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Short Trade on INIT

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02 Nov 2026 at 01:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 396.32 INIT at 0.164$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1844 (12.3 %)

INIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 01:15 → 04:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1642$

Qty 396.3208 INIT

Size 65.0719$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 65.08$

SL 0.1844 (-12.3%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +6.21% / +4.04$ MAE -1.36% MFE +6.41% 0.5R expires 02 Nov 04:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240647)
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1575

Quality Score
0.312
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.91×ATR
4h near -0.51×ATR
1d clear 2.18×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.06
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 01:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/11 19:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/11 00:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7600
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 50.9%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h mixed Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.005
Δ 1h
▼-0.111
Δ 4h
▼-0.062
Δ 12h
▲+0.243
Δ 24h
▼-0.139

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 11.1%
1h 58.3%
4h 52.8%
24h 33.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 13.9% -0.11%
4h 55.6% +0.06%
24h 27.8% -0.85%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.55
Tail ↓
+0.44
Dispersion : 0.079
Universe : 36 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 01:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6456
Score SMA
0.7819
Rank
#1 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8086 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 3.2422% · dist_ema21: 18.230%
Force Relative 25% 0.6374 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -14.79% · beta_24h: 1.177
Volume 20% 0.4859 rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.429 · trend: 102.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9764 ADX: 57.2 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.3118
Score SMA
0.5408
Rank
#49 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1575
Rank Norm SMA
0.5409
Calculé le
02/11/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1728 r1h: -5.125% · r4h: -11.620% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -23.48% · ema21_slope: -0.0698% · dist_ema21: -8.826%
Force Relative 25% 0.0165 rs_1h: -5.083% · rs_4h: -11.569% · rs_1d: -8.68% · rs_3d: -23.25% · beta_24h: 0.284
Volume 20% 0.4533 rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: 0.713 · trend: 27.76%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5546 ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6863 ATR%: 3.941% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.3200
Score SMA
0.5706
Rank
#51 / 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0481
Rank Norm SMA
0.7115
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3625 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.266% · r1d: 4.18% · r3d: -18.28% · ema21_slope: -0.4172% · dist_ema21: -3.791%
Force Relative 25% 0.4429 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.608% · rs_1d: 3.11% · rs_3d: -18.78% · beta_24h: -0.864
Volume 20% 0.2186 rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.478 · trend: -43.02%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3789 ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 72.3 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.915% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -12.302% (0.0202)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.509% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.934% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +6.413% 0.5R -1.364% 0.1R 4.7× 36
4h +10.061% 0.8R -1.364% 0.1R 7.4× 48
8h +10.274% 0.8R -1.364% 0.1R 7.5× 96
12h +17.059% 1.4R -1.364% 0.1R 12.5× 144
24h +20.773% 1.7R -1.364% 0.1R 15.2× 288
48h +26.242% 2.1R -1.364% 0.1R 19.2× 576
72h +26.242% 2.1R -1.364% 0.1R 19.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1304 min MAE in 124 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.21
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.35 range_high +0.70% +1.00 31/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
49%
noisy_chop 37% early near -0.5ATR — 0.16 bear_high -2.08% -0.94 01/11 19:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.13 range_low -0.02% -0.65 02/11 00:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
47%
ranging_calm 54% late near -1.8ATR — 0.04 range_low +0.34% -0.82 02/11 00:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482040
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.711 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 37% early 4b 0.9ATR — — 0.86 97% ↑ +0.87 value -4.83 — #227349 0.35 range_high +0.70% +1.00
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
4h
#483168
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.631 compression bull_high
49%
noisy_chop 37% early 6b -0.6ATR near -0.5ATR — 0.76 82% ↓ -0.48 below_value -5.66 — #227823 0.16 bear_high -2.08% -0.94
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:14
1h anchor
#483717
 ↔ neutral range range strong fading 0.310 expansion bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 43% late 12b -2.8ATR — — 1.14 66% ↓ -0.18 below_value -7.03 — #228078 0.13 range_low -0.02% -0.65
02/11 00:00
upd 02/11 01:10
15m
#483666
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.544 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
47%
ranging_calm 54% late 4b -3.4ATR near -1.8ATR — 1.65 95% ↑ +0.38 below_value -6.47 — #227979 0.04 range_low +0.34% -0.82
02/11 00:45
upd 02/11 01:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 2.635×ATR p14 +0.893×ATR p54
4h ↑ up early 6b — 0.831×ATR p0 -0.559×ATR p38
1h ↓ down late 12b — 3.884×ATR p70 -2.759×ATR p96
15m ↓ down late 4b — 4.168×ATR p73 -3.402×ATR p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.18437567
  2. atr: 0.00672856
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-02T09:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 52
  2. total: 53
  3. score: 0.2258
  4. confidence: 0.981

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1642 0.1844 0.1273
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1642
  • Stop Loss: 0.1844
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1844 - 0.1642 = 0.0202

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1642 - = 0.1642

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1642 / 0.0202 = 8.1287

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
65.0719 65.0719 396.3208 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0202

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0202 = 396.04

Taille de position USD = 396.04 x 0.1642 = 65.03

Donc, tu peux acheter 396.04 avec un stoploss a 0.1844

Avec un position size USD de 65.03$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 396.04 x 0.0202 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 396.04 x 0.1642 = 65.03

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 65.03$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 396.04
  • Taille de position USD 65.03
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 65.03
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 8.1287

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 65.08 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
12.3 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
4.04 $ 6.21
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3642 % 11.09 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1642 0.1844 0.1273
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1642
  • Stop Loss: 0.1844
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1844 - 0.1642 = 0.0202

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1642 - = 0.1642

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1642 / 0.0202 = 8.1287

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -12.302% (0.0202)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.509% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.934% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +6.413% 0.5R -1.364% 0.1R 4.7× 36
4h +10.061% 0.8R -1.364% 0.1R 7.4× 48
8h +10.274% 0.8R -1.364% 0.1R 7.5× 96
12h +17.059% 1.4R -1.364% 0.1R 12.5× 144
24h +20.773% 1.7R -1.364% 0.1R 15.2× 288
48h +26.242% 2.1R -1.364% 0.1R 19.2× 576
72h +26.242% 2.1R -1.364% 0.1R 19.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1304 min MAE in 124 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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