Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 14266.1 MON at 0.0172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01681 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0178 (3.25 %)
02 Nov 2026 at 23:15:08
hyperliquid
MON
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Nov 2026 23:15
→ 01:50
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.01724$
Qty 14266.0984 MON
Size 245.9618$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01681 (+2.49%)
TP $ 6.13$
SL 0.0178 (-3.25%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.77
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +6.13$
MAE -1.78%
MFE +2.84%
0.9R
expires
03 Nov 05:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242340)
#49 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 23:00
score du 02/11/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5382
Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#49 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.25 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.60×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.94
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 23:03
02/11 23:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 15:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7688
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
9.5%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.005
Δ 1h
▼-0.158
Δ 4h
▼-0.426
Δ 12h
▼-0.405
Δ 24h
▼-0.609
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 61.2% |
| 1h | 53.1% |
| 4h | 10.2% |
| 24h | 12.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 67.4% | +0.12% |
| 4h | 10.2% | -0.94% |
| 24h | 14.3% | -5.30% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
4.1%
Expansion
4.1%
Tail ↑
+0.32
Tail ↓
+0.39
Dispersion :
0.114
Universe :
49
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
02/11 23:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1426
Score SMA
0.2291
Rank
#64
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0156
Rank Norm SMA
0.0729
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0238 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.50% · r3d: -10.71% · ema21_slope: -1.0128% · dist_ema21: -17.912% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1143 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.56% · rs_3d: -10.02% · beta_24h: 2.162 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1417 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.874 · trend: -71.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5237 | ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 62.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.324% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4180
Score SMA
0.4915
Rank
#49
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5382
Rank Norm SMA
0.3680
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1838 | r1h: -0.701% · r4h: -1.644% · r1d: -10.26% · r3d: -11.56% · ema21_slope: -0.3494% · dist_ema21: -3.932% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2262 | rs_1h: -0.981% · rs_4h: -1.789% · rs_1d: -8.12% · rs_3d: -11.30% · beta_24h: 0.620 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3771 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: 0.164 · trend: 40.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9182 | ADX: 50.2 (trend) · Chop: 33.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.364% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4142
Score SMA
0.4398
Rank
#37
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2444
Rank Norm SMA
0.3291
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1241 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.644% · r1d: -10.26% · r3d: -11.56% · ema21_slope: -0.4079% · dist_ema21: -8.524% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1731 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.789% · rs_1d: -8.12% · rs_3d: -11.30% · beta_24h: 1.383 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5559 | rvol_20: 2.20× · zscore_50: 0.223 · trend: 1.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7533 | ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 42.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9947 | ATR%: 3.016% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.248%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.357% | 0.4R | -0.342% | 0.1R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.972% | 0.6R | -0.342% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.842% | 0.9R | -0.342% | 0.1R | 8.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.842% | 0.9R | -1.781% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.842% | 0.9R | -1.781% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.842% | 0.9R | -3.039% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.842% | 0.9R | -6.149% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.842% | 0.9R | -10.493% | 3.2R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.933% | 1.2R | -10.493% | 3.2R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 169 min
MAE in 1039 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.99
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.99 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.00% | -0.75 | 02/11 15:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.70 | bear_medium | -1.70% | -0.48 | 02/11 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | -0.59% | -0.17 | 02/11 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489645
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.540 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 31b -2.6ATR | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.43 | 22% | ↓ -0.67 | below_value | -17.50 | inside | #230433 | 0.60 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.99 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#489530
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.391 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 22b -3.6ATR | — | — | 1.86 | 38% | ↑ +0.26 | below_value | -17.50 | inside | #230433 | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.00% | -0.75 |
02/11 15:00
upd 02/11 19:19
|
|
1h
anchor #490608
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.487 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 5b -2.4ATR | — | — | 0.98 | 69% | ↑ +0.64 | below_value | -16.05 | inside | #230894 | 0.70 | bear_medium | -1.70% | -0.48 |
02/11 21:00
upd 02/11 22:11
|
|
15m
#490878
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.279 | normal | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 5b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.17 | 24% | ↔ -0.10 | below_value | -16.05 | — | #230894 | 0.65 | range_low | -0.59% | -0.17 |
02/11 22:45
upd 02/11 23:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 31b | — | 10.117×ATR | p100 | -2.572×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 5.214×ATR | p84 | -3.564×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 2.334×ATR | p54 | -2.394×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.321×ATR | p68 | -1.433×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.01780177
- tp_price: 0.01680997
- atr: 0.00022431
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T10:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 59
- total: 65
- score: 0.2044
- delta_2h: -0.0009
- extension_atr: -2.93
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5501
- confidence: 0.906
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01724 | 0.0178 | 0.01681 | 0.77 | 0.01574 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01724
- Stop Loss: 0.0178
- Take Profit: 0.01681
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0178 - 0.01724 = 0.00056
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01724 - 0.01681 = 0.00043
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00043 / 0.00056 = 0.7679
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 245.9618 | 100 | 14266.0984 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00056
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00056 = 14285.71
Taille de position USD = 14285.71 x 0.01724 = 246.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 14285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.0178
Avec un position size USD de 246.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14285.71 x 0.00056 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14285.71 x 0.00043 = 6.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position 14285.71
- Taille de position USD 246.29
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7679
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 6.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.25 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.13 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3422 % | 10.53 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01724 | 0.0178 | 0.01681 | 0.77 | 0.01574 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01724
- Stop Loss: 0.0178
- Take Profit: 0.01681
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0178 - 0.01724 = 0.00056
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01724 - 0.01681 = 0.00043
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00043 / 0.00056 = 0.7679
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.248%
(0.0006)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.357% | 0.4R | -0.342% | 0.1R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.972% | 0.6R | -0.342% | 0.1R | 5.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.842% | 0.9R | -0.342% | 0.1R | 8.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.842% | 0.9R | -1.781% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.842% | 0.9R | -1.781% | 0.6R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.842% | 0.9R | -3.039% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.842% | 0.9R | -6.149% | 1.9R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.842% | 0.9R | -10.493% | 3.2R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.933% | 1.2R | -10.493% | 3.2R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 169 min
MAE in 1039 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.