02 Nov 2026 at 23:37:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 39.36 UNI at 7.005$ per unit. Take profit: 6.4973 (7.25 %) & Stop Loss: 7.2086 (2.9 %)

UNI SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 02 Nov 2026 23:37 → 06:10 · 6 hours

Position

Entry 7.0054$

Qty 39.3627 UNI

Size 275.7517$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 6.4973 (+7.25%)

TP $ 20$

SL 7.2086 (-2.9%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -2.90% / -8$ MAE -5.63% MFE +0.81% 0.3R expires 03 Nov 11:37

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 242306)
#32 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/11/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6350

Quality Score
0.504
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#32 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#32 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 5.25×ATR
4h clear 2.14×ATR
1d near 0.22×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
20.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/11 23:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 19:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/11 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7690
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 20.1%
Macro broad_risk_off
Local 4h bearish Leadership balanced
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→-0.009
Δ 1h
→+0.001
Δ 4h
▼-0.396
Δ 12h
▼-0.090
Δ 24h
▼-0.501

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 68.8%
1h 25.0%
4h 12.5%
24h 10.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 68.8% +0.07%
4h 35.4% -0.69%
24h 16.7% -4.14%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.1%
Expansion
2.1%
Tail ↑
+0.29
Tail ↓
+0.34
Dispersion : 0.090
Universe : 48 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 02/11 23:31 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3541
Score SMA
0.3774
Rank
#22 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6719
Rank Norm SMA
0.6161
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3215 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.75% · r3d: -0.75% · ema21_slope: -0.4026% · dist_ema21: -1.951%
Force Relative 25% 0.4710 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.20% · rs_3d: -0.06% · beta_24h: 2.372
Volume 20% 0.2896 rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: -0.536 · trend: -6.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5468 ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 63.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.020% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5036
Score SMA
0.5398
Rank
#32 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6350
Rank Norm SMA
0.6546
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4075 r1h: 1.444% · r4h: -2.268% · r1d: -5.03% · r3d: -0.50% · ema21_slope: -0.1419% · dist_ema21: -2.201%
Force Relative 25% 0.4601 rs_1h: 1.164% · rs_4h: -2.413% · rs_1d: -2.89% · rs_3d: -0.24% · beta_24h: 2.010
Volume 20% 0.3572 rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.349 · trend: -4.49%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6323 ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 37.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.597% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4248
Score SMA
0.5165
Rank
#32 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6922
Rank Norm SMA
0.6962
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4273 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.268% · r1d: -5.03% · r3d: -0.50% · ema21_slope: 0.1035% · dist_ema21: -2.387%
Force Relative 25% 0.4252 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.413% · rs_1d: -2.89% · rs_3d: -0.24% · beta_24h: 0.830
Volume 20% 0.3063 rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: -0.159 · trend: -19.22%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4266 ADX: 13.1 (weak) · Chop: 60.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9523 ATR%: 3.143% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.901% (0.2032)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.811% 0.3R -0.187% 0.1R 4.3× 12
2h +0.811% 0.3R -0.187% 0.1R 4.3× 24
4h +0.811% 0.3R -1.480% 0.5R 0.6× 48
8h +0.811% 0.3R -4.133% 1.4R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.811% 0.3R -5.633% 1.9R 0.1× 144
24h +0.975% 0.3R -5.633% 1.9R 0.2× 288
36h +0.975% 0.3R -11.150% 3.8R 0.1× 432
48h +0.975% 0.3R -11.614% 4.0R 0.1× 576
72h +5.601% 1.9R -11.614% 4.0R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1342 min MAE in 2132 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.66
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 30% mid near 0.2ATR — 0.64 bear_high -1.23% +0.18 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 31% early — — 0.63 bear_high -3.78% -0.02 02/11 19:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.68 bear_medium -1.40% -0.21 02/11 22:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong grind expansion bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.68 range_low -0.33% -0.17 02/11 23:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489558
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.671 compression bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 30% mid 40b -0.3ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.92 72% ↑ +0.31 above_value +1.32 — #230398 0.64 bear_high -1.23% +0.18
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:20
4h
#490931
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.390 compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 31% early 9b -0.9ATR — — 0.97 62% ↔ -0.10 above_value -0.24 — #230989 0.63 bear_high -3.78% -0.02
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 23:13
1h anchor
#490930
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.501 expansion_after_compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 42% mid 3b -1.3ATR — — 0.96 72% ↑ +0.25 above_value -0.24 — #230989 0.68 bear_medium -1.40% -0.21
02/11 22:00
upd 02/11 23:13
15m
#491107
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong grind 0.344 expansion bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 43% mid 5b 0.5ATR — — 1.41 77% ↑ +0.59 above_value -0.24 — #230989 0.68 range_low -0.33% -0.17
02/11 23:15
upd 02/11 23:31
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 40b — 6.779×ATR p69 -0.266×ATR p14
4h ↓ down early 9b — 2.19×ATR p8 -0.873×ATR p59
1h ↓ down mid 3b — 2.022×ATR p21 -1.267×ATR p74
15m ↑ up mid 5b — 3.516×ATR p74 +0.471×ATR p31

