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Short Trade on RUNE

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02 Nov 2026 at 07:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 164.15 RUNE at 0.532$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5808 (9.15 %)

RUNE SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 07:15 → 10:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.5321$

Qty 164.148 RUNE

Size 87.3399$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 87.34$

SL 0.5808 (-9.15%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status loss PnL -4.27% / -3.73$ MAE -4.76% MFE +0.37% 0.0R expires 02 Nov 10:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 240993)
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4140

Quality Score
0.352
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.67×ATR
4h clear 1.23×ATR
1d clear 0.58×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.38
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 07:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/11 03:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/11 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7624
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

compression

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 25.6%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.043
Δ 4h
▲+0.145
Δ 12h
▼-0.299
Δ 24h
▼-0.267

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 59.0%
1h 41.0%
4h 23.1%
24h 15.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 56.4% +0.02%
4h 43.6% -0.38%
24h 15.4% -2.95%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.6%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
5.1%
Tail ↑
+0.32
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion : 0.080
Universe : 39 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 07:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3091
Score SMA
0.4976
Rank
#38 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2600
Rank Norm SMA
0.7593
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1589 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.91% · r3d: -10.45% · ema21_slope: -0.4554% · dist_ema21: -13.010%
Force Relative 25% 0.1523 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 0.836
Volume 20% 0.6890 rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 0.729 · trend: 104.08%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5704 ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.767% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3521
Score SMA
0.5184
Rank
#54 / 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4140
Rank Norm SMA
0.5186
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3269 r1h: 2.722% · r4h: 2.300% · r1d: -13.77% · r3d: -18.40% · ema21_slope: -0.7679% · dist_ema21: -1.938%
Force Relative 25% 0.4215 rs_1h: 2.831% · rs_4h: 2.572% · rs_1d: -13.68% · rs_3d: -19.09% · beta_24h: 2.516
Volume 20% 0.2665 rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.253 · trend: 12.42%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8495 ADX: 44.6 (trend) · Chop: 41.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8869 ATR%: 3.339% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3257
Score SMA
0.5386
Rank
#50 / 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2092
Rank Norm SMA
0.6787
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2864 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.300% · r1d: -13.77% · r3d: -18.40% · ema21_slope: -0.5550% · dist_ema21: -11.222%
Force Relative 25% 0.2246 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.572% · rs_1d: -13.68% · rs_3d: -19.09% · beta_24h: 0.017
Volume 20% 0.7036 rvol_20: 1.83× · zscore_50: 1.370 · trend: 107.78%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6676 ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 20.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.029% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.152% (0.0487)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.069% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.370% 0.0R -3.067% 0.3R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.370% 0.0R -4.762% 0.5R 0.1× 36
4h +0.370% 0.0R -5.926% 0.7R 0.1× 48
8h +0.370% 0.0R -6.452% 0.7R 0.1× 96
12h +0.370% 0.0R -6.615% 0.7R 0.1× 144
24h +0.370% 0.0R -12.761% 1.4R 0.0× 288
48h +0.370% 0.0R -25.850% 2.8R 0.0× 576
72h +0.370% 0.0R -26.824% 2.9R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 74 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 35% mid — — 0.66 range_high +0.70% -0.84 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate balanced expansion bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.51 bear_high -2.88% -0.98 02/11 03:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.35 range_low -0.58% -0.86 02/11 06:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 44% early — near -1.0ATR 0.12 range_low -0.26% +0.39 02/11 06:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#481985
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.588 expansion bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 35% mid 1b -1.6ATR — — 2.00 94% ↑ +0.72 below_value -5.37 — #227332 0.66 range_high +0.70% -0.84
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:18
4h
#485374
 ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.528 expansion bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 50% late 10b -1.8ATR — — 1.83 97% ↑ +0.28 below_value -5.43 inside #228727 0.51 bear_high -2.88% -0.98
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:12
1h anchor
#485373
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.431 volatile_reversal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 45% early 3b -0.5ATR — — 0.50 81% ↔ -0.11 below_value -5.43 — #228727 0.35 range_low -0.58% -0.86
02/11 06:00
upd 02/11 07:12
15m
#485298
 ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced 0.608 expansion bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 44% early 2b 1.6ATR — near -1.0ATR 0.99 81% ↔ +0.08 below_value -6.69 — #228621 0.12 range_low -0.26% +0.39
02/11 06:45
upd 02/11 07:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 1b — 3.278×ATR p14 -1.566×ATR p74
4h ↓ down late 10b — 6.185×ATR p88 -1.814×ATR p75
1h ↓ down early 3b — 0.61×ATR p2 -0.536×ATR p33
15m ↑ up early 2b — 2.703×ATR p44 +1.593×ATR p48

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.5808165
  2. atr: 0.0162455
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-02T15:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 54
  2. total: 54
  3. score: 0.1232
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5321 0.5808 0.6006
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5321
  • Stop Loss: 0.5808
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5808 - 0.5321 = 0.0487

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5321 - = 0.5321

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5321 / 0.0487 = 10.9261

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
87.3399 87.3399 164.148 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0487

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0487 = 164.27

Taille de position USD = 164.27 x 0.5321 = 87.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 164.27 avec un stoploss a 0.5808

Avec un position size USD de 87.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 164.27 x 0.0487 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 164.27 x 0.5321 = 87.41

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 87.41$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 164.27
  • Taille de position USD 87.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 87.41
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 10.9261

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 87.34 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.15 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-3.73 $ -4.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.7623 % 52.03 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5321 0.5808 0.6006
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5321
  • Stop Loss: 0.5808
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5808 - 0.5321 = 0.0487

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5321 - = 0.5321

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5321 / 0.0487 = 10.9261

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.152% (0.0487)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.069% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.370% 0.0R -3.067% 0.3R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.370% 0.0R -4.762% 0.5R 0.1× 36
4h +0.370% 0.0R -5.926% 0.7R 0.1× 48
8h +0.370% 0.0R -6.452% 0.7R 0.1× 96
12h +0.370% 0.0R -6.615% 0.7R 0.1× 144
24h +0.370% 0.0R -12.761% 1.4R 0.0× 288
48h +0.370% 0.0R -25.850% 2.8R 0.0× 576
72h +0.370% 0.0R -26.824% 2.9R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 74 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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