Short Trade on kPEPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 43943.97 kPEPE at 0.00465$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004537 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004835 (3.91 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 12:15:08
hyperliquid
kPEPE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 12:15
→ 18:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.004653$
Qty 43943.9714 kPEPE
Size 204.4713$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.004537 (+2.49%)
TP $ 5.1$
SL 0.004835 (-3.91%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.64
Status
loss
PnL
-2.11%
/ -4.31$
MAE -3.35%
MFE +1.33%
0.3R
expires
02 Nov 18:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241396)
#61 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 12:00
score du 02/11/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1300
Quality Score
0.397
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#61 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#61 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.60×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.62×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.20
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
27.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 12:00
02/11 12:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 11:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7644
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
38.2%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.118
Δ 4h
▲+0.083
Δ 12h
▼-0.238
Δ 24h
▲+0.083
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 62.5% |
| 1h | 52.1% |
| 4h | 39.6% |
| 24h | 20.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 66.7% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 58.3% | -0.20% |
| 24h | 22.9% | -2.69% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.2%
Down ≥1σ
6.3%
Expansion
10.4%
Tail ↑
+0.46
Tail ↓
+0.70
Dispersion :
0.096
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 12:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6084
Score SMA
0.6430
Rank
#2
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9800
Rank Norm SMA
0.9497
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8045 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.41% · r3d: 7.21% · ema21_slope: 0.7573% · dist_ema21: 8.337% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7215 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.43% · rs_3d: 6.73% · beta_24h: 2.668 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3843 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.236 · trend: 106.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7321 | ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.254% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3967
Score SMA
0.5575
Rank
#61
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1300
Rank Norm SMA
0.5702
Calculé le
02/11/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2704 | r1h: -0.514% · r4h: -3.667% · r1d: -4.60% · r3d: -8.54% · ema21_slope: -0.1424% · dist_ema21: -3.597% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2927 | rs_1h: -0.477% · rs_4h: -3.241% · rs_1d: -3.76% · rs_3d: -8.74% · beta_24h: 1.780 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2780 | rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.182 · trend: -8.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5789 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 44.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.681% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3882
Score SMA
0.5800
Rank
#56
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2416
Rank Norm SMA
0.7256
Calculé le
02/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4154 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.410% · r1d: -2.97% · r3d: -7.54% · ema21_slope: -0.0646% · dist_ema21: -4.284% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4128 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.939% · rs_1d: -2.37% · rs_3d: -7.43% · beta_24h: 2.909 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2811 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.105 · trend: -48.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3090 | ADX: 11.8 (weak) · Chop: 73.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5781 | ATR%: 4.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.912%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -0.129% | 0.0R | 10.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -0.172% | 0.0R | 7.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -2.171% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.333% | 0.3R | -3.353% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -4.363% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -4.363% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -7.887% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -14.227% | 3.6R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -14.227% | 3.6R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 14 min
MAE in 1214 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.72 | range_high | +0.70% | +0.99 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.34 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.01% | -0.50 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | -0.64% | -0.33 | 02/11 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481955
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.561 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 3b 0.7ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.48 | 81% | ↑ +0.69 | above_value | -1.21 | — | #227323 | 0.72 | range_high | +0.70% | +0.99 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:17
|
|
4h
#486591
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.458 | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 18b -1.5ATR | — | — | 1.04 | 90% | ↓ -0.74 | value | -3.77 | — | #229221 | 0.59 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.34 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:13
|
|
1h
anchor #486970
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.465 | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 8b -2.2ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.72 | 45% | ↑ +0.28 | value | -4.14 | — | #229411 | 0.49 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.01% | -0.50 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 12:09
|
|
15m
#486905
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.393 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 7b -1.8ATR | — | — | 0.19 | 29% | ↓ -0.28 | value | -3.77 | — | #229221 | 0.65 | range_low | -0.64% | -0.33 |
02/11 11:45
upd 02/11 12:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.815×ATR | p0 | +0.748×ATR | p47 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 18b | — | 3.195×ATR | p23 | -1.497×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 3.275×ATR | p70 | -2.247×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.826×ATR | p74 | -1.821×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00483505
- tp_price: 0.00453667
- atr: 7.282E-5
- expires_at: 2026-11-02T23:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 60
- total: 64
- score: 0.2704
- delta_2h: -0.1352
- extension_atr: -2.07
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.13
- confidence: 0.937
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004653 | 0.004835 | 0.004537 | 0.64 | 0.004588 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004653
- Stop Loss: 0.004835
- Take Profit: 0.004537
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.004835 - 0.004653 = 0.000182
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004653 - 0.004537 = 0.000116
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000116 / 0.000182 = 0.6374
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 204.4713 | 100 | 43943.9714 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.000182
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000182 = 43956.04
Taille de position USD = 43956.04 x 0.004653 = 204.53
Donc, tu peux acheter 43956.04 avec un stoploss a 0.004835
Avec un position size USD de 204.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 43956.04 x 0.000182 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 43956.04 x 0.000116 = 5.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.1$
Résumé
- Taille de position 43956.04
- Taille de position USD 204.53
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.1
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6374
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 5.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.91 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.31 $ | -2.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.3527 % | 85.71 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.004653 | 0.004835 | 0.004537 | 0.64 | 0.004588 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.004653
- Stop Loss: 0.004835
- Take Profit: 0.004537
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.004835 - 0.004653 = 0.000182
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.004653 - 0.004537 = 0.000116
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000116 / 0.000182 = 0.6374
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.912%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -0.129% | 0.0R | 10.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -0.172% | 0.0R | 7.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -2.171% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.333% | 0.3R | -3.353% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -4.363% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -4.363% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -7.887% | 2.0R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -14.227% | 3.6R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.333% | 0.3R | -14.227% | 3.6R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 14 min
MAE in 1214 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.