Short Trade on XPL (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 6294.26 XPL at 0.0698$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06823 (2.24 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07106 (1.82 %)
Short Trade on XPL (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 6294.26 XPL at 0.0698$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06823 (2.24 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07106 (1.82 %)
Position
Entry 0.06979$
Qty 6294.2565 XPL
Size 439.2887$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06823 (+2.24%)
TP $ 9.82$
SL 0.07106 (-1.82%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 1.23
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0517
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.72×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.29×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_pullback_v1 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 17.4% |
| 1h | 37.0% |
| 4h | 60.9% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 26.1% | -0.18% |
| 4h | 60.9% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 19.6% | -1.82% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2395 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.60% · r3d: -2.00% · ema21_slope: -0.5980% · dist_ema21: -9.628% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2790 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -13.62% · rs_3d: -2.49% · beta_24h: 1.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9734 | rvol_20: 4.93× · zscore_50: 2.600 · trend: 100.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4360 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 62.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.819% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3157 | r1h: -0.627% · r4h: 1.119% · r1d: -4.76% · r3d: -9.94% · ema21_slope: -0.2046% · dist_ema21: -0.953% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3589 | rs_1h: -0.512% · rs_4h: 1.257% · rs_1d: -4.52% · rs_3d: -10.73% · beta_24h: 1.727 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1988 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.277 · trend: -57.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5992 | ADX: 40.6 (trend) · Chop: 67.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.704% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3188 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.672% · r1d: -3.35% · r3d: -7.26% · ema21_slope: -0.2878% · dist_ema21: -6.966% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3763 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.401% · rs_1d: -3.25% · rs_3d: -7.94% · beta_24h: 1.229 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2530 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.061 · trend: -10.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7239 | ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 35.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4476 | ATR%: 4.657% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.552% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.111% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.038% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +5.336% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +10.890% | 6.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +10.890% | 6.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +13.854% | 7.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +17.372% | 9.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.66 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.72 | 02/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.18 | 02/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.4ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.12 | range_low | -0.03% | +0.21 | 02/11 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482046
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.391 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 37b -1.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 4.93 | 99% | ↑ +0.22 | value | -1.57 | — | #227351 | 0.53 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.66 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#485416
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.511 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 7b -1.5ATR | — | — | 0.52 | 77% | ↑ +0.34 | below_value | -3.39 | inside | #228748 | 0.55 | bear_high | -2.88% | -0.72 |
02/11 03:00
upd 02/11 07:14
|
|
1h
anchor #486292
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.733 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 5b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.61 | 58% | ↓ -0.24 | above_value | -2.77 | — | #229134 | 0.49 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.18 |
02/11 09:00
upd 02/11 10:11
|
|
15m
#486488
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | 0.648 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 4b 0.5ATR | near 0.4ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.23 | 10% | ↔ +0.07 | above_value | -2.77 | — | #229134 | 0.12 | range_low | -0.03% | +0.21 |
02/11 10:30
upd 02/11 10:47
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 7.073×ATR | p92 | -1.1×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 5.074×ATR | p73 | -1.52×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.453×ATR | p4 | -0.677×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.26×ATR | p4 | +0.451×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 00:15:00
[1] => 0.069608
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 01:15:00
[1] => 0.071535
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 04:00:00
[1] => 0.071932
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 05:00:00
[1] => 0.070528
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 07:30:00
[1] => 0.069868
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 08:00:00
[1] => 0.070717
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 09:30:00
[1] => 0.068754
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 13:30:00
[1] => 0.069848
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 15:00:00
[1] => 0.071063
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 15:45:00
[1] => 0.069762
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7885538184428
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.043003354261636
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8649121298128
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 00:00:00
[1] => 0.082438
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 12:00:00
[1] => 0.081811
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 13:00:00
[1] => 0.07933
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-10-31 20:00:00
[1] => 0.083153
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 04:00:00
[1] => 0.086431
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-01 11:00:00
[1] => 0.071488
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 00:00:00
[1] => 0.069608
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 04:00:00
[1] => 0.071932
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 09:00:00
[1] => 0.068754
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-11-02 15:00:00
[1] => 0.071063
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61354009822271
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7242051371557
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3583500596329
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:00 | 0.06979200 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 11:15 | 0.06938300 | -0.583% |
| 3 | 11:30 | 0.06926000 | -0.759% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 00:15:00 | 0.069608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 01:15:00 | 0.071535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 04:00:00 | 0.071932 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 05:00:00 | 0.070528 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 07:30:00 | 0.069868 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 08:00:00 | 0.070717 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 09:30:00 | 0.068754 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 13:30:00 | 0.069848 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 15:00:00 | 0.071063 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 15:45:00 | 0.069762 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 00:00:00 | 0.082438 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 12:00:00 | 0.081811 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 13:00:00 | 0.07933 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-31 20:00:00 | 0.083153 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 04:00:00 | 0.086431 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 11:00:00 | 0.071488 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 00:00:00 | 0.069608 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 04:00:00 | 0.071932 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 09:00:00 | 0.068754 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 15:00:00 | 0.071063 | ↑ High |
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06979 | 0.07106 | 0.06823 | 1.23 | 0.05009 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07106 - 0.06979 = 0.00127
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06979 - 0.06823 = 0.00156
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00156 / 0.00127 = 1.2283
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 439.2887 | 100 | 6294.2565 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00127 = 6299.21
Taille de position USD = 6299.21 x 0.06979 = 439.62
Donc, tu peux acheter 6299.21 avec un stoploss a 0.07106
Avec un position size USD de 439.62$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 6299.21 x 0.00127 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 6299.21 x 0.00156 = 9.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.83$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.24 % | 9.82 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.82 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 9.82 $ | 2.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06979 | 0.07106 | 0.06823 | 1.23 | 0.05009 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07106 - 0.06979 = 0.00127
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06979 - 0.06823 = 0.00156
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00156 / 0.00127 = 1.2283
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06725
[stop_loss] => 0.07106
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-02 18:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.066615
[stop_loss] => 0.07106
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-02 19:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.552% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.111% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +5.038% | 2.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +5.336% | 2.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +10.890% | 6.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +10.890% | 6.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +13.854% | 7.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +17.372% | 9.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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