Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_score)
With 546.4 PONS at 0.208$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2228 (7.06 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 22:15:07
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 22:15
→ 01:10
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2081$
Qty 546.4029 PONS
Size 113.7338$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 113.71$
SL 0.2228 (-7.06%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+2.87%
/ +3.27$
MAE -0.62%
MFE +3.57%
0.5R
expires
03 Nov 01:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242284)
#44 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 22:00
score du 02/11/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0906
Quality Score
0.451
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.20
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 22:02
02/11 22:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/11 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7684
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
25.3%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.080
Δ 4h
▼-0.087
Δ 12h
▼-0.399
Δ 24h
▼-0.364
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 32.0% |
| 1h | 70.0% |
| 4h | 30.0% |
| 24h | 14.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.0% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 30.0% | -0.20% |
| 24h | 28.0% | -3.66% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.0%
Expansion
2.0%
Tail ↑
+0.31
Tail ↓
+0.49
Dispersion :
0.089
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 22:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1217
Score SMA
0.2486
Rank
#65
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1948
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0254 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.91% · r3d: -12.02% · ema21_slope: -1.7825% · dist_ema21: -25.558% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0807 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.97% · rs_3d: -11.33% · beta_24h: 4.327 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1503 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.935 · trend: -73.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4254 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 72.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.439% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.4507
Score SMA
0.5214
Rank
#44
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0906
Rank Norm SMA
0.4579
Calculé le
02/11/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1694 | r1h: -1.143% · r4h: 0.648% · r1d: -14.26% · r3d: -11.72% · ema21_slope: -0.6127% · dist_ema21: -5.259% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2792 | rs_1h: -0.614% · rs_4h: 0.948% · rs_1d: -12.07% · rs_3d: -10.80% · beta_24h: 4.935 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3460 | rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: 0.307 · trend: -4.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7740 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 25.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.464% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2368
Score SMA
0.4391
Rank
#63
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0315
Rank Norm SMA
0.3419
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1163 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.175% · r1d: -13.91% · r3d: -12.02% · ema21_slope: -0.3017% · dist_ema21: -11.726% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1885 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.822% · rs_1d: -11.97% · rs_3d: -11.33% · beta_24h: 2.804 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2450 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.594 · trend: -16.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5515 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2308 | ATR%: 5.308% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -7.064%
(0.0147)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.566% | 0.5R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.566% | 0.5R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.566% | 0.5R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 36 |
| 4h | +7.189% | 1.0R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 11.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +10.139% | 1.4R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 16.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +10.139% | 1.4R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 16.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.139% | 1.4R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 16.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.139% | 1.4R | -11.792% | 1.7R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.426% | 2.0R | -11.792% | 1.7R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 264 min
MAE in 4 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high | -4.00% | -0.87 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.70% | -0.78 | 02/11 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.07 | 02/11 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489663
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | 0.58 | 9% | ↓ -0.37 | below_value | -5.76 | inside | #230441 | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
|
|
4h
#489563
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.715 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 20b -2.9ATR | — | — | 0.75 | 15% | ↔ -0.01 | below_value | -5.76 | inside | #230441 | 0.41 | bear_high | -4.00% | -0.87 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 19:20
|
|
1h
anchor #490616
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.484 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 13b -1.8ATR | — | — | 0.91 | 63% | ↑ +0.22 | below_value | -5.51 | inside | #230902 | 0.62 | bear_medium | -1.70% | -0.78 |
02/11 21:00
upd 02/11 22:11
|
|
15m
#490549
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.382 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 3b -0.7ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.46 | 27% | ↑ +0.23 | below_value | -5.51 | — | #230772 | 0.61 | bear_low | -0.92% | -0.07 |
02/11 21:45
upd 02/11 22:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 3.882×ATR | p54 | -2.878×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 6.444×ATR | p93 | -1.8×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.47×ATR | p3 | -0.681×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2081 | 0.2228 | 0.1235 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2081
- Stop Loss: 0.2228
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2228 - 0.2081 = 0.0147
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2081 - = 0.2081
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2081 / 0.0147 = 14.1565
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113.7338 | 100 | 546.4029 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0147
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0147 = 544.22
Taille de position USD = 544.22 x 0.2081 = 113.25
Donc, tu peux acheter 544.22 avec un stoploss a 0.2228
Avec un position size USD de 113.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 544.22 x 0.0147 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 544.22 x 0.2081 = 113.25
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 113.25$
Résumé
- Taille de position 544.22
- Taille de position USD 113.25
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 113.25
- Risk-Reward Ratio 14.1565
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 113.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.06 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.27 $ | 2.87 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6247 % | 8.84 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2081 | 0.2228 | 0.1235 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2081
- Stop Loss: 0.2228
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2228 - 0.2081 = 0.0147
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2081 - = 0.2081
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2081 / 0.0147 = 14.1565
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -7.064%
(0.0147)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +3.566% | 0.5R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.566% | 0.5R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +3.566% | 0.5R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 5.7× | 36 |
| 4h | +7.189% | 1.0R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 11.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +10.139% | 1.4R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 16.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +10.139% | 1.4R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 16.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.139% | 1.4R | -0.625% | 0.1R | 16.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.139% | 1.4R | -11.792% | 1.7R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.426% | 2.0R | -11.792% | 1.7R | 1.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 264 min
MAE in 4 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.