Short Trade on ARB (BosPullback)
With 3145.74 ARB at 0.158$ per unit. Take profit: 0.152 (4.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1609 (1.58 %)
Short Trade on ARB (BosPullback)
With 3145.74 ARB at 0.158$ per unit. Take profit: 0.152 (4.04 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1609 (1.58 %)
Position
Entry 0.1584$
Qty 3145.7422 ARB
Size 498.1597$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.152 (+4.04%)
TP $ 20.13$
SL 0.1609 (-1.58%)
SL $ 7.86$
RR 2.56
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4779
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.64×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 91.7% |
| 1h | 52.1% |
| 4h | 39.6% |
| 24h | 20.8% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 87.5% | +0.12% |
| 4h | 58.3% | -0.20% |
| 24h | 22.9% | -2.69% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3398 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.11% · r3d: 6.17% · ema21_slope: -0.7702% · dist_ema21: -6.201% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4915 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.13% · rs_3d: 5.68% · beta_24h: 2.382 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1346 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.981 · trend: -62.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5498 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4297 | r1h: -0.125% · r4h: 0.328% · r1d: -4.20% · r3d: -1.91% · ema21_slope: -0.1297% · dist_ema21: -1.046% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4698 | rs_1h: 0.317% · rs_4h: 0.799% · rs_1d: -3.60% · rs_3d: -1.80% · beta_24h: 0.733 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4296 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.017 · trend: 81.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5965 | ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 45.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.018% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3747 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.328% · r1d: -4.20% · r3d: -1.91% · ema21_slope: -0.0774% · dist_ema21: -2.284% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4396 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.799% · rs_1d: -3.60% · rs_3d: -1.80% · beta_24h: 2.089 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6378 | rvol_20: 2.53× · zscore_50: 0.877 · trend: -8.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2935 | ADX: 10.5 (weak) · Chop: 74.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.605% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.033% | 1.3R | -0.297% | 0.2R | 6.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.033% | 1.3R | -0.297% | 0.2R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.664% | 1.7R | -0.297% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.986% | 1.9R | -0.297% | 0.2R | 10.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.470% | 2.8R | -0.297% | 0.2R | 15.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.470% | 2.8R | -2.784% | 1.8R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.470% | 2.8R | -8.851% | 5.6R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.511% | 3.5R | -8.851% | 5.6R | 0.6× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.45 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.26 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.16 | 02/11 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.62 | range_low | -0.60% | +0.05 | 02/11 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481943
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.675 | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid 39b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.25 | 44% | ↓ -0.65 | above_value | -0.24 | — | #227319 | 0.58 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.45 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:16
|
|
4h
#486583
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.400 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 6b -1.2ATR | — | — | 2.53 | 65% | ↔ -0.15 | value | -3.01 | — | #229217 | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.26 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:12
|
|
1h
anchor #486582
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.382 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 2b -1.1ATR | — | — | 0.84 | 67% | ↑ +0.56 | value | -3.01 | — | #229217 | 0.65 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.16 |
02/11 10:00
upd 02/11 11:12
|
|
15m
#486834
|
↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | 0.640 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
48%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 6b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.80 | 90% | ↑ +0.56 | value | -3.01 | — | #229217 | 0.62 | range_low | -0.60% | +0.05 |
02/11 11:30
upd 02/11 11:45
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 39b | — | 6.444×ATR | p67 | -0.833×ATR | p36 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 1.805×ATR | p0 | -1.221×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.135×ATR | p2 | -1.091×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.898×ATR | p15 | -0.362×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.1607
148
0.248
0.6699
0.3739
0.1505
0.5567
0.4106
0.4802
0.5551
0.282
0.8155
0.5126
0.3879
-0.125
-0.0784
0
-1.1135
-1.9167
0.35
0.65
-1
3
1
0.699
0.4609
5.178
0.75
0.4106
2.1261
-1.9167
0.5909
0.3045
0.88
0.1313
0.2999
0.3667
0.8979
0.3879
-11.5555
7.3233
1
0
1
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0.15746
0.1607
0.1607
0.15746
0.15857
0.15746
0.158015
0.4289
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1584 | 0.1609 | 0.152 | 2.56 | 0.1459 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1609 - 0.1584 = 0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1584 - 0.152 = 0.0064
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0064 / 0.0025 = 2.56
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 498.1597 | 100 | 3145.7422 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0025 = 3200
Taille de position USD = 3200 x 0.1584 = 506.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 3200 avec un stoploss a 0.1609
Avec un position size USD de 506.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3200 x 0.0025 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3200 x 0.0064 = 20.48
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.48$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.04 % | 20.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.58 % | 7.86 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20.13 $ | 4.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2967 % | 18.8 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1584 | 0.1609 | 0.152 | 2.56 | 0.1459 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1609 - 0.1584 = 0.0025
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1584 - 0.152 = 0.0064
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0064 / 0.0025 = 2.56
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.033% | 1.3R | -0.297% | 0.2R | 6.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.033% | 1.3R | -0.297% | 0.2R | 6.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.664% | 1.7R | -0.297% | 0.2R | 9.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.986% | 1.9R | -0.297% | 0.2R | 10.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.470% | 2.8R | -0.297% | 0.2R | 15.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.470% | 2.8R | -2.784% | 1.8R | 1.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.470% | 2.8R | -8.851% | 5.6R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.511% | 3.5R | -8.851% | 5.6R | 0.6× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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