03 Nov 2026 at 01:39:11 hyperliquid

Short Trade on INJ (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 48.16 INJ at 6.984$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5687 (5.95 %) & Stop Loss: 7.1501 (2.38 %)

INJ SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 01:39 → 04:20 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 6.984$

Qty 48.1603 INJ

Size 336.3517$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 6.5687 (+5.95%)

TP $ 20$

SL 7.1501 (-2.38%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -2.38% / -8$ MAE -6.34% MFE +0.48% 0.2R expires 03 Nov 13:39

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 242487)
#41 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6242

Quality Score
0.442
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#41 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#41 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.38 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.29×ATR
4h near -0.60×ATR
1d near 0.35×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 01:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/11 19:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/11 00:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7698
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro bear

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 42.4%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h mixed Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.002
Δ 1h
▲+0.131
Δ 4h
▲+0.250
Δ 12h
▲+0.292
Δ 24h
▲+0.053

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 77.1%
1h 22.9%
4h 50.0%
24h 10.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 66.7% +0.08%
4h 64.6% +0.02%
24h 25.0% -3.03%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.1%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
2.1%
Tail ↑
+0.29
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion : 0.069
Universe : 48 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 01:31 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3029
Score SMA
0.3476
Rank
#34 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4844
Rank Norm SMA
0.4910
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3168 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.86% · r3d: -2.80% · ema21_slope: -0.4111% · dist_ema21: -9.109%
Force Relative 25% 0.4146 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.92% · rs_3d: -2.11% · beta_24h: 2.601
Volume 20% 0.1375 rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.937 · trend: -57.38%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5112 ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 52.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.472% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.4420
Score SMA
0.5008
Rank
#41 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6242
Rank Norm SMA
0.4317
Calculé le
03/11/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3974 r1h: -0.510% · r4h: 0.185% · r1d: -2.82% · r3d: -1.32% · ema21_slope: -0.1377% · dist_ema21: -0.445%
Force Relative 25% 0.4985 rs_1h: -0.129% · rs_4h: 0.793% · rs_1d: -0.65% · rs_3d: -0.55% · beta_24h: 2.896
Volume 20% 0.1838 rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.717 · trend: -26.31%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4093 ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 67.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.445% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/11/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4144
Score SMA
0.4308
Rank
#42 / 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3465
Rank Norm SMA
0.3070
Calculé le
02/11/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3140 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.320% · r1d: -3.86% · r3d: -2.40% · ema21_slope: -0.2415% · dist_ema21: -3.257%
Force Relative 25% 0.4003 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.464% · rs_1d: -1.72% · rs_3d: -2.14% · beta_24h: 1.145
Volume 20% 0.2963 rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: -0.440 · trend: -39.71%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4236 ADX: 15.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.4 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.9734 ATR%: 3.080% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.378% (0.1661)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.481% 0.2R -1.037% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +0.481% 0.2R -1.150% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +0.481% 0.2R -2.732% 1.2R 0.2× 48
8h +0.481% 0.2R -6.337% 2.7R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.481% 0.2R -6.337% 2.7R 0.1× 144
24h +0.481% 0.2R -7.172% 3.0R 0.1× 288
36h +0.481% 0.2R -13.044% 5.5R 0.0× 432
48h +0.481% 0.2R -16.151% 6.8R 0.0× 576
72h +0.481% 0.2R -22.942% 9.7R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 35 min MAE in 2110 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.45
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 30% mid near 0.3ATR — 0.57 bear_high -1.23% -0.61 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.53 bear_high -3.78% -0.18 02/11 19:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 34% early near 0.3ATR near 0.2ATR 0.63 bear_medium -1.69% -0.07 03/11 00:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind normal range_medium
39%
noisy_chop 38% early — near -0.5ATR 0.68 range_low -0.73% +0.07 03/11 01:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489509
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.658 compression bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 30% mid 12b -1.1ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.24 43% ↓ -0.82 value -1.84 — #230385 0.57 bear_high -1.23% -0.61
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:18
4h
#490909
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.477 compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 38% mid 14b -1.3ATR near -0.6ATR — 1.20 27% ↔ +0.11 value -1.97 — #230978 0.53 bear_high -3.78% -0.18
02/11 19:00
upd 02/11 23:12
1h anchor
#491635
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.417 expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 34% early 3b -0.3ATR near 0.3ATR near 0.2ATR 0.25 9% ↓ -0.22 value -1.69 — #231303 0.63 bear_medium -1.69% -0.07
03/11 00:00
upd 03/11 01:09
15m
#491768
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.693 normal range_medium
39%
noisy_chop 38% early 7b 0.3ATR — near -0.5ATR 1.99 91% ↔ +0.07 value -1.69 — #231303 0.68 range_low -0.73% +0.07
03/11 01:15
upd 03/11 01:30
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 12b — 3.696×ATR p20 -1.107×ATR p62
4h ↓ down mid 14b — 2.752×ATR p49 -1.34×ATR p77
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.632×ATR p9 -0.312×ATR p23
15m ↓ down early 7b — 1.769×ATR p5 +0.273×ATR p15

