Short Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 185.61 RUNE at 0.532$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5188 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5752 (8.1 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 07:15:14
hyperliquid
RUNE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 07:15
→ 13:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.5321$
Qty 185.6069 RUNE
Size 98.7577$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5188 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.47$
SL 0.5752 (-8.1%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.31
Status
loss
PnL
-5.68%
/ -5.61$
MAE -6.45%
MFE +0.37%
0.1R
expires
02 Nov 13:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 240993)
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 07:00
score du 02/11/2026 07:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4140
Quality Score
0.352
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.10 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#54 / 54
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.10 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.67×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.58×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.38
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 07:00
02/11 07:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7624
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
25.6%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.043
Δ 4h
▲+0.145
Δ 12h
▼-0.299
Δ 24h
▼-0.267
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 59.0% |
| 1h | 41.0% |
| 4h | 23.1% |
| 24h | 15.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 56.4% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 43.6% | -0.38% |
| 24h | 15.4% | -2.95% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.6%
Down ≥1σ
2.6%
Expansion
5.1%
Tail ↑
+0.32
Tail ↓
+0.37
Dispersion :
0.080
Universe :
39
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 07:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3091
Score SMA
0.4976
Rank
#38
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2600
Rank Norm SMA
0.7593
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1589 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.91% · r3d: -10.45% · ema21_slope: -0.4554% · dist_ema21: -13.010% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1523 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.93% · rs_3d: -10.94% · beta_24h: 0.836 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6890 | rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 0.729 · trend: 104.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5704 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.767% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3521
Score SMA
0.5184
Rank
#54
/ 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4140
Rank Norm SMA
0.5186
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3269 | r1h: 2.722% · r4h: 2.300% · r1d: -13.77% · r3d: -18.40% · ema21_slope: -0.7679% · dist_ema21: -1.938% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4215 | rs_1h: 2.831% · rs_4h: 2.572% · rs_1d: -13.68% · rs_3d: -19.09% · beta_24h: 2.516 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2665 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.253 · trend: 12.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8495 | ADX: 44.6 (trend) · Chop: 41.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8869 | ATR%: 3.339% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.3257
Score SMA
0.5386
Rank
#50
/ 54
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2092
Rank Norm SMA
0.6787
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2864 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.300% · r1d: -13.77% · r3d: -18.40% · ema21_slope: -0.5550% · dist_ema21: -11.222% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2246 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.572% · rs_1d: -13.68% · rs_3d: -19.09% · beta_24h: 0.017 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7036 | rvol_20: 1.83× · zscore_50: 1.370 · trend: 107.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6676 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 20.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.029% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.100%
(0.0431)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.069% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -3.067% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -5.926% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.370% | 0.1R | -6.452% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -6.452% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -6.615% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -12.761% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -25.850% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -26.824% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 74 min
MAE in 1439 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.84 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.98 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.86 | 02/11 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.12 | range_low | -0.26% | +0.39 | 02/11 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481985
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.588 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 1b -1.6ATR | — | — | 2.00 | 94% | ↑ +0.72 | below_value | -5.37 | — | #227332 | 0.66 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.84 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:18
|
|
4h
#485374
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.528 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 10b -1.8ATR | — | — | 1.83 | 97% | ↑ +0.28 | below_value | -5.43 | inside | #228727 | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.98 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:12
|
|
1h
anchor #485373
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.431 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 3b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.50 | 81% | ↔ -0.11 | below_value | -5.43 | — | #228727 | 0.35 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.86 |
02/11 06:00
upd 02/11 07:12
|
|
15m
#485298
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.608 | expansion | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 2b 1.6ATR | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.99 | 81% | ↔ +0.08 | below_value | -6.69 | — | #228621 | 0.12 | range_low | -0.26% | +0.39 |
02/11 06:45
upd 02/11 07:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 3.278×ATR | p14 | -1.566×ATR | p74 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 6.185×ATR | p88 | -1.814×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.61×ATR | p2 | -0.536×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.703×ATR | p44 | +1.593×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.57518184
- tp_price: 0.518778
- atr: 0.01724073
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T18:15:14+00:00
Details
- rank: 54
- total: 54
- score: 0.1232
- delta_2h: -0.0164
- extension_atr: -0.55
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3723
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:15 | 0.53208000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 09:15 | 0.53496000 | +0.537% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5321 | 0.5752 | 0.5188 | 0.31 | 0.6097 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5321
- Stop Loss: 0.5752
- Take Profit: 0.5188
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5752 - 0.5321 = 0.0431
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5321 - 0.5188 = 0.0133
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0133 / 0.0431 = 0.3086
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 98.7577 | 98.7577 | 185.6069 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0431
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0431 = 185.61
Taille de position USD = 185.61 x 0.5321 = 98.76
Donc, tu peux acheter 185.61 avec un stoploss a 0.5752
Avec un position size USD de 98.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 185.61 x 0.0431 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 185.61 x 0.0133 = 2.47
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.47$
Résumé
- Taille de position 185.61
- Taille de position USD 98.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.47
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3086
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.47 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.61 $ | -5.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -6.4518 % | 79.65 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5321 | 0.5752 | 0.5188 | 0.31 | 0.6097 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5321
- Stop Loss: 0.5752
- Take Profit: 0.5188
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5752 - 0.5321 = 0.0431
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5321 - 0.5188 = 0.0133
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0133 / 0.0431 = 0.3086
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.100%
(0.0431)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.069% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -3.067% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -5.926% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.370% | 0.1R | -6.452% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -6.452% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -6.615% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -12.761% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -25.850% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.370% | 0.1R | -26.824% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 74 min
MAE in 1439 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.