Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 60.1 NEAR at 3.797$ per unit. Take profit: 3.7016 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.9296 (3.51 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 04:15:13
hyperliquid
NEAR
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 04:15
→ 07:50
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 3.7965$
Qty 60.0983 NEAR
Size 228.1631$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 3.7016 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.7$
SL 3.9296 (-3.51%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.71
Status
loss
PnL
-3.51%
/ -8$
MAE -3.75%
MFE +0.02%
0.0R
expires
03 Nov 10:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 242762)
#55 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 04:00
score du 03/11/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0951
Quality Score
0.410
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#55 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#55 / 64
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.05×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
balanced
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.81
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
132.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 04:00
03/11 04:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 03:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7708
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
19.4%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.159
Δ 4h
▼-0.125
Δ 12h
→+0.045
Δ 24h
→+0.023
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 62.5% |
| 1h | 10.4% |
| 4h | 14.6% |
| 24h | 10.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 64.6% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 35.4% | -0.81% |
| 24h | 18.8% | -4.24% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.1%
Down ≥1σ
4.2%
Expansion
6.3%
Tail ↑
+0.65
Tail ↓
+0.30
Dispersion :
0.132
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 04:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2482
Score SMA
0.3329
Rank
#49
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2500
Rank Norm SMA
0.4560
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2216 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.86% · r3d: -9.90% · ema21_slope: -0.6907% · dist_ema21: -15.184% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2162 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -7.91% · rs_3d: -9.21% · beta_24h: 3.403 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2306 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.716 · trend: -29.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5437 | ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.214% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4096
Score SMA
0.5088
Rank
#55
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0951
Rank Norm SMA
0.4707
Calculé le
03/11/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2082 | r1h: 0.024% · r4h: -1.229% · r1d: -8.48% · r3d: -12.61% · ema21_slope: -0.3600% · dist_ema21: -2.893% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3169 | rs_1h: 0.279% · rs_4h: -0.809% · rs_1d: -6.43% · rs_3d: -11.69% · beta_24h: 1.559 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2957 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.023 · trend: -7.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7251 | ADX: 44.6 (trend) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.494% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3611
Score SMA
0.4349
Rank
#57
/ 64
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1032
Rank Norm SMA
0.3093
Calculé le
03/11/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1438 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.121% · r1d: -7.86% · r3d: -12.38% · ema21_slope: -0.4770% · dist_ema21: -8.801% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2326 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.978% · rs_1d: -6.23% · rs_3d: -11.72% · beta_24h: 0.881 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3737 | rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: -0.063 · trend: -8.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6680 | ADX: 20.2 (weak) · Chop: 35.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8484 | ATR%: 3.455% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.506%
(0.1331)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -1.475% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -1.897% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -3.535% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.024% | 0.0R | -3.751% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -3.751% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -3.751% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.705% | 0.8R | -7.604% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.705% | 0.8R | -12.612% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.515% | 1.3R | -12.612% | 3.6R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1064 min
MAE in 1439 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.02
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.95 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.55 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.83 | 02/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.68 | bear_medium | -1.63% | -0.57 | 03/11 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.66 | range_low | -0.71% | -0.07 | 03/11 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489585
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.643 | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 21b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.82 | 78% | ↓ -0.39 | below_value | -7.13 | — | #230407 | 0.51 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.95 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:22
|
|
4h
#492355
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.501 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 15b -3.3ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 1.27 | 38% | ↑ +0.36 | below_value | -9.23 | — | #231582 | 0.55 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.83 |
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:13
|
|
1h
anchor #492726
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.492 | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 31b -2.1ATR | — | — | 0.75 | 58% | ↓ -0.49 | below_value | -9.32 | inside | #231776 | 0.68 | bear_medium | -1.63% | -0.57 |
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 04:09
|
|
15m
#492661
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.419 | expansion | bear_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 1b -0.2ATR | — | — | 1.29 | 79% | ↔ -0.06 | below_value | -9.23 | — | #231582 | 0.66 | range_low | -0.71% | -0.07 |
03/11 03:45
upd 03/11 04:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 4.55×ATR | p55 | -1.606×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 5.954×ATR | p90 | -3.272×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 31b | — | 9.999×ATR | p100 | -2.129×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.575×ATR | p0 | -0.235×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 3.92961531
- tp_price: 3.7015875
- atr: 0.05324612
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T15:15:13+00:00
Details
- rank: 61
- total: 64
- score: 0.2082
- delta_2h: -0.0008
- extension_atr: -1.61
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1051
- confidence: 0.952
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.7965 | 3.9296 | 3.7016 | 0.71 | 2.9354 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.7965
- Stop Loss: 3.9296
- Take Profit: 3.7016
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.9296 - 3.7965 = 0.1331
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.7965 - 3.7016 = 0.0949
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0949 / 0.1331 = 0.713
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 228.1631 | 100 | 60.0983 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1331
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1331 = 60.11
Taille de position USD = 60.11 x 3.7965 = 228.21
Donc, tu peux acheter 60.11 avec un stoploss a 3.9296
Avec un position size USD de 228.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 60.11 x 0.1331 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 60.11 x 0.0949 = 5.7
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.7$
Résumé
- Taille de position 60.11
- Taille de position USD 228.21
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.7
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.713
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.7 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5348 % | 100.82 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.7965 | 3.9296 | 3.7016 | 0.71 | 2.9354 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 3.7965
- Stop Loss: 3.9296
- Take Profit: 3.7016
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.9296 - 3.7965 = 0.1331
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.7965 - 3.7016 = 0.0949
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0949 / 0.1331 = 0.713
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.506%
(0.1331)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -1.475% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -1.897% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -3.535% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.024% | 0.0R | -3.751% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -3.751% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.024% | 0.0R | -3.751% | 1.1R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.705% | 0.8R | -7.604% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.705% | 0.8R | -12.612% | 3.6R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.515% | 1.3R | -12.612% | 3.6R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1064 min
MAE in 1439 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.