Short Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 695.88 DOT at 0.938$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9092 (3.06 %) & Stop Loss: 0.9494 (1.23 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 08:48:39
hyperliquid
DOT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 08:48
→ 20:45
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.9379$
Qty 695.8845 DOT
Size 652.6979$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.9092 (+3.06%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.9494 (-1.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.01%
/ -0.035$
MAE -1.00%
MFE +0.98%
0.8R
expires
02 Nov 20:48
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241106)
#6 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 08:00
score du 02/11/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7889
Quality Score
0.586
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 53
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.29×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.77×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 08:45
02/11 08:45
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7631
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
31.7%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
▼-0.075
Δ 1h
→+0.018
Δ 4h
▲+0.173
Δ 12h
▼-0.271
Δ 24h
▼-0.158
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 95.1% |
| 1h | 31.7% |
| 4h | 31.7% |
| 24h | 17.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 92.7% | +0.80% |
| 4h | 48.8% | -0.53% |
| 24h | 19.5% | -2.90% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.4%
Tail ↑
+0.59
Tail ↓
+0.22
Dispersion :
0.096
Universe :
41
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 08:46
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5859
Score SMA
0.4926
Rank
#6
/ 53
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7889
Rank Norm SMA
0.3783
Calculé le
02/11/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4316 | r1h: -0.228% · r4h: -1.783% · r1d: -0.91% · r3d: -1.33% · ema21_slope: -0.0039% · dist_ema21: -1.187% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4426 | rs_1h: -0.146% · rs_4h: -1.258% · rs_1d: -0.81% · rs_3d: -1.80% · beta_24h: 1.507 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8137 | rvol_20: 2.43× · zscore_50: 1.996 · trend: 79.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5533 | ADX: 12.4 (weak) · Chop: 44.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.872% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4301
Score SMA
0.4353
Rank
#30
/ 55
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4276
Rank Norm SMA
0.2860
Calculé le
02/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3130 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.944% · r1d: -0.95% · r3d: -0.28% · ema21_slope: -0.1476% · dist_ema21: -1.840% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4359 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.673% · rs_1d: -0.85% · rs_3d: -0.96% · beta_24h: 1.967 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4400 | rvol_20: 1.79× · zscore_50: 0.118 · trend: -30.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2616 | ADX: 18.9 (weak) · Chop: 87.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.148% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.226%
(0.0115)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.246% | 0.2R | -0.791% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.250% | 0.2R | -0.791% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.979% | 0.8R | -1.004% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.979% | 0.8R | -1.004% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.979% | 0.8R | -1.004% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.232% | 1.0R | -1.226% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.718% | 1.4R | -1.226% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.728% | 3.0R | -3.748% | 3.1R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.728% | 3.0R | -6.185% | 5.0R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2081 min
MAE in 1381 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.96
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.92 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -2.88% | +0.13 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | range_low | -0.65% | -0.09 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.63 | range_low | +0.14% | -0.08 | 02/11 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#485461
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.521 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 22b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.27 | 15% | ↓ -0.49 | value | -1.06 | — | #228729 | 0.61 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.92 |
31/10 20:00
upd 02/11 07:18
|
|
4h
#485378
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.388 | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 14b -1.4ATR | — | — | 1.79 | 58% | ↓ -0.33 | value | -1.06 | — | #228729 | 0.59 | bear_high | -2.88% | +0.13 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:13
|
|
1h
anchor #485686
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.568 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 9b -1.2ATR | — | — | 2.43 | 85% | ↑ +0.82 | value | -1.32 | — | #228888 | 0.66 | range_low | -0.65% | -0.09 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 08:09
|
|
15m
#485855
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.337 | expansion | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 4b 0.4ATR | — | — | 11.67 | 100% | ↑ +0.80 | value | -1.32 | — | #228888 | 0.63 | range_low | +0.14% | -0.08 |
02/11 08:30
upd 02/11 08:46
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 4.622×ATR | p50 | -1.457×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 2.064×ATR | p6 | -1.386×ATR | p73 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.369×ATR | p73 | -1.241×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.184×ATR | p22 | +0.355×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.6666
- reason: down_bo width=1.85×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.94943616
- tp_price: 0.9091996
- atr:
- score: 0.76664828755224
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T01:48:30.639406
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76664828755224
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2241
- obi_top10 : -0.1043
- micro_price : 0.9443773
- spread_pct : 0.105932
- mid_price : 0.9445
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.953
- ask_wall_size : 275284.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2104
- obi_top5_std : 0.0092
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7580
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.95588
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.94143
- balance_zone_mid:
0.948655
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793505600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793624400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8498
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
34
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7666
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793617200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.94143
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8529
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4468
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
13
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00781161 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.8529
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4468
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:48 | 0.93794000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 08:57 | 0.93794000 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 10:10 | 0.93800000 | +0.011% |
| 4 | 10:19 | 0.93800000 | +0.011% |
| 5 | 10:28 | 0.93800000 | +0.011% |
| 6 | 10:39 | 0.93810000 | +0.021% |
| 7 | 10:47 | 0.93810000 | +0.021% |
| 8 | 10:56 | 0.93810000 | +0.021% |
| 9 | 11:09 | 0.93676000 | -0.122% |
| 10 | 11:21 | 0.93676000 | -0.122% |
| 11 | 11:31 | 0.93676000 | -0.122% |
| 12 | 11:41 | 0.93854000 | +0.068% |
| 13 | 11:50 | 0.93854000 | +0.068% |
| 14 | 12:00 | 0.93854000 | +0.068% |
| 15 | 13:43 | 0.93453000 | -0.359% |
| 16 | 14:03 | 0.93453000 | -0.359% |
| 17 | 14:18 | 0.93458000 | -0.354% |
| 18 | 14:33 | 0.93458000 | -0.354% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7580ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
67%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.224
avg 0.210
± 0.009
OBI Top 10
-0.104
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.9445
Micro Price
0.9444
Spread
0.1059%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.9530
Size
275,284.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9379 | 0.9494 | 0.9092 | 2.5 | 0.8421 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.9379
- Stop Loss: 0.9494
- Take Profit: 0.9092
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.9494 - 0.9379 = 0.0115
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.9379 - 0.9092 = 0.0287
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0287 / 0.0115 = 2.4957
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 652.6979 | 100 | 695.8845 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0115
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0115 = 695.65
Taille de position USD = 695.65 x 0.9379 = 652.45
Donc, tu peux acheter 695.65 avec un stoploss a 0.9494
Avec un position size USD de 652.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 695.65 x 0.0115 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 695.65 x 0.0287 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position 695.65
- Taille de position USD 652.45
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4957
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.06 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.035 $ | -0.01 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0044 % | 81.92 % | 38 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9379 | 0.9494 | 0.9092 | 2.5 | 0.8421 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.9379
- Stop Loss: 0.9494
- Take Profit: 0.9092
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.9494 - 0.9379 = 0.0115
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.9379 - 0.9092 = 0.0287
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0287 / 0.0115 = 2.4957
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.226%
(0.0115)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.246% | 0.2R | -0.791% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.250% | 0.2R | -0.791% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.979% | 0.8R | -1.004% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.979% | 0.8R | -1.004% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.979% | 0.8R | -1.004% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.232% | 1.0R | -1.226% | 1.0R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.718% | 1.4R | -1.226% | 1.0R | 1.4× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.728% | 3.0R | -3.748% | 3.1R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.728% | 3.0R | -6.185% | 5.0R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2081 min
MAE in 1381 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.