Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 53.28 NEAR at 3.936$ per unit. Take profit: 3.8376 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.0862 (3.82 %)
Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 53.28 NEAR at 3.936$ per unit. Take profit: 3.8376 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.0862 (3.82 %)
Position
Entry 3.936$
Qty 53.2789 NEAR
Size 209.7056$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 3.8376 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.24$
SL 4.0862 (-3.82%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.66
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3022
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -3.04×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.97×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 33.3% |
| 1h | 8.3% |
| 4h | 6.3% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.2% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 18.8% | -1.88% |
| 24h | 16.7% | -3.69% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3816 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.25% · r3d: 5.68% · ema21_slope: -0.5892% · dist_ema21: -7.318% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4569 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.27% · rs_3d: 5.19% · beta_24h: 3.404 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1258 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -1.416 · trend: -34.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5235 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1562 | r1h: -1.210% · r4h: -3.955% · r1d: -8.74% · r3d: -7.80% · ema21_slope: -0.3284% · dist_ema21: -5.021% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2460 | rs_1h: -0.769% · rs_4h: -2.925% · rs_1d: -7.69% · rs_3d: -7.79% · beta_24h: 2.576 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7287 | rvol_20: 1.91× · zscore_50: 2.265 · trend: 64.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7972 | ADX: 35.7 (trend) · Chop: 27.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.617% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2159 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.839% · r1d: -7.35% · r3d: -7.15% · ema21_slope: -0.1983% · dist_ema21: -6.598% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2530 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.368% · rs_1d: -6.75% · rs_3d: -7.05% · beta_24h: 2.085 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5067 | rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 0.580 · trend: 0.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5271 | ADX: 12.6 (weak) · Chop: 47.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8897 | ATR%: 3.331% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.829% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.378% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.378% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.378% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +2.960% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +4.291% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +4.914% | 1.3R | -0.074% | 0.0R | 66.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.154% | 1.6R | -8.620% | 2.3R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.724% | 2.0R | -8.620% | 2.3R | 0.9× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.51 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.86 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.47 | 02/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
40%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -3.0ATR | — | 0.68 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.66 | 02/11 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.69 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.33 | 02/11 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481997
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.644 | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 20b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 66% | ↓ -0.43 | above_value | -3.47 | — | #227336 | 0.51 | range_high | +0.70% | -0.86 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#486629
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.500 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 11b -2.7ATR | — | — | 1.75 | 60% | ↔ -0.11 | below_value | -4.88 | — | #229240 | 0.54 | bear_high | -3.28% | -0.47 |
02/11 07:00
upd 02/11 11:14
|
|
1h
anchor #487322
|
↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.491 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
40%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 16b -3.1ATR | near -3.0ATR | — | 1.91 | 90% | ↑ +0.54 | below_value | -6.05 | inside | #229558 | 0.68 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.42% | -0.66 |
02/11 12:00
upd 02/11 13:11
|
|
15m
#487256
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.506 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 16b -2.4ATR | — | — | 1.75 | 96% | ↑ +0.22 | below_value | -5.42 | — | #229430 | 0.69 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.00% | -0.33 |
02/11 12:45
upd 02/11 13:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 20b | — | 3.677×ATR | p46 | -0.818×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.13×ATR | p73 | -2.676×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 6.647×ATR | p98 | -3.067×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 5.45×ATR | p90 | -2.398×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:15 | 3.93600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:15 | 3.91960000 | -0.417% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.936 | 4.0862 | 3.8376 | 0.66 | 3.3787 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.0862 - 3.936 = 0.1502
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.936 - 3.8376 = 0.0984
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0984 / 0.1502 = 0.6551
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 209.7056 | 100 | 53.2789 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1502 = 53.26
Taille de position USD = 53.26 x 3.936 = 209.63
Donc, tu peux acheter 53.26 avec un stoploss a 4.0862
Avec un position size USD de 209.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 53.26 x 0.1502 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 53.26 x 0.0984 = 5.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.82 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.06 $ | 0.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.936 | 4.0862 | 3.8376 | 0.66 | 3.3787 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.0862 - 3.936 = 0.1502
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.936 - 3.8376 = 0.0984
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0984 / 0.1502 = 0.6551
Array
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.829% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.378% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.378% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.378% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +2.960% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +4.291% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +4.914% | 1.3R | -0.074% | 0.0R | 66.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.154% | 1.6R | -8.620% | 2.3R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +7.724% | 2.0R | -8.620% | 2.3R | 0.9× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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