Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1271.6 CRV at 0.274$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2668 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2799 (2.3 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 04:15:14
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 04:15
→ 10:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2736$
Qty 1271.6033 CRV
Size 347.9615$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2668 (+2.49%)
TP $ 8.65$
SL 0.2799 (-2.3%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 1.08
Status
win
PnL
+0.35%
/ +1.22$
MAE -0.97%
MFE +1.24%
0.5R
expires
02 Nov 10:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240824)
#45 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 04:00
score du 02/11/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1780
Quality Score
0.434
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.57×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.78
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 04:00
02/11 04:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7612
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
17.1%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.005
Δ 1h
▲+0.060
Δ 4h
▼-0.449
Δ 12h
→+0.021
Δ 24h
▼-0.505
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 59.5% |
| 1h | 75.7% |
| 4h | 10.8% |
| 24h | 13.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 40.5% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 21.6% | -0.78% |
| 24h | 18.9% | -3.07% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.7%
Down ≥1σ
8.1%
Expansion
10.8%
Tail ↑
+0.45
Tail ↓
+0.50
Dispersion :
0.163
Universe :
37
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 04:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2343
Score SMA
0.2956
Rank
#50
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0200
Rank Norm SMA
0.2761
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1608 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.60% · r3d: -8.97% · ema21_slope: -0.8103% · dist_ema21: -16.516% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2113 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.62% · rs_3d: -9.45% · beta_24h: 2.365 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1721 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -1.159 · trend: -12.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6586 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 37.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.336% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4338
Score SMA
0.4603
Rank
#45
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1780
Rank Norm SMA
0.2371
Calculé le
02/11/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3441 | r1h: 0.143% · r4h: -0.986% · r1d: -3.90% · r3d: -3.42% · ema21_slope: -0.1262% · dist_ema21: -1.586% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4033 | rs_1h: -0.029% · rs_4h: -0.781% · rs_1d: -3.88% · rs_3d: -3.70% · beta_24h: 1.613 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2108 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.075 · trend: -54.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5838 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.996% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3439
Score SMA
0.4090
Rank
#46
/ 52
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1357
Rank Norm SMA
0.1972
Calculé le
02/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1804 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.089% · r1d: -4.38% · r3d: -3.07% · ema21_slope: -0.5054% · dist_ema21: -5.719% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2765 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.433% · rs_1d: -4.56% · rs_3d: -2.99% · beta_24h: 1.276 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1731 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.404 · trend: -55.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5738 | ADX: 40.3 (trend) · Chop: 70.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.826% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.303%
(0.0063)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.402% | 0.2R | -0.395% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.148% | 0.5R | -0.395% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.235% | 0.5R | -0.395% | 0.2R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.235% | 0.5R | -0.972% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.776% | 0.8R | -0.972% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.969% | 1.7R | -0.972% | 0.4R | 4.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.985% | 2.2R | -0.972% | 0.4R | 5.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.990% | 3.5R | -0.972% | 0.4R | 8.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.990% | 3.5R | -3.070% | 1.3R | 2.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1294 min
MAE in 284 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.64 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.95 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.68% | -0.83 | 01/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.41 | range_low | -0.17% | -0.40 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | — | 0.55 | range_low | +0.16% | -0.15 | 02/11 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481958
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.482 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 10b -2.2ATR | — | — | 0.41 | 45% | ↓ -0.34 | value | -2.05 | — | #227324 | 0.64 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.95 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:17
|
|
4h
#484220
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.753 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 16b -3.1ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.15 | 2% | ↓ -0.84 | value | -4.34 | inside | #228252 | 0.50 | bear_high | -2.68% | -0.83 |
01/11 23:00
upd 02/11 03:11
|
|
1h
anchor #484526
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.495 | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 7b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.60 | 44% | ↓ -0.58 | value | -4.25 | — | #228405 | 0.41 | range_low | -0.17% | -0.40 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 04:08
|
|
15m
#484474
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.490 | compression | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early 3b -0.6ATR | — | — | 1.29 | 65% | ↔ -0.14 | value | -4.34 | — | #228252 | 0.55 | range_low | +0.16% | -0.15 |
02/11 03:45
upd 02/11 04:00
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.043×ATR | p65 | -2.208×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 2.512×ATR | p17 | -3.124×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.031×ATR | p67 | -1.552×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.484×ATR | p0 | -0.649×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.27993127
- tp_price: 0.266799
- atr: 0.00251651
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T15:15:14+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 52
- score: 0.3441
- delta_2h: -0.0073
- extension_atr: -1.33
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1756
- confidence: 0.863
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2736 | 0.2799 | 0.2668 | 1.08 | 0.2483 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2736
- Stop Loss: 0.2799
- Take Profit: 0.2668
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2799 - 0.2736 = 0.0063
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2736 - 0.2668 = 0.0068
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0068 / 0.0063 = 1.0794
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 347.9615 | 100 | 1271.6033 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0063
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0063 = 1269.84
Taille de position USD = 1269.84 x 0.2736 = 347.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 1269.84 avec un stoploss a 0.2799
Avec un position size USD de 347.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1269.84 x 0.0063 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1269.84 x 0.0068 = 8.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.63$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1269.84
- Taille de position USD 347.43
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.63
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0794
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 8.65 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.3 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.22 $ | 0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9722 % | 42.22 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2736 | 0.2799 | 0.2668 | 1.08 | 0.2483 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2736
- Stop Loss: 0.2799
- Take Profit: 0.2668
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2799 - 0.2736 = 0.0063
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2736 - 0.2668 = 0.0068
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0068 / 0.0063 = 1.0794
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.303%
(0.0063)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.402% | 0.2R | -0.395% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.148% | 0.5R | -0.395% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.235% | 0.5R | -0.395% | 0.2R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.235% | 0.5R | -0.972% | 0.4R | 1.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.776% | 0.8R | -0.972% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.969% | 1.7R | -0.972% | 0.4R | 4.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.985% | 2.2R | -0.972% | 0.4R | 5.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.990% | 3.5R | -0.972% | 0.4R | 8.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.990% | 3.5R | -3.070% | 1.3R | 2.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1294 min
MAE in 284 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.