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Short Trade on INIT

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02 Nov 2026 at 04:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 420.42 INIT at 0.157$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1756 (12.13 %)

INIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 04:15 → 07:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.1566$

Qty 420.4163 INIT

Size 65.833$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 65.84$

SL 0.1756 (-12.13%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.78% / -1.17$ MAE -4.20% MFE +5.92% 0.5R expires 02 Nov 07:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240853)
#50 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1088

Quality Score
0.383
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#50 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#50 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.34×ATR
4h near 0.42×ATR
1d clear 2.18×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.78
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 04:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/11 23:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/11 03:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7612
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 17.1%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.005
Δ 1h
▲+0.060
Δ 4h
▼-0.449
Δ 12h
→+0.021
Δ 24h
▼-0.505

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 59.5%
1h 75.7%
4h 10.8%
24h 13.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 40.5% +0.03%
4h 21.6% -0.78%
24h 18.9% -3.07%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.7%
Down ≥1σ
8.1%
Expansion
10.8%
Tail ↑
+0.45
Tail ↓
+0.50
Dispersion : 0.163
Universe : 37 (+1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 04:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6456
Score SMA
0.7819
Rank
#1 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8086 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 3.2422% · dist_ema21: 18.230%
Force Relative 25% 0.6374 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -14.79% · beta_24h: 1.177
Volume 20% 0.4859 rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.429 · trend: 102.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9764 ADX: 57.2 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 14.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3834
Score SMA
0.5338
Rank
#50 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1088
Rank Norm SMA
0.5246
Calculé le
02/11/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0748 r1h: -2.165% · r4h: -11.010% · r1d: -12.21% · r3d: -30.45% · ema21_slope: -0.3607% · dist_ema21: -11.627%
Force Relative 25% 0.0276 rs_1h: -2.337% · rs_4h: -10.805% · rs_1d: -12.19% · rs_3d: -30.72% · beta_24h: 0.005
Volume 20% 0.8636 rvol_20: 2.80× · zscore_50: 2.457 · trend: 49.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6734 ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 35.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5950 ATR%: 4.215% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.2422
Score SMA
0.5598
Rank
#51 / 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0290
Rank Norm SMA
0.6886
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2250 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -10.283% · r1d: -9.52% · r3d: -25.82% · ema21_slope: -0.4759% · dist_ema21: -12.597%
Force Relative 25% 0.1895 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -9.627% · rs_1d: -9.71% · rs_3d: -25.74% · beta_24h: -0.594
Volume 20% 0.3140 rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: -0.279 · trend: -34.85%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4303 ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 66.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.129% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -12.133% (0.0190)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +5.696% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +5.920% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +5.920% 0.5R -4.195% 0.4R 1.4× 36
4h +5.920% 0.5R -4.195% 0.4R 1.4× 48
8h +13.033% 1.1R -4.195% 0.4R 3.1× 96
12h +14.891% 1.2R -4.195% 0.4R 3.6× 144
24h +18.308% 1.5R -4.195% 0.4R 4.4× 288
48h +22.663% 1.9R -4.195% 0.4R 5.4× 576
72h +22.663% 1.9R -4.195% 0.4R 5.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1329 min MAE in 134 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.44
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.35 range_high +0.70% +1.00 31/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% late near 0.4ATR — 0.17 bear_high -2.68% -1.00 01/11 23:00
1h ↓ down range range strong fading normal bear_high_confirmed
52%
choppy 51% late near 0.3ATR — 0.13 range_low -0.17% -0.99 02/11 03:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
57%
ranging_calm 53% late — — 0.02 range_low +0.16% -0.86 02/11 03:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#482040
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.711 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
73%
noisy_chop 37% early 4b 0.9ATR — — 0.86 97% ↑ +0.87 value -4.83 — #227349 0.35 range_high +0.70% +1.00
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
4h
#484276
 ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.542 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% late 4b -1.7ATR near 0.4ATR — 1.20 86% ↓ -0.30 below_value -9.03 — #228280 0.17 bear_high -2.68% -1.00
01/11 23:00
upd 02/11 03:13
1h anchor
#484554
 ↓ down range range strong fading 0.692 normal bear_high_confirmed
52%
choppy 51% late 15b -3.7ATR near 0.3ATR — 2.80 85% ↔ +0.13 below_value -8.70 — #228433 0.13 range_low -0.17% -0.99
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 04:09
15m
#484502
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong grind 0.472 expansion bear_high_confirmed
57%
ranging_calm 53% late 16b -2.9ATR — — 0.27 44% ↔ -0.03 below_value -9.03 — #228280 0.02 range_low +0.16% -0.86
02/11 03:45
upd 02/11 04:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 2.635×ATR p14 +0.893×ATR p54
4h ↓ down late 4b — 2.608×ATR p29 -1.733×ATR p82
1h ↓ down late 15b — 5.441×ATR p94 -3.674×ATR p99
15m ↓ down late 16b — 7.23×ATR p96 -2.944×ATR p90

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.17561876
  2. atr: 0.00634292
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-02T12:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 52
  2. total: 52
  3. score: 0.1579
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1566 0.1756 0.2502
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1566
  • Stop Loss: 0.1756
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1756 - 0.1566 = 0.019

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1566 - = 0.1566

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1566 / 0.019 = 8.2421

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
65.833 65.833 420.4163 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.019

Taille de position = 8 / 0.019 = 421.05

Taille de position USD = 421.05 x 0.1566 = 65.94

Donc, tu peux acheter 421.05 avec un stoploss a 0.1756

Avec un position size USD de 65.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 421.05 x 0.019 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 421.05 x 0.1566 = 65.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 65.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 421.05
  • Taille de position USD 65.94
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 65.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 8.2421

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 65.84 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
12.13 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-1.17 $ -1.78
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.1954 % 34.58 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1566 0.1756 0.2502
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1566
  • Stop Loss: 0.1756
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1756 - 0.1566 = 0.019

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1566 - = 0.1566

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1566 / 0.019 = 8.2421

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -12.133% (0.0190)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +5.696% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +5.920% 0.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
3h ★ +5.920% 0.5R -4.195% 0.4R 1.4× 36
4h +5.920% 0.5R -4.195% 0.4R 1.4× 48
8h +13.033% 1.1R -4.195% 0.4R 3.1× 96
12h +14.891% 1.2R -4.195% 0.4R 3.6× 144
24h +18.308% 1.5R -4.195% 0.4R 4.4× 288
48h +22.663% 1.9R -4.195% 0.4R 5.4× 576
72h +22.663% 1.9R -4.195% 0.4R 5.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1329 min MAE in 134 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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