Short Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.97 BNB at 697.9$ per unit. Take profit: 677.2009 (2.97 %) & Stop Loss: 706.1796 (1.19 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 17:42:31
hyperliquid
BNB
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 17:42
→ 05:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 697.9$
Qty 0.9662 BNB
Size 674.3304$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 677.2009 (+2.97%)
TP $ 20$
SL 706.1796 (-1.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+0.05%
/ +0.32$
MAE -0.52%
MFE +0.95%
0.8R
expires
03 Nov 05:42
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241771)
#36 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 17:00
score du 02/11/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6541
Quality Score
0.527
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#36 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#36 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -2.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.02×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.34×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
29.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 17:30
02/11 17:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 02/11 16:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7666
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
55.3%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.313
Δ 4h
▲+0.421
Δ 12h
▲+0.273
Δ 24h
▲+0.145
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 24.0% |
| 1h | 18.0% |
| 4h | 66.0% |
| 24h | 14.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.0% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 82.0% | +0.29% |
| 24h | 26.0% | -1.99% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.37
Tail ↓
+0.33
Dispersion :
0.083
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 17:31
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5334
Score SMA
0.5367
Rank
#3
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9600
Rank Norm SMA
0.9082
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4027 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.32% · r3d: 2.19% · ema21_slope: -0.1473% · dist_ema21: -2.544% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5104 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.30% · rs_3d: 1.71% · beta_24h: 1.224 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4979 | rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: 0.234 · trend: 145.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6650 | ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8562 | ATR%: 3.431% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5272
Score SMA
0.5169
Rank
#36
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6541
Rank Norm SMA
0.5257
Calculé le
02/11/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4758 | r1h: 0.610% · r4h: 0.092% · r1d: -1.15% · r3d: 0.50% · ema21_slope: -0.0755% · dist_ema21: -0.530% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5360 | rs_1h: 0.525% · rs_4h: 0.466% · rs_1d: 0.16% · rs_3d: 0.29% · beta_24h: 1.148 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2438 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.352 · trend: -14.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6778 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 39.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.582% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.5012
Score SMA
0.5207
Rank
#18
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6151
Rank Norm SMA
0.6958
Calculé le
02/11/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4047 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.711% · r1d: -1.64% · r3d: -0.43% · ema21_slope: -0.0855% · dist_ema21: -1.822% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4663 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.166% · rs_1d: -0.74% · rs_3d: -0.62% · beta_24h: 1.654 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4108 | rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: -0.054 · trend: -28.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5402 | ADX: 33.8 (trend) · Chop: 68.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.363% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.186%
(8.2796)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.034% | 0.0R | -0.241% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.034% | 0.0R | -0.522% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.320% | 0.3R | -0.522% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.857% | 0.7R | -0.522% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.951% | 0.8R | -0.522% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.951% | 0.8R | -0.725% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.453% | 2.1R | -1.118% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.453% | 2.1R | -3.597% | 3.0R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.453% | 2.1R | -3.597% | 3.0R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1697 min
MAE in 2012 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.03
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.82 | range_high | +0.70% | +0.16 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.78 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | +0.00 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.66% | -0.00 | 02/11 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bear_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.76 | bear_low | -0.95% | +0.01 | 02/11 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#481937
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.534 | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b -0.8ATR | near 0.3ATR | — | 1.01 | 94% | ↑ +0.78 | value | +2.63 | — | #227318 | 0.82 | range_high | +0.70% | +0.16 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:16
|
|
4h
#487970
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.389 | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 21b -1.8ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 1.66 | 96% | ↑ +0.21 | above_value | -1.66 | — | #229789 | 0.78 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | +0.00 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:12
|
|
1h
anchor #488697
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.379 | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 2b -0.9ATR | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.62 | 68% | ↑ +0.35 | above_value | -0.94 | — | #230115 | 0.75 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.66% | -0.00 |
02/11 16:00
upd 02/11 17:12
|
|
15m
#488835
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.396 | normal | bear_low |
48%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 7b -0.2ATR | — | — | 0.12 | 19% | ↓ -0.83 | above_value | -0.94 | — | #230115 | 0.76 | bear_low | -0.95% | +0.01 |
02/11 17:15
upd 02/11 17:30
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.033×ATR | p0 | -0.765×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 2.49×ATR | p19 | -1.823×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.543×ATR | p4 | -0.885×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.633×ATR | p3 | -0.233×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7685
- reason: down_bo width=2.27×ATR dur=71b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 706.17962127
- tp_price: 677.20094683
- atr:
- score: 0.76849110719828
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T10:42:24.223241
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76849110719828
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.084
- obi_top10 : 0.083
- micro_price : 698.20258065
- spread_pct : 0.001432
- mid_price : 698.205
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0855
- obi_top5_std : 0.003
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6915
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
710.31
- balance_zone_bottom:
701.25
- balance_zone_mid:
705.78
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793404800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793656800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2671
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
71
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7685
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793638800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
701.25
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6338
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8383
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 3.9962127 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
71
inside_close_ratio
0.6338
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8383
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:42 | 697.90000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:51 | 697.90000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 17:59 | 697.90000000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6915ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.084
avg 0.086
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
0.083
Microstructure
Mid Price
698.2050
Micro Price
698.2026
Spread
0.0014%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 697.9 | 706.1796 | 677.2009 | 2.5 | 617.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 697.9
- Stop Loss: 706.1796
- Take Profit: 677.2009
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 706.1796 - 697.9 = 8.2796000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 697.9 - 677.2009 = 20.6991
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 20.6991 / 8.2796000000001 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 674.3304 | 100 | 0.9662 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 8.2796000000001
Taille de position = 8 / 8.2796000000001 = 0.97
Taille de position USD = 0.97 x 697.9 = 676.96
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.97 avec un stoploss a 706.1796
Avec un position size USD de 676.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.97 x 8.2796000000001 = 8.03
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.97 x 20.6991 = 20.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.97
- Taille de position USD 676.96
- Perte potentielle 8.03
- Gain potentiel 20.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.97 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.32 $ | 0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5216 % | 43.96 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 697.9 | 706.1796 | 677.2009 | 2.5 | 617.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 697.9
- Stop Loss: 706.1796
- Take Profit: 677.2009
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 706.1796 - 697.9 = 8.2796000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 697.9 - 677.2009 = 20.6991
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 20.6991 / 8.2796000000001 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.186%
(8.2796)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.034% | 0.0R | -0.241% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.034% | 0.0R | -0.522% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.320% | 0.3R | -0.522% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.857% | 0.7R | -0.522% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.951% | 0.8R | -0.522% | 0.4R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.951% | 0.8R | -0.725% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.453% | 2.1R | -1.118% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.453% | 2.1R | -3.597% | 3.0R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.453% | 2.1R | -3.597% | 3.0R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1697 min
MAE in 2012 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.