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Short Trade on NIL

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03 Nov 2026 at 04:37:55 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 5695.81 NIL at 0.0644$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06088 (5.45 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0658 (2.19 %)

NIL SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 04:37 → 16:30 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.06439$

Qty 5695.815 NIL

Size 366.7649$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.06088 (+5.45%)

TP $ 19.99$

SL 0.0658 (-2.19%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 2.49

Status win PnL +0.36% / +1.33$ MAE -1.10% MFE +2.26% 1.0R expires 03 Nov 16:37 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: )
#49 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15

Avg Rank 8h:

Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#49 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#49 / 52
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h — — OK
4h — — OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
625,763 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 04:31
Coin Market Regime V2

—
BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7710
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 52.1%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.310
Δ 4h
▲+0.228
Δ 12h
▲+0.281
Δ 24h
▲+0.296

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 64.6%
1h 79.2%
4h 64.6%
24h 14.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 70.8% +0.07%
4h 62.5% +0.22%
24h 25.0% -2.56%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
2.1%
Down ≥1σ
2.1%
Expansion
4.2%
Tail ↑
+0.30
Tail ↓
+0.43
Dispersion : 0.096
Universe : 48 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 04:31 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.190% (0.0014)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.217% 0.1R -1.096% 0.5R 0.2× 12
2h +0.660% 0.3R -1.096% 0.5R 0.6× 24
4h +0.868% 0.4R -1.096% 0.5R 0.8× 48
8h +1.805% 0.8R -1.096% 0.5R 1.7× 96
12h ★ +2.255% 1.0R -1.096% 0.5R 2.1× 144
24h +4.597% 2.1R -3.306% 1.5R 1.4× 288
36h +4.597% 2.1R -3.306% 1.5R 1.4× 432
48h +4.597% 2.1R -3.558% 1.6R 1.3× 576
72h +8.304% 3.8R -3.558% 1.6R 2.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1082 min MAE in 917 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.55
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7836
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.21×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.06579654
  5. tp_price: 0.06088066
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.78357423439722
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-11-03T21:37:47.871830
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.78357423439722
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.0717
  10. obi_top10 : 0.0502
  11. micro_price : 0.06445077
  12. spread_pct : 0.093153
  13. mid_price : 0.06444
  14. bid_wall_price : 0.0639
  15. bid_wall_size : 223480
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price :
  18. ask_wall_size :
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.0704
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0012
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 7031
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.0669425
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.0644225
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.0656825
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1793613600
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1793696400
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.2098
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    24
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: forming
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.7836
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1793689200
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.0644225
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.7083
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    2
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.0267
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    2
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    1
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    14
  54. regime : bear_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.00114037
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.7083
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0267

Signaux confirmants (12)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 04:37 0.06439200 +0.003%
2 04:44 0.06439200 +0.003%
3 04:51 0.06439200 +0.003%
4 04:58 0.06439200 +0.003%
5 05:08 0.06439200 +0.003%
6 07:17 0.06392100 -0.728%
7 07:24 0.06392100 -0.728%
8 07:31 0.06392100 -0.728%
9 07:40 0.06423300 -0.244%
10 07:47 0.06423300 -0.244%
11 07:54 0.06423300 -0.244%
12 08:02 0.06423300 -0.244%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7031ms Confidence avant OB : 78% → 78%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.072
avg 0.070 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.050

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0644
Micro Price
0.0645
Spread
0.0932%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0639
Size
223,480.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06439 0.0658 0.06088 2.49 0.04811
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06439
  • Stop Loss: 0.0658
  • Take Profit: 0.06088

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0658 - 0.06439 = 0.00141

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06439 - 0.06088 = 0.00351

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00351 / 0.00141 = 2.4894

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
366.7649 100 5695.815 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00141

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00141 = 5673.76

Taille de position USD = 5673.76 x 0.06439 = 365.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 5673.76 avec un stoploss a 0.0658

Avec un position size USD de 365.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5673.76 x 0.00141 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5673.76 x 0.00351 = 19.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.91$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5673.76
  • Taille de position USD 365.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.91
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4894

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.45 % 19.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.19 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
1.33 $ 0.36
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0964 % 50.07 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06439 0.0658 0.06088 2.49 0.04811
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06439
  • Stop Loss: 0.0658
  • Take Profit: 0.06088

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0658 - 0.06439 = 0.00141

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06439 - 0.06088 = 0.00351

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00351 / 0.00141 = 2.4894

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.190% (0.0014)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.217% 0.1R -1.096% 0.5R 0.2× 12
2h +0.660% 0.3R -1.096% 0.5R 0.6× 24
4h +0.868% 0.4R -1.096% 0.5R 0.8× 48
8h +1.805% 0.8R -1.096% 0.5R 1.7× 96
12h ★ +2.255% 1.0R -1.096% 0.5R 2.1× 144
24h +4.597% 2.1R -3.306% 1.5R 1.4× 288
36h +4.597% 2.1R -3.306% 1.5R 1.4× 432
48h +4.597% 2.1R -3.558% 1.6R 1.3× 576
72h +8.304% 3.8R -3.558% 1.6R 2.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1082 min MAE in 917 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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