Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.16 ZEC at 1129.9$ per unit. Take profit: 1101.6525 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1180.0724 (4.44 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 01:15:12
hyperliquid
ZEC
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 01:15
→ 06:30
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1129.9$
Qty 0.1595 ZEC
Size 180.1626$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1101.6525 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.5$
SL 1180.0724 (-4.44%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.56
Status
loss
PnL
-4.44%
/ -8$
MAE -5.76%
MFE +0.50%
0.1R
expires
03 Nov 07:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242531)
#61 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 01:00
score du 03/11/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1681
Quality Score
0.390
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#61 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#61 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.44 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.30×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.17×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.07×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.42
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
558.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 01:03
03/11 01:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/11 19:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7696
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
33.3%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.014
Δ 1h
→+0.014
Δ 4h
▲+0.160
Δ 12h
▲+0.222
Δ 24h
▼-0.176
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 25.0% |
| 1h | 10.4% |
| 4h | 25.0% |
| 24h | 8.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 25.0% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 64.6% | -0.42% |
| 24h | 18.8% | -3.69% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.31
Tail ↓
+0.28
Dispersion :
0.080
Universe :
48
(-1 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-1 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 01:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3335
Score SMA
0.4301
Rank
#26
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6094
Rank Norm SMA
0.7253
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3275 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.07% · r3d: -10.65% · ema21_slope: -0.0055% · dist_ema21: -8.117% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3009 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.13% · rs_3d: -9.96% · beta_24h: 2.711 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4986 | rvol_20: 1.59× · zscore_50: 0.695 · trend: 8.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4019 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 66.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.801% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.3895
Score SMA
0.5426
Rank
#61
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1681
Rank Norm SMA
0.6261
Calculé le
03/11/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2048 | r1h: -0.572% · r4h: -1.276% · r1d: -11.30% · r3d: -10.27% · ema21_slope: -0.4703% · dist_ema21: -3.844% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2848 | rs_1h: -0.191% · rs_4h: -0.667% · rs_1d: -9.13% · rs_3d: -9.50% · beta_24h: 3.010 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2037 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.248 · trend: -34.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8430 | ADX: 41.2 (trend) · Chop: 31.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.899% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4022
Score SMA
0.5367
Rank
#47
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2521
Rank Norm SMA
0.7226
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3054 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.053% · r1d: -11.21% · r3d: -10.25% · ema21_slope: -0.2454% · dist_ema21: -7.438% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2800 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.092% · rs_1d: -9.07% · rs_3d: -9.98% · beta_24h: 2.458 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4072 | rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: -0.086 · trend: 41.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5535 | ADX: 14.9 (weak) · Chop: 46.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7608 | ATR%: 3.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.440%
(50.1724)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.257% | 0.1R | -0.752% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.257% | 0.1R | -1.213% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -2.425% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.496% | 0.1R | -5.762% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -7.735% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -8.859% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -11.550% | 2.6R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -19.798% | 4.5R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -19.798% | 4.5R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 144 min
MAE in 1409 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.24
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.08 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -3.78% | -0.66 | 02/11 19:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.72 | bear_medium | -1.69% | -0.68 | 03/11 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.74 | bear_low | -0.85% | -0.13 | 03/11 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489643
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.536 | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 15b -0.9ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 1.59 | 91% | ↔ +0.06 | below_value | -4.43 | — | #230432 | 0.58 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.08 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
|
|
4h
#491014
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.497 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 5b -2.4ATR | near -1.2ATR | — | 1.07 | 68% | ↑ +0.55 | below_value | -6.63 | — | #231023 | 0.63 | bear_high | -3.78% | -0.66 |
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 23:18
|
|
1h
anchor #491680
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.467 | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 9b -1.7ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.41 | 56% | ↔ +0.03 | below_value | -5.57 | inside | #231348 | 0.72 | bear_medium | -1.69% | -0.68 |
03/11 00:00
upd 03/11 01:12
|
|
15m
#491614
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.744 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 6b -1.1ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.75 | 52% | ↔ +0.01 | below_value | -6.28 | — | #231218 | 0.74 | bear_low | -0.85% | -0.13 |
03/11 00:45
upd 03/11 01:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 0.781×ATR | p0 | -0.909×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.564×ATR | p56 | -2.411×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 1.599×ATR | p14 | -1.713×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.579×ATR | p3 | -1.102×ATR | p57 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1180.07244476
- tp_price: 1101.6525
- atr: 20.0689779
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T12:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 58
- total: 64
- score: 0.1943
- delta_2h: -0.06
- extension_atr: -1.95
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1641
- confidence: 0.905
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1129.9 | 1180.0724 | 1101.6525 | 0.56 | 855.21 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1129.9
- Stop Loss: 1180.0724
- Take Profit: 1101.6525
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1180.0724 - 1129.9 = 50.1724
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1129.9 - 1101.6525 = 28.2475
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 28.2475 / 50.1724 = 0.563
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 180.1626 | 100 | 0.1595 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 50.1724
Taille de position = 8 / 50.1724 = 0.16
Taille de position USD = 0.16 x 1129.9 = 180.78
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.16 avec un stoploss a 1180.0724
Avec un position size USD de 180.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.16 x 50.1724 = 8.03
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.16 x 28.2475 = 4.52
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.52$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.16
- Taille de position USD 180.78
- Perte potentielle 8.03
- Gain potentiel 4.52
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.563
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.5 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.44 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.44 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5579 % | 102.65 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1129.9 | 1180.0724 | 1101.6525 | 0.56 | 855.21 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1129.9
- Stop Loss: 1180.0724
- Take Profit: 1101.6525
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1180.0724 - 1129.9 = 50.1724
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1129.9 - 1101.6525 = 28.2475
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 28.2475 / 50.1724 = 0.563
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1101.6525
[entry_price] => 1129.9
[stop_loss] => 1185.08964
[rr_ratio] => 0.51
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 11:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1101.6525
[entry_price] => 1129.9
[stop_loss] => 1190.10688
[rr_ratio] => 0.47
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 12:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.440%
(50.1724)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.257% | 0.1R | -0.752% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.257% | 0.1R | -1.213% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -2.425% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.496% | 0.1R | -5.762% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -7.735% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -8.859% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -11.550% | 2.6R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -19.798% | 4.5R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.496% | 0.1R | -19.798% | 4.5R | 0.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 144 min
MAE in 1409 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.