Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 9862.05 2Z at 0.0226$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02204 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02342 (3.63 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 00:15:04
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 00:15
→ 06:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0226$
Qty 9862.0545 2Z
Size 222.9317$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02204 (+2.48%)
TP $ 5.52$
SL 0.02342 (-3.63%)
SL $ 8.09$
RR 0.68
Status
loss
PnL
-0.27%
/ -0.6$
MAE -1.78%
MFE +1.55%
0.4R
expires
03 Nov 06:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242466)
#39 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 00:00
score du 03/11/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3486
Quality Score
0.463
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#39 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#39 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+10
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.45×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
recovering
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.14
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 00:02
03/11 00:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/11 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7692
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
32.0%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→-0.007
Δ 1h
▲+0.225
Δ 4h
▼-0.243
Δ 12h
▼-0.062
Δ 24h
▼-0.301
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 42.9% |
| 1h | 83.7% |
| 4h | 30.6% |
| 24h | 12.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 30.6% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 49.0% | -0.14% |
| 24h | 18.4% | -3.62% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
4.1%
Expansion
4.1%
Tail ↑
+0.24
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion :
0.077
Universe :
49
(+1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+1 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 00:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2493
Score SMA
0.4397
Rank
#48
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2656
Rank Norm SMA
0.2730
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0237 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.62% · r3d: -13.95% · ema21_slope: -1.5912% · dist_ema21: -22.991% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1148 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.68% · rs_3d: -13.26% · beta_24h: 1.985 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5969 | rvol_20: 2.53× · zscore_50: 0.154 · trend: -3.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6272 | ADX: 33.5 (trend) · Chop: 57.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.399% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4628
Score SMA
0.4459
Rank
#39
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3486
Rank Norm SMA
0.2431
Calculé le
03/11/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1559 | r1h: 0.686% · r4h: -2.925% · r1d: -9.83% · r3d: -14.68% · ema21_slope: -0.3406% · dist_ema21: -4.463% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2517 | rs_1h: 0.664% · rs_4h: -2.695% · rs_1d: -7.99% · rs_3d: -14.39% · beta_24h: -0.280 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4759 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.291 · trend: 115.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9462 | ADX: 53.5 (trend) · Chop: 21.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.511% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4457
Score SMA
0.4073
Rank
#29
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5356
Rank Norm SMA
0.2591
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0335 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.016% · r1d: -10.99% · r3d: -15.99% · ema21_slope: -0.5536% · dist_ema21: -10.378% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0867 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.160% · rs_1d: -8.85% · rs_3d: -15.73% · beta_24h: 0.806 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.56× · zscore_50: 4.277 · trend: 147.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7782 | ADX: 33.4 (trend) · Chop: 32.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9726 | ATR%: 3.082% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.628%
(0.0008)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.695% | 0.2R | -0.235% | 0.1R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.553% | 0.4R | -0.235% | 0.1R | 6.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.553% | 0.4R | -1.783% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.553% | 0.4R | -1.783% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.553% | 0.4R | -1.783% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.712% | 0.8R | -1.783% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.283% | 0.9R | -8.027% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.283% | 0.9R | -10.650% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.482% | 2.3R | -10.650% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 729 min
MAE in 1054 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.52
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 55% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -3.78% | -0.94 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -1.35% | -0.59 | 02/11 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.48 | range_low | -0.53% | -0.31 | 02/11 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489640
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.445 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 37b -3.2ATR | — | — | 2.53 | 94% | ↑ +0.19 | below_value | -6.16 | — | #230431 | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#491011
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.506 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 55% | late 18b -4.6ATR | — | — | 3.56 | 96% | ↑ +0.73 | below_value | -8.38 | — | #231022 | 0.53 | bear_high | -3.78% | -0.94 |
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 23:17
|
|
1h
anchor #491343
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.532 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 1b -2.8ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.85 | 92% | ↑ +0.30 | below_value | -7.53 | — | #231217 | 0.63 | bear_medium | -1.35% | -0.59 |
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 00:11
|
|
15m
#491276
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.753 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early 3b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.08 | 9% | ↔ +0.11 | below_value | -8.38 | — | #231022 | 0.48 | range_low | -0.53% | -0.31 |
02/11 23:45
upd 03/11 00:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 37b | — | 20.973×ATR | p100 | -3.183×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 7.157×ATR | p93 | -4.62×ATR | p100 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.752×ATR | p16 | -2.822×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.529×ATR | p2 | -1.277×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.02341619
- tp_price: 0.02203988
- atr: 0.00032447
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T11:15:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 62
- total: 64
- score: 0.1928
- delta_2h: -0.0332
- extension_atr: -2.81
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3704
- confidence: 0.968
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0226 | 0.02342 | 0.02204 | 0.68 | 0.01647 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0226
- Stop Loss: 0.02342
- Take Profit: 0.02204
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02342 - 0.0226 = 0.00082
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0226 - 0.02204 = 0.00056
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00056 / 0.00082 = 0.6829
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 222.9317 | 100 | 9862.0545 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00082
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00082 = 9756.1
Taille de position USD = 9756.1 x 0.0226 = 220.49
Donc, tu peux acheter 9756.1 avec un stoploss a 0.02342
Avec un position size USD de 220.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 9756.1 x 0.00082 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 9756.1 x 0.00056 = 5.46
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.46$
Résumé
- Taille de position 9756.1
- Taille de position USD 220.49
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.46
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6829
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 5.52 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.63 % | 8.09 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.6 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7832 % | 49.15 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0226 | 0.02342 | 0.02204 | 0.68 | 0.01647 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0226
- Stop Loss: 0.02342
- Take Profit: 0.02204
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02342 - 0.0226 = 0.00082
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0226 - 0.02204 = 0.00056
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00056 / 0.00082 = 0.6829
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.628%
(0.0008)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.695% | 0.2R | -0.235% | 0.1R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.553% | 0.4R | -0.235% | 0.1R | 6.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.553% | 0.4R | -1.783% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.553% | 0.4R | -1.783% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.553% | 0.4R | -1.783% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.712% | 0.8R | -1.783% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.283% | 0.9R | -8.027% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.283% | 0.9R | -10.650% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.482% | 2.3R | -10.650% | 2.9R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 729 min
MAE in 1054 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.