Short Trade on XRP (BosPullback)
With 722.55 XRP at 1.248$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2207 (2.22 %) & Stop Loss: 1.2595 (0.89 %)
Short Trade on XRP (BosPullback)
With 722.55 XRP at 1.248$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2207 (2.22 %) & Stop Loss: 1.2595 (0.89 %)
Position
Entry 1.2484$
Qty 722.5531 XRP
Size 902.0353$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2207 (+2.22%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 1.2595 (-0.89%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8274
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.09×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.80×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.62×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 02/11 20:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 34.7% |
| 1h | 24.5% |
| 4h | 24.5% |
| 24h | 12.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 26.5% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 14.3% | -0.50% |
| 24h | 20.4% | -3.95% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2413 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.03% · r3d: -0.49% · ema21_slope: -0.3957% · dist_ema21: -4.433% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4959 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.91% · rs_3d: 0.20% · beta_24h: 1.332 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2325 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: -0.674 · trend: -38.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5427 | ADX: 20.5 (weak) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5933 | ATR%: 4.220% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4814 | r1h: -0.056% · r4h: -0.232% · r1d: -0.50% · r3d: -0.41% · ema21_slope: -0.0133% · dist_ema21: -0.018% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4992 | rs_1h: -0.053% · rs_4h: -0.580% · rs_1d: 1.12% · rs_3d: -0.06% · beta_24h: 1.091 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3112 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.480 · trend: 57.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4704 | ADX: 10.8 (weak) · Chop: 52.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.637% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4397 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.008% · r1d: -0.03% · r3d: -0.49% · ema21_slope: -0.0691% · dist_ema21: -0.476% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5307 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.361% · rs_1d: 1.91% · rs_3d: 0.20% · beta_24h: 0.610 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4038 | rvol_20: 1.43× · zscore_50: -0.245 · trend: 3.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3276 | ADX: 18.0 (weak) · Chop: 78.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.257% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -0.529% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -0.529% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.312% | 0.4R | -0.769% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -0.769% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -3.444% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -3.444% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.585% | 0.7R | -7.514% | 8.5R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.933% | 4.4R | -7.514% | 8.5R | 0.5× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.88 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.09 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | — | — | 0.77 | bear_high | -4.00% | +0.06 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.84 | bear_medium | -1.21% | +0.11 | 02/11 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.78 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.01 | 02/11 21:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489533
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.452 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late 40b -1.2ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.89 | 63% | ↓ -0.28 | above_value | -0.16 | — | #230392 | 0.88 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.09 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:19
|
|
4h
#489416
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.509 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early 22b -0.5ATR | — | — | 1.43 | 41% | ↑ +0.55 | above_value | -0.16 | — | #230392 | 0.77 | bear_high | -4.00% | +0.06 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 19:13
|
|
1h
anchor #490229
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.398 | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early 8b 0.0ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.15 | 15% | ↑ +0.50 | above_value | -0.23 | — | #230723 | 0.84 | bear_medium | -1.21% | +0.11 |
02/11 20:00
upd 02/11 21:10
|
|
15m
#490296
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.650 | compression | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 7b -0.2ATR | — | near 0.1ATR | 1.82 | 94% | ↑ +0.35 | above_value | -0.23 | — | #230723 | 0.78 | range_low | -0.58% | -0.01 |
02/11 21:00
upd 02/11 21:16
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 40b | — | 7.797×ATR | p89 | -1.165×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 22b | — | 1.477×ATR | p0 | -0.492×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.835×ATR | p22 | -0.024×ATR | p1 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.606×ATR | p3 | -0.183×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
1.2347
140
0.3798
0.5167
0.2466
0.1508
0.325
1
0.0967
0.4979
0.3413
0.4705
0.4868
0.4202
0.0025
-0.0087
0.3333
0.0015
-0.2163
0.5
0.5
-1
9
1
0.6984
0.5084
2.8221
0.5
1.6507
3.2307
-0.2163
0
0.3111
0.56
-0.0982
0.2966
0.4519
0.4819
0.4202
-9.6726
7.0101
1
1
0
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 01:00:00
[price] => 1.2
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 06:00:00
[price] => 1.273
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 14:00:00
[price] => 1.2281
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 15:00:00
[price] => 1.2616
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-30 18:00:00
[price] => 1.233
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-31 01:00:00
[price] => 1.2614
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-31 04:00:00
[price] => 1.2417
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-31 17:00:00
[price] => 1.2566
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 02:00:00
[price] => 1.2469
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 10:00:00
[price] => 1.2598
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 12:00:00
[price] => 1.2456
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 14:00:00
[price] => 1.2548
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 19:00:00
[price] => 1.243
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 21:00:00
[price] => 1.2521
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-01 22:00:00
[price] => 1.2424
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 01:00:00
[price] => 1.2613
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 02:00:00
[price] => 1.2514
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 13:00:00
[price] => 1.2442
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 14:00:00
[price] => 1.2588
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 17:00:00
[price] => 1.2347
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 01:45:00
[price] => 1.2601
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 02:45:00
[price] => 1.2514
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 03:45:00
[price] => 1.2647
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 06:45:00
[price] => 1.2469
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 08:30:00
[price] => 1.2562
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 10:00:00
[price] => 1.2469
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 12:15:00
[price] => 1.2558
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 13:15:00
[price] => 1.2442
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 13:30:00
[price] => 1.263
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 14:15:00
[price] => 1.2504
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 14:30:00
[price] => 1.2588
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 17:45:00
[price] => 1.2347
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 18:00:00
[price] => 1.2452
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 20:15:00
[price] => 1.2549
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 20:45:00
[price] => 1.244
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 21:45:00
[price] => 1.2548
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-02 23:00:00
[price] => 1.2459
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-11-03 00:15:00
[price] => 1.2546
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
1.2347
1.2588
1.2588
1.2347
1.25
1.2281
1.23905
1.0035
1.2647
1.2611
1.2629
0.7424
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2484 | 1.2595 | 1.2207 | 2.5 | 0.9818 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2595 - 1.2484 = 0.0111
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2484 - 1.2207 = 0.0277
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0277 / 0.0111 = 2.4955
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 902.0353 | 100 | 722.5531 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0111 = 720.72
Taille de position USD = 720.72 x 1.2484 = 899.75
Donc, tu peux acheter 720.72 avec un stoploss a 1.2595
Avec un position size USD de 899.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 720.72 x 0.0111 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 720.72 x 0.0277 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.22 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.89 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8971 % | 100.9 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2484 | 1.2595 | 1.2207 | 2.5 | 0.9818 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2595 - 1.2484 = 0.0111
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2484 - 1.2207 = 0.0277
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0277 / 0.0111 = 2.4955
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -0.529% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -0.529% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.312% | 0.4R | -0.769% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -0.769% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -3.444% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.312% | 0.4R | -3.444% | 3.9R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.585% | 0.7R | -7.514% | 8.5R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.933% | 4.4R | -7.514% | 8.5R | 0.5× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.