Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 10.24 VVV at 20.688$ per unit. Take profit: 20.1708 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 21.4689 (3.77 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 04:15:12
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 04:15
→ 06:30
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 20.688$
Qty 10.2446 VVV
Size 211.9412$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 20.1708 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.3$
SL 21.4689 (-3.77%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.66
Status
loss
PnL
-3.77%
/ -8$
MAE -9.12%
MFE +1.10%
0.3R
expires
03 Nov 10:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242780)
#12 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 04:00
score du 03/11/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3447
Quality Score
0.514
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#12 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 64
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -2.39×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.47×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.81
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
8.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 04:02
03/11 04:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 03:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7708
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
19.4%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.159
Δ 4h
▼-0.125
Δ 12h
→+0.045
Δ 24h
→+0.023
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 62.5% |
| 1h | 10.4% |
| 4h | 14.6% |
| 24h | 10.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 64.6% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 35.4% | -0.81% |
| 24h | 18.8% | -4.24% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.1%
Down ≥1σ
4.2%
Expansion
6.3%
Tail ↑
+0.65
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion :
0.132
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 04:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2220
Score SMA
0.3316
Rank
#56
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1406
Rank Norm SMA
0.4039
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1967 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.81% · r3d: -5.90% · ema21_slope: -0.3596% · dist_ema21: -11.088% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2638 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.87% · rs_3d: -5.21% · beta_24h: 2.149 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1249 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -1.126 · trend: -55.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4805 | ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 59.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.762% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5138
Score SMA
0.4958
Rank
#12
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3447
Rank Norm SMA
0.4023
Calculé le
03/11/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1792 | r1h: -2.522% · r4h: -4.911% · r1d: -8.20% · r3d: -7.19% · ema21_slope: -0.1879% · dist_ema21: -4.385% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1827 | rs_1h: -2.267% · rs_4h: -4.492% · rs_1d: -6.16% · rs_3d: -6.28% · beta_24h: 2.550 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 7.09× · zscore_50: 6.115 · trend: 242.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6699 | ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 42.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.576% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3807
Score SMA
0.4267
Rank
#56
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1825
Rank Norm SMA
0.2849
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2403 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.771% · r1d: -5.57% · r3d: -5.22% · ema21_slope: -0.3221% · dist_ema21: -5.702% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3119 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.628% · rs_1d: -3.94% · rs_3d: -4.56% · beta_24h: 2.086 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2748 | rvol_20: 1.15× · zscore_50: -0.522 · trend: -45.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5488 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 48.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9333 | ATR%: 3.200% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.775%
(0.7809)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -0.773% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -2.992% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -6.632% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.102% | 0.3R | -9.121% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -9.121% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -10.441% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -19.374% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -19.374% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.867% | 1.0R | -19.374% | 5.1R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 54 min
MAE in 1429 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.15 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -2.4ATR | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.57 | 02/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_medium | -1.63% | -0.54 | 03/11 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.71% | -0.37 | 03/11 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489625
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.532 | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 11b -1.2ATR | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.38 | 32% | ↓ -0.47 | below_value | -14.73 | — | #230424 | 0.39 | bear_high | -1.23% | +0.15 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:23
|
|
4h
#492393
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.763 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 13b -2.3ATR | near -2.4ATR | — | 1.15 | 22% | ↔ +0.04 | below_value | -15.01 | inside | #231600 | 0.55 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.57 |
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:15
|
|
1h
anchor #492744
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.500 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 7b -3.1ATR | — | — | 7.09 | 99% | ↓ -0.22 | below_value | -15.70 | inside | #231793 | 0.57 | bear_medium | -1.63% | -0.54 |
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 04:10
|
|
15m
#492678
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.390 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 2b -2.7ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.94 | 93% | ↑ +0.96 | below_value | -15.01 | — | #231600 | 0.70 | range_low | -0.71% | -0.37 |
03/11 03:45
upd 03/11 04:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.05×ATR | p25 | -1.222×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 4.239×ATR | p75 | -2.294×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.94×ATR | p77 | -3.142×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 0.751×ATR | p7 | -2.696×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 21.468896
- tp_price: 20.1708
- atr: 0.3123584
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T15:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 63
- total: 64
- score: 0.1867
- delta_2h: -0.1327
- extension_atr: -2.42
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3541
- confidence: 0.984
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:15 | 20.68800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:15 | 20.51200000 | -0.851% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.688 | 21.4689 | 20.1708 | 0.66 | 17.071 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 20.688
- Stop Loss: 21.4689
- Take Profit: 20.1708
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 21.4689 - 20.688 = 0.7809
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 20.688 - 20.1708 = 0.5172
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5172 / 0.7809 = 0.6623
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 211.9412 | 100 | 10.2446 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.7809
Taille de position = 8 / 0.7809 = 10.24
Taille de position USD = 10.24 x 20.688 = 211.85
Donc, tu peux acheter 10.24 avec un stoploss a 21.4689
Avec un position size USD de 211.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10.24 x 0.7809 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10.24 x 0.5172 = 5.3
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.3$
Résumé
- Taille de position 10.24
- Taille de position USD 211.85
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.3
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6623
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.3 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.77 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.77 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.1618 % | 110.26 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.688 | 21.4689 | 20.1708 | 0.66 | 17.071 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 20.688
- Stop Loss: 21.4689
- Take Profit: 20.1708
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 21.4689 - 20.688 = 0.7809
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 20.688 - 20.1708 = 0.5172
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5172 / 0.7809 = 0.6623
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 20.1708
[entry_price] => 20.688
[stop_loss] => 21.54699
[rr_ratio] => 0.6
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 11:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 20.1708
[entry_price] => 20.688
[stop_loss] => 21.62508
[rr_ratio] => 0.55
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 11:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 20.1708
[entry_price] => 20.688
[stop_loss] => 21.70317
[rr_ratio] => 0.51
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 11:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 20.1708
[entry_price] => 20.688
[stop_loss] => 21.85935
[rr_ratio] => 0.44
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 12:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.775%
(0.7809)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -0.773% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -2.992% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -6.632% | 1.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.102% | 0.3R | -9.121% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -9.121% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -10.441% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -19.374% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.102% | 0.3R | -19.374% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.867% | 1.0R | -19.374% | 5.1R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 54 min
MAE in 1429 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.