Short Trade on INIT (momentum_rotation_score)
With 517.91 INIT at 0.135$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1502 (11.42 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 19:15:08
hyperliquid
INIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 19:15
→ 22:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.1348$
Qty 517.9073 INIT
Size 69.7932$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 69.81$
SL 0.1502 (-11.42%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+1.81%
/ +1.26$
MAE -1.02%
MFE +3.00%
0.3R
expires
02 Nov 22:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 241945)
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 19:00
score du 02/11/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000
Quality Score
0.280
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#65 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.19×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.60×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.18×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.12
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 19:02
02/11 19:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 31/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 11:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7672
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
52.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.181
Δ 4h
▲+0.405
Δ 12h
▲+0.264
Δ 24h
→-0.035
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 60.4% |
| 1h | 20.8% |
| 4h | 58.3% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 56.3% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 81.3% | +0.12% |
| 24h | 27.1% | -3.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.27
Tail ↓
+0.33
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 19:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6456
Score SMA
0.7819
Rank
#1
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.9984
Calculé le
01/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8086 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: 3.2422% · dist_ema21: 18.230% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6374 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -14.79% · beta_24h: 1.177 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4859 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.429 · trend: 102.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9764 | ADX: 57.2 (trend) · Chop: 19.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 14.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2802
Score SMA
0.5104
Rank
#65
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4781
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1249 | r1h: -0.622% · r4h: -1.382% · r1d: -28.10% · r3d: -28.81% · ema21_slope: -1.0838% · dist_ema21: -9.872% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2095 | rs_1h: -0.457% · rs_4h: -1.029% · rs_1d: -26.16% · rs_3d: -28.12% · beta_24h: -0.293 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1608 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.588 · trend: -52.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7130 | ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 43.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5767 | ATR%: 4.270% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2327
Score SMA
0.5360
Rank
#63
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0078
Rank Norm SMA
0.6261
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1718 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.382% · r1d: -28.10% · r3d: -28.81% · ema21_slope: -0.8114% · dist_ema21: -21.070% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1655 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.029% · rs_1d: -26.16% · rs_3d: -28.12% · beta_24h: -0.859 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2158 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.634 · trend: -11.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6387 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.437% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -11.424%
(0.0154)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.165% | 0.1R | -1.024% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.441% | 0.2R | -1.024% | 0.1R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +2.997% | 0.3R | -1.024% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 36 |
| 4h | +3.494% | 0.3R | -1.024% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.096% | 0.5R | -1.024% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.260% | 0.5R | -2.671% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.177% | 0.8R | -2.671% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.156% | 0.9R | -10.193% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.156% | 0.9R | -12.982% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1384 min
MAE in 514 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_high | +0.70% | +1.00 | 31/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.18 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -1.00 | 02/11 11:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
ranging_calm 57% | late | — | — | 0.13 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.52% | -1.00 | 02/11 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.06 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.22 | 02/11 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#482040
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.711 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
73%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b 0.9ATR | — | — | 0.86 | 97% | ↑ +0.87 | value | -4.83 | — | #227349 | 0.35 | range_high | +0.70% | +1.00 |
31/10 20:00
upd 01/11 19:20
|
|
4h
#488068
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.475 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 7b -2.6ATR | — | — | 0.93 | 83% | ↑ +0.42 | below_value | -12.39 | — | #229833 | 0.18 | bear_high_confirmed | -3.73% | -1.00 |
02/11 11:00
upd 02/11 15:17
|
|
1h
anchor #489086
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.381 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
ranging_calm 57% | late 11b -2.4ATR | — | — | 0.30 | 31% | ↓ -0.39 | below_value | -14.19 | — | #230292 | 0.13 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.52% | -1.00 |
02/11 17:00
upd 02/11 18:10
|
|
15m
#489365
|
↓ down | range | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.752 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 4b -1.1ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.10 | 1% | ↓ -0.48 | below_value | -14.19 | — | #230292 | 0.06 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.22 |
02/11 18:45
upd 02/11 19:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.635×ATR | p14 | +0.893×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.122×ATR | p64 | -2.591×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 4.694×ATR | p87 | -2.423×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.37×ATR | p4 | -1.136×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1348 | 0.1502 | 0.1002 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1348
- Stop Loss: 0.1502
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1502 - 0.1348 = 0.0154
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1348 - = 0.1348
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1348 / 0.0154 = 8.7532
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69.7932 | 69.7932 | 517.9073 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0154
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0154 = 519.48
Taille de position USD = 519.48 x 0.1348 = 70.03
Donc, tu peux acheter 519.48 avec un stoploss a 0.1502
Avec un position size USD de 70.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 519.48 x 0.0154 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 519.48 x 0.1348 = 70.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 70.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position 519.48
- Taille de position USD 70.03
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 70.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 8.7532
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 69.81 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.42 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.26 $ | 1.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0237 % | 8.96 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1348 | 0.1502 | 0.1002 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1348
- Stop Loss: 0.1502
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1502 - 0.1348 = 0.0154
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1348 - = 0.1348
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1348 / 0.0154 = 8.7532
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -11.424%
(0.0154)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.165% | 0.1R | -1.024% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.441% | 0.2R | -1.024% | 0.1R | 2.4× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +2.997% | 0.3R | -1.024% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 36 |
| 4h | +3.494% | 0.3R | -1.024% | 0.1R | 3.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.096% | 0.5R | -1.024% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.260% | 0.5R | -2.671% | 0.2R | 2.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.177% | 0.8R | -2.671% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.156% | 0.9R | -10.193% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.156% | 0.9R | -12.982% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1384 min
MAE in 514 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.