Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 54.59 NEAR at 4.016$ per unit. Take profit: 3.9156 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.1625 (3.65 %)
Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 54.59 NEAR at 4.016$ per unit. Take profit: 3.9156 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.1625 (3.65 %)
Position
Entry 4.016$
Qty 54.5909 NEAR
Size 219.2371$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 3.9156 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.48$
SL 4.1625 (-3.65%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.69
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4111
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.79×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.97×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 15.2% |
| 1h | 37.0% |
| 4h | 60.9% |
| 24h | 19.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 15.2% | -0.15% |
| 4h | 60.9% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 19.6% | -1.82% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3816 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.25% · r3d: 5.68% · ema21_slope: -0.5892% · dist_ema21: -7.318% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4569 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.27% · rs_3d: 5.19% · beta_24h: 3.404 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1258 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -1.416 · trend: -34.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5235 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1949 | r1h: -1.510% · r4h: -2.839% · r1d: -7.35% · r3d: -7.15% · ema21_slope: -0.2725% · dist_ema21: -3.930% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2631 | rs_1h: -1.068% · rs_4h: -2.368% · rs_1d: -6.75% · rs_3d: -7.05% · beta_24h: 2.507 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4489 | rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: 0.502 · trend: 50.65% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7611 | ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 31.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.543% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2159 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.839% · r1d: -7.35% · r3d: -7.15% · ema21_slope: -0.1983% · dist_ema21: -6.598% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2530 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.368% · rs_1d: -6.75% · rs_3d: -7.05% · beta_24h: 2.085 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5067 | rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 0.580 · trend: 0.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5271 | ADX: 12.6 (weak) · Chop: 47.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8897 | ATR%: 3.331% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.385% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.757% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.323% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.323% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +4.323% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +5.585% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +6.808% | 1.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +8.023% | 2.2R | -6.457% | 1.8R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.562% | 2.6R | -6.457% | 1.8R | 1.5× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.51 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.86 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.47 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.68 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.51 | 02/11 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.69 | range_low | -0.66% | -0.21 | 02/11 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481997
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.644 | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 20b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 66% | ↓ -0.43 | above_value | -3.47 | — | #227336 | 0.51 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.86 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#486629
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.500 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 11b -2.7ATR | — | — | 1.75 | 60% | ↔ -0.11 | below_value | -4.88 | — | #229240 | 0.54 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.47 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:14
|
|
1h
anchor #486628
|
↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.498 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 14b -2.5ATR | near -1.8ATR | — | 1.01 | 66% | ↑ +0.50 | below_value | -4.88 | inside | #229240 | 0.68 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.51 |
02/11 10:00
upd 02/11 11:14
|
|
15m
#486534
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.560 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 8b -1.7ATR | — | — | 1.51 | 92% | ↑ +0.51 | below_value | -4.07 | — | #229114 | 0.69 | range_low | -0.66% | -0.21 |
02/11 10:45
upd 02/11 11:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 20b | — | 3.677×ATR | p46 | -0.818×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.13×ATR | p73 | -2.676×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.49×ATR | p90 | -2.5×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.069×ATR | p67 | -1.748×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:15 | 4.01600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:15 | 3.97770000 | -0.954% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.016 | 4.1625 | 3.9156 | 0.69 | 3.3939 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.1625 - 4.016 = 0.1465
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.016 - 3.9156 = 0.1004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1004 / 0.1465 = 0.6853
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219.2371 | 100 | 54.5909 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1465 = 54.61
Taille de position USD = 54.61 x 4.016 = 219.31
Donc, tu peux acheter 54.61 avec un stoploss a 4.1625
Avec un position size USD de 219.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 54.61 x 0.1465 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 54.61 x 0.1004 = 5.48
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.48$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.48 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.65 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.48 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.016 | 4.1625 | 3.9156 | 0.69 | 3.3939 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.1625 - 4.016 = 0.1465
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.016 - 3.9156 = 0.1004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1004 / 0.1465 = 0.6853
Array
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.385% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.757% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.323% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.323% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +4.323% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +5.585% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +6.808% | 1.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +8.023% | 2.2R | -6.457% | 1.8R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.562% | 2.6R | -6.457% | 1.8R | 1.5× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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