12b — 6.946×ATR p84 -2.906×ATR p81

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.54791955
  2. atr: 0.01496318
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-02T06:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 54
  2. total: 54
  3. score: 0.0213
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.503 0.5479 0.5858
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.503
  • Stop Loss: 0.5479
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5479 - 0.503 = 0.0449

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.503 - = 0.503

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.503 / 0.0449 = 11.2027

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
89.6476 89.6476 178.2152 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0449

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0449 = 178.17

Taille de position USD = 178.17 x 0.503 = 89.62

Donc, tu peux acheter 178.17 avec un stoploss a 0.5479

Avec un position size USD de 89.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 178.17 x 0.0449 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 178.17 x 0.503 = 89.62

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 89.62$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 178.17
  • Taille de position USD 89.62
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 89.62
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 11.2027

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 89.64 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.93 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.58 $ -2.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.5686 % 62.38 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.503 0.5479 0.5858
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.503
  • Stop Loss: 0.5479
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5479 - 0.503 = 0.0449

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.503 - = 0.503

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.503 / 0.0449 = 11.2027

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.926% (0.0449)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.199% 0.0R -2.024% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +1.722% 0.2R -2.024% 0.2R 0.9× 24
3h ★ +1.722% 0.2R -5.569% 0.6R 0.3× 36
4h +1.722% 0.2R -5.569% 0.6R 0.3× 48
8h +1.722% 0.2R -8.264% 0.9R 0.2× 96
12h +1.722% 0.2R -10.823% 1.2R 0.2× 144
24h +1.722% 0.2R -12.903% 1.5R 0.1× 288
48h +1.722% 0.2R -33.131% 3.7R 0.1× 576
72h +1.722% 0.2R -34.161% 3.8R 0.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 94 min MAE in 1274 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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