Short Trade on STX (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1212.5 STX at 0.32$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3032 (5.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3263 (2.06 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 22:08:54
hyperliquid
STX
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 22:08
→ 23:35
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.3197$
Qty 1212.5033 STX
Size 387.5888$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3032 (+5.16%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.3263 (-2.06%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.06%
/ -8$
MAE -4.13%
MFE +0.59%
0.3R
expires
03 Nov 10:08
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#7 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.89×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
928,761 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 22:00
02/11 22:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/11 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7684
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
25.3%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.080
Δ 4h
▼-0.087
Δ 12h
▼-0.399
Δ 24h
▼-0.364
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 32.0% |
| 1h | 70.0% |
| 4h | 30.0% |
| 24h | 14.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.0% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 30.0% | -0.20% |
| 24h | 28.0% | -3.66% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.0%
Expansion
2.0%
Tail ↑
+0.31
Tail ↓
+0.49
Dispersion :
0.089
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 22:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.064%
(0.0066)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.554% | 0.3R | -0.779% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.554% | 0.3R | -2.180% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -2.180% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -4.129% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.594% | 0.3R | -4.129% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -4.129% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -12.255% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -14.029% | 6.8R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -14.029% | 6.8R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 221 min
MAE in 2156 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.37
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -4.00% | +0.90 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
4h
#489414
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.718 | normal | range_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 13b 0.6ATR | — | — | 0.40 | 40% | ↔ -0.09 | above_value | +0.53 | — | #230391 | 0.45 | bear_high | -4.00% | +0.90 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 19:13
|
| 1h anchor | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 1.284×ATR | p0 | +0.639×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8141
- reason: down_bo width=1.77×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.32625792
- tp_price: 0.30316521
- atr:
- score: 0.8141451344059
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T15:08:46.492933
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8141451344059
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0306
- obi_top10 : 0.0777
- micro_price : 0.31990136
- spread_pct : 0.06252
- mid_price : 0.32
- bid_wall_price : 0.31
- bid_wall_size : 275681
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.321
- ask_wall_size : 198426.22
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0138
- obi_top5_std : 0.0122
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7037
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.32992
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.32166
- balance_zone_mid:
0.32579
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793516400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793674800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7653
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8141
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793671200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.32166
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4274
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
16
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00467917 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4274
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:08 | 0.31966000 | -0.013% |
| 2 | 22:17 | 0.31966000 | -0.013% |
| 3 | 22:24 | 0.31966000 | -0.013% |
| 4 | 22:33 | 0.31966000 | -0.013% |
| 5 | 22:41 | 0.32027000 | +0.178% |
| 6 | 22:49 | 0.32027000 | +0.178% |
| 7 | 22:57 | 0.32027000 | +0.178% |
| 8 | 23:09 | 0.32104000 | +0.419% |
| 9 | 23:19 | 0.32104000 | +0.419% |
| 10 | 23:26 | 0.32104000 | +0.419% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7037ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.031
avg 0.014
± 0.012
OBI Top 10
0.078
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3200
Micro Price
0.3199
Spread
0.0625%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3100
Size
275,681.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3210
Size
198,426.22
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3197 | 0.3263 | 0.3032 | 2.5 | 0.272 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3197
- Stop Loss: 0.3263
- Take Profit: 0.3032
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3263 - 0.3197 = 0.0066
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3197 - 0.3032 = 0.0165
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0165 / 0.0066 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 387.5888 | 100 | 1212.5033 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0066
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0066 = 1212.12
Taille de position USD = 1212.12 x 0.3197 = 387.51
Donc, tu peux acheter 1212.12 avec un stoploss a 0.3263
Avec un position size USD de 387.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1212.12 x 0.0066 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1212.12 x 0.0165 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1212.12
- Taille de position USD 387.51
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.16 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.06 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1802 % | 105.61 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3197 | 0.3263 | 0.3032 | 2.5 | 0.272 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3197
- Stop Loss: 0.3263
- Take Profit: 0.3032
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3263 - 0.3197 = 0.0066
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3197 - 0.3032 = 0.0165
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0165 / 0.0066 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.064%
(0.0066)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.554% | 0.3R | -0.779% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.554% | 0.3R | -2.180% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -2.180% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -4.129% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.594% | 0.3R | -4.129% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -4.129% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -12.255% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -14.029% | 6.8R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.594% | 0.3R | -14.029% | 6.8R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 221 min
MAE in 2156 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.