Short Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 9531.3 ARB at 0.159$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1575 (1.07 %) & Stop Loss: 0.16 (0.5 %)
Short Trade on ARB (CatchTheWave)
With 9531.3 ARB at 0.159$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1575 (1.07 %) & Stop Loss: 0.16 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 0.1592$
Qty 9531.2984 ARB
Size 1517.0968$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1575 (+1.07%)
TP $ 16.2$
SL 0.16 (-0.5%)
SL $ 7.63$
RR 2.13
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5769
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.28×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/11 23:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 05:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.570858 15m : 0.672586 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 21.7% |
| 1h | 50.0% |
| 4h | 87.0% |
| 24h | 17.4% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 21.7% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 76.1% | +0.98% |
| 24h | 43.5% | -1.69% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1668 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.93% · r3d: -4.42% · ema21_slope: -0.7833% · dist_ema21: -9.936% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3538 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.98% · rs_3d: -3.73% · beta_24h: 2.324 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1509 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.816 · trend: -60.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5610 | ADX: 19.4 (weak) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.032% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4702 | r1h: 0.558% · r4h: 2.800% · r1d: -1.58% · r3d: -2.49% · ema21_slope: -0.1717% · dist_ema21: 0.830% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5391 | rs_1h: 0.470% · rs_4h: 2.088% · rs_1d: -0.49% · rs_3d: -2.14% · beta_24h: 1.063 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1563 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.655 · trend: -51.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6618 | ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.050% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3154 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.419% · r1d: -4.42% · r3d: -4.67% · ema21_slope: -0.2103% · dist_ema21: -4.254% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4134 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.562% · rs_1d: -2.79% · rs_3d: -4.01% · beta_24h: 0.562 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1988 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.706 · trend: -15.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5290 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.618% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.578% | 1.2R | -0.704% | 1.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.578% | 1.2R | -2.142% | 4.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.578% | 1.2R | -2.268% | 4.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.999% | 2.0R | -2.268% | 4.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.451% | 2.9R | -2.268% | 4.5R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.265% | 8.5R | -4.114% | 8.2R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.265% | 8.5R | -8.304% | 16.5R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.986% | 11.9R | -8.304% | 16.5R | 0.7× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
31%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.85 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.49 | 02/11 23:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.66 | bear_medium | -0.96% | -0.08 | 03/11 05:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | range_medium |
40%
|
ranging_calm 51% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.65 | range_low | -0.05% | +0.21 | 03/11 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489501
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.572 | compression | range_high |
31%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 40b -1.4ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.53 | 64% | ↓ -0.67 | above_value | -4.77 | inside | #230383 | 0.58 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.85 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:17
|
|
4h
#492313
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.511 | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 10b -2.0ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.24 | 1% | ↑ +0.30 | below_value | -6.55 | — | #231561 | 0.56 | bear_high | -3.85% | -0.49 |
02/11 23:00
upd 03/11 03:11
|
|
1h
anchor #493372
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.426 | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 7b 0.8ATR | near 0.1ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.20 | 12% | ↓ -0.75 | value | -4.51 | — | #232015 | 0.66 | bear_medium | -0.96% | -0.08 |
03/11 05:00
upd 03/11 06:08
|
|
15m
#493306
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.426 | normal | range_medium |
40%
|
ranging_calm 51% | late 9b 3.2ATR | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.50 | 33% | ↑ +0.38 | above_value | -4.97 | — | #231884 | 0.65 | range_low | -0.05% | +0.21 |
03/11 05:45
upd 03/11 06:00
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 40b | — | 7.127×ATR | p78 | -1.374×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 3.326×ATR | p40 | -2.046×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.305×ATR | p65 | +0.808×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 6.128×ATR | p93 | +3.23×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
76827.8
0.00506502
77217
0.570858
77114.9
0.00132375
77217
0.672586
77544.7
-0.0053619
77129
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0.15132
191
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0.2661
0.4492
1
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0.4093
0.667
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0.3
0.7
-1
8
1
0.4677
0.5815
3.551
0.55
1.864
3.3546
-0.1799
0.5268
0.2502
0.46
-0.1001
0.5354
0.52
0.7361
0.3903
-11.7352
7.5113
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:11 | 0.15917000 | -0.019% |
| 2 | 06:18 | 0.15920000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:24 | 0.15932000 | +0.075% |
| 4 | 06:32 | 0.15878000 | -0.264% |
| 5 | 06:46 | 0.15909000 | -0.069% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 03:35:00 | 0.15157 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 04:30:00 | 0.15373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-03 05:10:00 | 0.15203 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 05:40:00 | 0.15296 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-03 06:10:00 | 0.15222 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 06:30:00 | 0.15304 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-03 06:50:00 | 0.15212 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 07:45:00 | 0.15375 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-03 08:35:00 | 0.15252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 11:10:00 | 0.15996 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 13:30:00 | 0.16005 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 15:00:00 | 0.1607 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 17:45:00 | 0.15518 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 19:45:00 | 0.15418 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-02 22:00:00 | 0.15749 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 23:00:00 | 0.15517 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 00:15:00 | 0.1567 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-03 03:00:00 | 0.15132 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 04:30:00 | 0.15373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-03 11:00:00 | 0.15996 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 15:00:00 | 0.166 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-31 21:00:00 | 0.16325 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 06:00:00 | 0.1658 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 12:00:00 | 0.16234 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 15:00:00 | 0.16679 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-01 19:00:00 | 0.16139 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-01 23:00:00 | 0.16535 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-02 15:00:00 | 0.1607 | ↑ High |
| 2026-11-03 03:00:00 | 0.15132 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-11-03 11:00:00 | 0.1579 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1592 | 0.16 | 0.1575 | 2.13 | 0.1288 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.16 - 0.1592 = 0.0008
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1592 - 0.1575 = 0.0017
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0017 / 0.0008 = 2.125
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1517.0968 | 100 | 9531.2984 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0008 = 10000
Taille de position USD = 10000 x 0.1592 = 1592
Donc, tu peux acheter 10000 avec un stoploss a 0.16
Avec un position size USD de 1592$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 10000 x 0.0008 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 10000 x 0.0017 = 17
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.07 % | 16.2 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 7.63 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.62 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5905 % | 117.51 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1592 | 0.16 | 0.1575 | 2.13 | 0.1288 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.16 - 0.1592 = 0.0008
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1592 - 0.1575 = 0.0017
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0017 / 0.0008 = 2.125
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[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1575
[entry_price] => 0.1592
[stop_loss] => 0.16016
[rr_ratio] => 1.77
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 11:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1575
[entry_price] => 0.1592
[stop_loss] => 0.16024
[rr_ratio] => 1.63
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 11:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.1575
[entry_price] => 0.1592
[stop_loss] => 0.1604
[rr_ratio] => 1.42
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-11-03 12:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.578% | 1.2R | -0.704% | 1.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.578% | 1.2R | -2.142% | 4.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.578% | 1.2R | -2.268% | 4.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.999% | 2.0R | -2.268% | 4.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.451% | 2.9R | -2.268% | 4.5R | 0.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.265% | 8.5R | -4.114% | 8.2R | 1.0× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.265% | 8.5R | -8.304% | 16.5R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.986% | 11.9R | -8.304% | 16.5R | 0.7× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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