Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 498.55 INIT at 0.164$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1601 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1802 (9.74 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 01:15:11
hyperliquid
INIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 01:15
→ 02:05
· 49 minutes
Position
Entry 0.1642$
Qty 498.5514 INIT
Size 81.8572$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1601 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.04$
SL 0.1802 (-9.74%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.26
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.04$
MAE -1.36%
MFE +10.27%
1.1R
expires
02 Nov 07:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240647)
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 01:00
score du 02/11/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1575
Quality Score
0.312
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.91×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.51×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.18×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.06
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 01:02
02/11 01:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 00:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7600
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
50.9%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.005
Δ 1h
▼-0.111
Δ 4h
▼-0.062
Δ 12h
▲+0.243
Δ 24h
▼-0.139
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 11.1% |
| 1h | 58.3% |
| 4h | 52.8% |
| 24h | 33.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 13.9% | -0.11% |
| 4h | 55.6% | +0.06% |
| 24h | 27.8% | -0.85% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.55
Tail ↓
+0.44
Dispersion :
0.079
Universe :
36
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 01:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6456
Score SMA
0.7819
Rank
#1
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8086 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 3.2422% · dist_ema21: 18.230% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6374 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -14.79% · beta_24h: 1.177 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4859 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.429 · trend: 102.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9764 | ADX: 57.2 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.3118
Score SMA
0.5408
Rank
#49
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1575
Rank Norm SMA
0.5409
Calculé le
02/11/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1728 | r1h: -5.125% · r4h: -11.620% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -23.48% · ema21_slope: -0.0698% · dist_ema21: -8.826% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0165 | rs_1h: -5.083% · rs_4h: -11.569% · rs_1d: -8.68% · rs_3d: -23.25% · beta_24h: 0.284 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4533 | rvol_20: 1.14× · zscore_50: 0.713 · trend: 27.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5546 | ADX: 17.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6863 | ATR%: 3.941% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.3200
Score SMA
0.5706
Rank
#51
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0481
Rank Norm SMA
0.7115
Calculé le
01/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3625 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.266% · r1d: 4.18% · r3d: -18.28% · ema21_slope: -0.4172% · dist_ema21: -3.791% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4429 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.608% · rs_1d: 3.11% · rs_3d: -18.78% · beta_24h: -0.864 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2186 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.478 · trend: -43.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3789 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 72.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.915% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.744%
(0.0160)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.509% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.934% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +10.061% | 1.0R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +10.274% | 1.1R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +10.274% | 1.1R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +17.059% | 1.8R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 12.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +20.773% | 2.1R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 15.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +26.242% | 2.7R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 19.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +26.242% | 2.7R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 19.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1304 min
MAE in 124 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.42
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_high | +0.70% | +1.00 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.16 | bear_high | -2.08% | -0.94 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.13 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.65 | 02/11 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
ranging_calm 54% | late | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.04 | range_low | +0.34% | -0.82 | 02/11 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482040
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.711 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b 0.9ATR | — | — | 0.86 | 97% | ↑ +0.87 | value | -4.83 | — | #227349 | 0.35 | range_high | +0.70% | +1.00 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
|
|
4h
#483168
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.631 | compression | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 6b -0.6ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.76 | 82% | ↓ -0.48 | below_value | -5.66 | — | #227823 | 0.16 | bear_high | -2.08% | -0.94 |
01/11 19:00
upd 01/11 23:14
|
|
1h
anchor #483717
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | 0.310 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 12b -2.8ATR | — | — | 1.14 | 66% | ↓ -0.18 | below_value | -7.03 | — | #228078 | 0.13 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.65 |
02/11 00:00
upd 02/11 01:10
|
|
15m
#483666
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.544 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
47%
|
ranging_calm 54% | late 4b -3.4ATR | near -1.8ATR | — | 1.65 | 95% | ↑ +0.38 | below_value | -6.47 | — | #227979 | 0.04 | range_low | +0.34% | -0.82 |
02/11 00:45
upd 02/11 01:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.635×ATR | p14 | +0.893×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0.831×ATR | p0 | -0.559×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 3.884×ATR | p70 | -2.759×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 4.168×ATR | p73 | -3.402×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.18023649
- tp_price: 0.16008525
- atr: 0.00641859
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T12:15:11+00:00
Details
- rank: 52
- total: 53
- score: 0.2258
- delta_2h: -0.0694
- extension_atr: -2.68
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1575
- confidence: 0.981
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1642 | 0.1802 | 0.1601 | 0.26 | 0.1217 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1642
- Stop Loss: 0.1802
- Take Profit: 0.1601
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1802 - 0.1642 = 0.016
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1642 - 0.1601 = 0.0041
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0041 / 0.016 = 0.2563
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81.8572 | 81.8572 | 498.5514 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.016
Taille de position = 8 / 0.016 = 500
Taille de position USD = 500 x 0.1642 = 82.1
Donc, tu peux acheter 500 avec un stoploss a 0.1802
Avec un position size USD de 82.1$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 500 x 0.016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 500 x 0.0041 = 2.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.05$
Résumé
- Taille de position 500
- Taille de position USD 82.1
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.05
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2563
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.74 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.04 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1642 | 0.1802 | 0.1601 | 0.26 | 0.1217 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1642
- Stop Loss: 0.1802
- Take Profit: 0.1601
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1802 - 0.1642 = 0.016
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1642 - 0.1601 = 0.0041
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0041 / 0.016 = 0.2563
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.744%
(0.0160)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.509% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.934% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +10.061% | 1.0R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 7.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +10.274% | 1.1R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +10.274% | 1.1R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +17.059% | 1.8R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 12.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +20.773% | 2.1R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 15.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +26.242% | 2.7R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 19.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +26.242% | 2.7R | -1.364% | 0.1R | 19.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1304 min
MAE in 124 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.