Short Trade on STRK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 6527.04 STRK at 0.042$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04092 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0432 (2.93 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 04:15:14
hyperliquid
STRK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 04:15
→ 10:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.04197$
Qty 6527.0424 STRK
Size 273.94$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04092 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.85$
SL 0.0432 (-2.93%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.85
Status
win
PnL
+0.91%
/ +2.48$
MAE -0.45%
MFE +1.57%
0.5R
expires
02 Nov 10:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240841)
#46 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 04:00
score du 02/11/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4589
Quality Score
0.429
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#46 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.12×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.10×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.78
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 04:01
02/11 04:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7612
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
17.1%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.005
Δ 1h
▲+0.060
Δ 4h
▼-0.449
Δ 12h
→+0.021
Δ 24h
▼-0.505
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 59.5% |
| 1h | 75.7% |
| 4h | 10.8% |
| 24h | 13.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 40.5% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 21.6% | -0.78% |
| 24h | 18.9% | -3.07% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.7%
Down ≥1σ
8.1%
Expansion
10.8%
Tail ↑
+0.45
Tail ↓
+0.50
Dispersion :
0.163
Universe :
37
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 04:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2926
Score SMA
0.3496
Rank
#42
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1800
Rank Norm SMA
0.4955
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2298 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.16% · r3d: 1.32% · ema21_slope: -1.7651% · dist_ema21: -17.930% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4582 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.18% · rs_3d: 0.84% · beta_24h: 4.967 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1640 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.540 · trend: -76.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5090 | ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 63.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 17.420% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4285
Score SMA
0.4981
Rank
#46
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4589
Rank Norm SMA
0.4187
Calculé le
02/11/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3079 | r1h: 0.286% · r4h: -2.071% · r1d: -4.67% · r3d: -5.78% · ema21_slope: -0.1370% · dist_ema21: -1.849% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3574 | rs_1h: 0.114% · rs_4h: -1.866% · rs_1d: -4.64% · rs_3d: -6.05% · beta_24h: 1.921 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2028 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.832 · trend: -6.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6915 | ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.227% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3301
Score SMA
0.3828
Rank
#48
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2988
Rank Norm SMA
0.1262
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1778 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.982% · r1d: -4.46% · r3d: -6.57% · ema21_slope: -0.2001% · dist_ema21: -4.568% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2976 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.325% · rs_1d: -4.65% · rs_3d: -6.49% · beta_24h: 1.902 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2678 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.280 · trend: -51.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4223 | ADX: 12.4 (weak) · Chop: 60.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8546 | ATR%: 3.436% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.931%
(0.0012)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.286% | 0.1R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.953% | 0.3R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.573% | 0.5R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.573% | 0.5R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.954% | 0.7R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.812% | 1.3R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 8.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.670% | 1.6R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 10.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.670% | 1.6R | -7.791% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.670% | 1.6R | -7.791% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1294 min
MAE in 34 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.63
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.48 | range_high | +0.70% | -1.00 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.33 | bear_high | -2.68% | -0.09 | 01/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.47 | range_low | -0.17% | -0.40 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 54% | early | — | — | 0.41 | range_low | +0.16% | -0.32 | 02/11 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482009
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | 0.750 | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 21b -2.0ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.11 | 72% | ↓ -0.92 | below_value | -8.06 | — | #227339 | 0.48 | range_high | +0.70% | -1.00 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#484254
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.510 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 10b -1.7ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 1.04 | 25% | ↓ -0.28 | below_value | -8.24 | — | #228269 | 0.33 | bear_high | -2.68% | -0.09 |
01/11 23:00
upd 02/11 03:12
|
|
1h
anchor #484543
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.396 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 4b -1.5ATR | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.15 | 1% | ↔ +0.14 | below_value | -8.23 | — | #228422 | 0.47 | range_low | -0.17% | -0.40 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 04:09
|
|
15m
#484491
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.393 | compression | bear_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 54% | early 9b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.01 | 1% | ↓ -0.85 | below_value | -8.24 | — | #228269 | 0.41 | range_low | +0.16% | -0.32 |
02/11 03:45
upd 02/11 04:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 11.286×ATR | p94 | -2.011×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.864×ATR | p33 | -1.684×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.603×ATR | p78 | -1.456×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.937×ATR | p3 | -0.86×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04319567
- tp_price: 0.04092075
- atr: 0.00049027
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T15:15:14+00:00
Details
- rank: 47
- total: 52
- score: 0.3147
- delta_2h: -0.0255
- extension_atr: -1.61
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4564
- confidence: 0.902
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04197 | 0.0432 | 0.04092 | 0.85 | 0.03765 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04197
- Stop Loss: 0.0432
- Take Profit: 0.04092
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0432 - 0.04197 = 0.00123
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04197 - 0.04092 = 0.00105
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00105 / 0.00123 = 0.8537
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 273.94 | 100 | 6527.0424 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00123
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00123 = 6504.07
Taille de position USD = 6504.07 x 0.04197 = 272.98
Donc, tu peux acheter 6504.07 avec un stoploss a 0.0432
Avec un position size USD de 272.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6504.07 x 0.00123 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6504.07 x 0.00105 = 6.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.83$
Résumé
- Taille de position 6504.07
- Taille de position USD 272.98
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.83
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8537
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.85 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.93 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.48 $ | 0.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4527 % | 15.45 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04197 | 0.0432 | 0.04092 | 0.85 | 0.03765 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04197
- Stop Loss: 0.0432
- Take Profit: 0.04092
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0432 - 0.04197 = 0.00123
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04197 - 0.04092 = 0.00105
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00105 / 0.00123 = 0.8537
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.931%
(0.0012)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.286% | 0.1R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.953% | 0.3R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.573% | 0.5R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.573% | 0.5R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.954% | 0.7R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 4.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.812% | 1.3R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 8.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.670% | 1.6R | -0.453% | 0.2R | 10.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.670% | 1.6R | -7.791% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.670% | 1.6R | -7.791% | 2.7R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1294 min
MAE in 34 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.