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7773
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.70×ATR dur=39b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 7.20863794
  5. tp_price: 6.49730514
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.7773492009872
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-03T16:37:01.711514
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.7773492009872
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0079
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0191
  15. micro_price : 6.99407143
  16. spread_pct : 0.0286
  17. mid_price : 6.994
  18. bid_wall_price : 6.96
  19. bid_wall_size : 83893
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 7.04
  22. ask_wall_size : 70219.2
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0048
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0563
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6890
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    7.3467
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    7.0485
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    7.1976
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793541600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793678400
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.7016
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    39
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7773
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793667600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    7.0485
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8462
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    3
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.3905
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    5
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    5
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.11037943
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.8462
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3905

Signaux confirmants (22)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 23:37 7.00540000 0%
2 23:44 7.00540000 0%
3 23:52 7.00540000 0%
4 00:00 7.00540000 0%
5 00:10 6.95600000 -0.705%
6 00:18 6.95600000 -0.705%
7 00:25 6.95600000 -0.705%
8 00:34 6.95600000 -0.705%
9 00:41 6.97270000 -0.467%
10 00:49 6.97270000 -0.467%
11 00:56 6.97270000 -0.467%
12 01:07 6.96780000 -0.537%
13 01:16 6.96780000 -0.537%
14 01:24 6.96780000 -0.537%
15 01:32 6.96780000 -0.537%
16 01:40 6.99210000 -0.19%
17 01:48 6.99210000 -0.19%
18 01:55 6.99210000 -0.19%
19 02:04 6.99210000 -0.19%
20 02:12 6.98820000 -0.246%
21 02:20 6.98820000 -0.246%
22 02:27 6.98820000 -0.246%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6890ms Confidence avant OB : 78% → 78%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.008
avg -0.005 ± 0.056
OBI Top 10 0.019

Microstructure

Mid Price
6.9940
Micro Price
6.9941
Spread
0.0286%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
6.9600
Size
83,893.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
7.0400
Size
70,219.20

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
7.0054 7.2086 6.4973 2.5 5.0376
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 7.0054
  • Stop Loss: 7.2086
  • Take Profit: 6.4973

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.2086 - 7.0054 = 0.2032

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 7.0054 - 6.4973 = 0.5081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5081 / 0.2032 = 2.5005

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
275.7517 100 39.3627 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2032

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2032 = 39.37

Taille de position USD = 39.37 x 7.0054 = 275.8

Donc, tu peux acheter 39.37 avec un stoploss a 7.2086

Avec un position size USD de 275.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 39.37 x 0.2032 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 39.37 x 0.5081 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 39.37
  • Taille de position USD 275.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5005

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.25 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.9 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.90
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.209 % 110.63 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
7.0054 7.2086 6.4973 2.5 5.0376
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 7.0054
  • Stop Loss: 7.2086
  • Take Profit: 6.4973

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.2086 - 7.0054 = 0.2032

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 7.0054 - 6.4973 = 0.5081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5081 / 0.2032 = 2.5005

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.901% (0.2032)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.811% 0.3R -0.187% 0.1R 4.3× 12
2h +0.811% 0.3R -0.187% 0.1R 4.3× 24
4h +0.811% 0.3R -1.480% 0.5R 0.6× 48
8h +0.811% 0.3R -4.133% 1.4R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.811% 0.3R -5.633% 1.9R 0.1× 144
24h +0.975% 0.3R -5.633% 1.9R 0.2× 288
36h +0.975% 0.3R -11.150% 3.8R 0.1× 432
48h +0.975% 0.3R -11.614% 4.0R 0.1× 576
72h +5.601% 1.9R -11.614% 4.0R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1342 min MAE in 2132 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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