02 Nov 2026 at 11:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 54.59 NEAR at 4.016$ per unit. Take profit: 3.9156 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.1625 (3.65 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 11:15 → 12:35 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 4.016$

Qty 54.5909 NEAR

Size 219.2371$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.9156 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.48$

SL 4.1625 (-3.65%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.69

Status win PnL +2.50% / +5.48$ MAE -0.00% MFE +4.32% 1.2R expires 02 Nov 17:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 241289)
#60 / 62
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4111

Quality Score
0.436
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 62
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#60 / 62
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.79×ATR
4h clear 1.59×ATR
1d clear 3.97×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
contracting
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
115.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 11:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

31/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 07:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/11 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7640
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 50.0%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state contracting
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.152
Δ 4h
▲+0.244
Δ 12h
▼-0.204
Δ 24h
▲+0.144

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 15.2%
1h 37.0%
4h 60.9%
24h 19.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 15.2% -0.15%
4h 60.9% +0.12%
24h 19.6% -1.82%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.4%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.4%
Tail ↑
+0.53
Tail ↓
+0.61
Dispersion : 0.084
Universe : 46 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 11:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3324
Score SMA
0.3438
Rank
#31 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4838
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3816 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.25% · r3d: 5.68% · ema21_slope: -0.5892% · dist_ema21: -7.318%
Force Relative 25% 0.4569 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.27% · rs_3d: 5.19% · beta_24h: 3.404
Volume 20% 0.1258 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -1.416 · trend: -34.85%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5235 ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4358
Score SMA
0.5119
Rank
#60 / 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4111
Rank Norm SMA
0.4800
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1949 r1h: -1.510% · r4h: -2.839% · r1d: -7.35% · r3d: -7.15% · ema21_slope: -0.2725% · dist_ema21: -3.930%
Force Relative 25% 0.2631 rs_1h: -1.068% · rs_4h: -2.368% · rs_1d: -6.75% · rs_3d: -7.05% · beta_24h: 2.507
Volume 20% 0.4489 rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: 0.502 · trend: 50.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7611 ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 31.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.543% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4167
Score SMA
0.4381
Rank
#51 / 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2670
Rank Norm SMA
0.3153
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2159 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.839% · r1d: -7.35% · r3d: -7.15% · ema21_slope: -0.1983% · dist_ema21: -6.598%
Force Relative 25% 0.2530 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.368% · rs_1d: -6.75% · rs_3d: -7.05% · beta_24h: 2.085
Volume 20% 0.5067 rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 0.580 · trend: 0.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5271 ADX: 12.6 (weak) · Chop: 47.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8897 ATR%: 3.331% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.648% (0.1465)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.385% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.757% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +4.323% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +4.323% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +4.323% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +5.585% 1.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +6.808% 1.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 288
48h +8.023% 2.2R -6.457% 1.8R 1.2× 576
72h +9.562% 2.6R -6.457% 1.8R 1.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 979 min MAE in min

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.47
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.51 range_high +0.70% -0.86 31/10 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.54 bear_high -3.28% -0.47 02/11 07:00
1h ↓ down transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
41%
noisy_chop 40% late near -1.8ATR — 0.68 bear_medium_confirmed -1.00% -0.51 02/11 10:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.69 range_low -0.66% -0.21 02/11 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#481997
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.644 compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 34% early 20b -0.8ATR — — 0.33 66% ↓ -0.43 above_value -3.47 — #227336 0.51 range_high +0.70% -0.86
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:19
4h
#486629
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.500 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 42% late 11b -2.7ATR — — 1.75 60% ↔ -0.11 below_value -4.88 — #229240 0.54 bear_high -3.28% -0.47
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:14
1h anchor
#486628
↓ down transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.498 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
41%
noisy_chop 40% late 14b -2.5ATR near -1.8ATR — 1.01 66% ↑ +0.50 below_value -4.88 inside #229240 0.68 bear_medium_confirmed -1.00% -0.51
02/11 10:00
upd 02/11 11:14
15m
#486534
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.560 expansion_after_compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% late 8b -1.7ATR — — 1.51 92% ↑ +0.51 below_value -4.07 — #229114 0.69 range_low -0.66% -0.21
02/11 10:45
upd 02/11 11:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 20b — 3.677×ATR p46 -0.818×ATR p41
4h ↓ down late 11b — 4.13×ATR p73 -2.676×ATR p94
1h ↓ down late 14b — 5.49×ATR p90 -2.5×ATR p96
15m ↓ down late 8b — 3.069×ATR p67 -1.748×ATR p82

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.16254453
  2. tp_price: 3.9156
  3. atr: 0.05861781
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-02T22:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 62
  2. total: 63
  3. score: 0.2738
  4. delta_2h: -0.07
  5. extension_atr: -2.4
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4092
  9. confidence: 0.984

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 11:15 4.01600000 0%
2 12:15 3.97770000 -0.954%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.016 4.1625 3.9156 0.69 3.3939
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.016
  • Stop Loss: 4.1625
  • Take Profit: 3.9156

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.1625 - 4.016 = 0.1465

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.016 - 3.9156 = 0.1004

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1004 / 0.1465 = 0.6853

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
219.2371 100 54.5909 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1465

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1465 = 54.61

Taille de position USD = 54.61 x 4.016 = 219.31

Donc, tu peux acheter 54.61 avec un stoploss a 4.1625

Avec un position size USD de 219.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 54.61 x 0.1465 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 54.61 x 0.1004 = 5.48

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.48$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 54.61
  • Taille de position USD 219.31
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.48
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6853

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.48 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.65 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
5.48 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.016 4.1625 3.9156 0.69 3.3939
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.016
  • Stop Loss: 4.1625
  • Take Profit: 3.9156

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.1625 - 4.016 = 0.1465

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.016 - 3.9156 = 0.1004

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1004 / 0.1465 = 0.6853

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.648% (0.1465)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.385% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.757% 0.8R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +4.323% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +4.323% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +4.323% 1.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +5.585% 1.5R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +6.808% 1.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 288
48h +8.023% 2.2R -6.457% 1.8R 1.2× 576
72h +9.562% 2.6R -6.457% 1.8R 1.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 979 min MAE in min

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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