Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)
With 112.01 AVAX at 8.677$ per unit. Take profit: 8.5592 (1.36 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7487 (0.82 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)
With 112.01 AVAX at 8.677$ per unit. Take profit: 8.5592 (1.36 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7487 (0.82 %)
Position
Entry 8.6773$
Qty 112.0067 AVAX
Size 971.9159$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 8.5592 (+1.36%)
TP $ 13.23$
SL 8.7487 (-0.82%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.65
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5719
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.22×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.53×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/11 22:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 54.1% |
| 1h | 18.9% |
| 4h | 89.2% |
| 24h | 48.7% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 62.2% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 56.8% | +0.66% |
| 24h | 29.7% | -0.06% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3072 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.64% · r3d: 5.16% · ema21_slope: -0.7634% · dist_ema21: -5.716% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4946 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.62% · rs_3d: 4.68% · beta_24h: 1.718 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3775 | rvol_20: 1.59× · zscore_50: -0.286 · trend: -33.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5847 | ADX: 24.9 (weak) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.303% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5359 | r1h: 0.829% · r4h: -0.052% · r1d: 0.49% · r3d: 2.88% · ema21_slope: -0.0316% · dist_ema21: 0.091% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5299 | rs_1h: 0.611% · rs_4h: -0.394% · rs_1d: -0.57% · rs_3d: 2.38% · beta_24h: 1.118 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2390 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.304 · trend: -5.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4782 | ADX: 15.3 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.867% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4561 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.052% · r1d: 0.49% · r3d: 2.88% · ema21_slope: 0.0061% · dist_ema21: 0.357% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5048 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.394% · rs_1d: -0.57% · rs_3d: 2.38% · beta_24h: 1.592 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3775 | rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: 0.344 · trend: 17.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5101 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.112% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.561% | 0.7R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 13.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.554% | 1.9R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 36.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.702% | 2.1R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 40.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.702% | 2.1R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 40.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.681% | 3.3R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 62.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.654% | 5.7R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 109.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.654% | 5.7R | -0.113% | 0.1R | 41.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.654% | 5.7R | -5.756% | 7.0R | 0.8× | 864 |
computed 3 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | 0.72 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.80 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -2.08% | +0.10 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.78 | range_low | +0.30% | -0.29 | 01/11 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.45 | range_low | +0.69% | -0.03 | 01/11 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481934
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.551 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late 33b -1.1ATR | — | — | 1.59 | 79% | ↓ -0.35 | value | -1.32 | — | #227317 | 0.72 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.80 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:16
|
|
4h
#483098
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.605 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 5b 0.2ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.90 | 65% | ↓ -0.32 | value | -1.34 | — | #227788 | 0.64 | bear_high | -2.08% | +0.10 |
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:11
|
|
1h
anchor #483097
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.679 | compression | range_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 2b 0.1ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.39 | 58% | ↓ -0.29 | value | -1.34 | — | #227788 | 0.78 | range_low | +0.30% | -0.29 |
01/11 22:00
upd 01/11 23:11
|
|
15m
#483257
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.571 | expansion | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 6b 0.3ATR | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.09 | 26% | ↓ -0.68 | value | -1.34 | — | #227788 | 0.45 | range_low | +0.69% | -0.03 |
01/11 23:15
upd 01/11 23:30
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 33b | — | 6.05×ATR | p85 | -1.136×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.924×ATR | p0 | +0.209×ATR | p16 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 0.604×ATR | p0 | +0.118×ATR | p8 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.057×ATR | p25 | +0.276×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
8.7418
146
0.4832
0.5776
0.3571
0.2019
0.4842
0.7107
0.2476
0.494
0.3623
0.3319
0.5578
0.5871
-0.0316
0.0076
0.6667
-0.1022
0.3202
0.45
0.55
-1
6
1
0.5962
0.4876
3.2674
0.65
0.7107
2.3221
0.3202
0.3614
0.3002
0.52
-0.2702
0.3719
0.4248
0.84
0.5871
-6.7546
9.6038
1
0
1
Array
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[time] => 2026-10-28 14:00:00
[price] => 8.7855
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-28 20:00:00
[price] => 9.1598
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-29 03:00:00
[price] => 8.553
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-29 05:00:00
[price] => 8.795
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[label] => LH
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Array
(
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[price] => 8.6172
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[price] => 9.0777
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Array
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[price] => 8.2533
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Array
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[price] => 8.6019
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
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[price] => 8
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[label] => LL
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(
[time] => 2026-10-30 06:00:00
[price] => 8.6752
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 12:00:00
[price] => 8.14
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-31 01:00:00
[price] => 8.6385
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-31 09:00:00
[price] => 8.3928
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-31 19:00:00
[price] => 8.6151
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 02:00:00
[price] => 8.5137
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 06:00:00
[price] => 9.0497
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00
[price] => 8.6791
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 15:00:00
[price] => 8.8097
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 22:00:00
[price] => 8.575
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
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[price] => 8.7418
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 06:15:00
[price] => 9.0497
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 09:15:00
[price] => 8.7737
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 10:00:00
[price] => 8.8907
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 12:15:00
[price] => 8.6791
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 13:15:00
[price] => 8.8012
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 14:30:00
[price] => 8.7254
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 15:15:00
[price] => 8.8097
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 19:00:00
[price] => 8.6298
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 21:00:00
[price] => 8.6978
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 22:30:00
[price] => 8.575
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 00:00:00
[price] => 8.7312
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 00:30:00
[price] => 8.65
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 01:00:00
[price] => 8.7418
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 02:45:00
[price] => 8.6132
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
8.575
8.7418
8.7418
8.575
8.6047
8.5137
8.5592
0.7907
8.82
8.6791
8.74955
0.781
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:42 | 8.67730000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:14 | 8.63640000 | -0.471% |
| 3 | 01:10 | 8.61590000 | -0.708% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6773 | 8.7487 | 8.5592 | 1.65 | 8.147 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7487 - 8.6773 = 0.071399999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.6773 - 8.5592 = 0.1181
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1181 / 0.071399999999999 = 1.6541
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 971.9159 | 100 | 112.0067 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.071399999999999 = 112.04
Taille de position USD = 112.04 x 8.6773 = 972.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 112.04 avec un stoploss a 8.7487
Avec un position size USD de 972.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 112.04 x 0.071399999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 112.04 x 0.1181 = 13.23
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 13.23$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.36 % | 13.23 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.82 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 13.23 $ | 1.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0426 % | 5.18 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6773 | 8.7487 | 8.5592 | 1.65 | 8.147 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7487 - 8.6773 = 0.071399999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.6773 - 8.5592 = 0.1181
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1181 / 0.071399999999999 = 1.6541
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.5345
[stop_loss] => 8.7487
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-02 07:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.561% | 0.7R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 13.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.554% | 1.9R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 36.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.702% | 2.1R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 40.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.702% | 2.1R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 40.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.681% | 3.3R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 62.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.654% | 5.7R | -0.043% | 0.1R | 109.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.654% | 5.7R | -0.113% | 0.1R | 41.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.654% | 5.7R | -5.756% | 7.0R | 0.8× | 864 |
computed 3 days ago
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