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.728
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.95×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 7.15011185
  5. tp_price: 6.56872037
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.72797164816508
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-03T18:39:03.805118
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.72797164816508
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0656
  14. obi_top10 : -0.07
  15. micro_price : 7.0159815
  16. spread_pct : 0.028514
  17. mid_price : 7.015
  18. bid_wall_price : 6.95
  19. bid_wall_size : 36886.2
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 7.06
  22. ask_wall_size : 33316.66
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0254
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0902
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7158
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    7.2831
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    6.9978
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    7.14045
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793559600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793685600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.9529
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    36
  43. balance_zone_quality: loose
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.728
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793682000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    6.9978
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6667
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.1428
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    3
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    7
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.09661851
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1428

Signaux confirmants (4)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 01:39 6.98400000 0%
2 01:46 6.98400000 0%
3 01:53 6.98400000 0%
4 02:02 6.98400000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7158ms Confidence avant OB : 73% → 73%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.066
avg -0.025 ± 0.090
OBI Top 10 -0.070

Microstructure

Mid Price
7.0150
Micro Price
7.0160
Spread
0.0285%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
6.9500
Size
36,886.20

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
7.0600
Size
33,316.66

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
6.984 7.1501 6.5687 2.5 7.1349
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 6.984
  • Stop Loss: 7.1501
  • Take Profit: 6.5687

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.1501 - 6.984 = 0.1661

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 6.984 - 6.5687 = 0.4153

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4153 / 0.1661 = 2.5003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
336.3517 100 48.1603 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1661

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1661 = 48.16

Taille de position USD = 48.16 x 6.984 = 336.35

Donc, tu peux acheter 48.16 avec un stoploss a 7.1501

Avec un position size USD de 336.35$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 48.16 x 0.1661 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 48.16 x 0.4153 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 48.16
  • Taille de position USD 336.35
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.95 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.38 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.5644 % 107.82 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
6.984 7.1501 6.5687 2.5 7.1349
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 6.984
  • Stop Loss: 7.1501
  • Take Profit: 6.5687

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 7.1501 - 6.984 = 0.1661

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 6.984 - 6.5687 = 0.4153

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4153 / 0.1661 = 2.5003

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.5687
            [entry_price] => 6.984
            [stop_loss] => 7.16671
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 09:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.5687
            [entry_price] => 6.984
            [stop_loss] => 7.18332
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 11:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.5687
            [entry_price] => 6.984
            [stop_loss] => 7.19993
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 11:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 6.5687
            [entry_price] => 6.984
            [stop_loss] => 7.23315
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 11:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.378% (0.1661)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.481% 0.2R -1.037% 0.4R 0.5× 12
2h +0.481% 0.2R -1.150% 0.5R 0.4× 24
4h +0.481% 0.2R -2.732% 1.2R 0.2× 48
8h +0.481% 0.2R -6.337% 2.7R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.481% 0.2R -6.337% 2.7R 0.1× 144
24h +0.481% 0.2R -7.172% 3.0R 0.1× 288
36h +0.481% 0.2R -13.044% 5.5R 0.0× 432
48h +0.481% 0.2R -16.151% 6.8R 0.0× 576
72h +0.481% 0.2R -22.942% 9.7R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 35 min MAE in 2110 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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