03 Nov 2026 at 07:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on XTEN (momentum_rotation_score)

With 272.42 XTEN at 0.227$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2562 (12.96 %)

XTEN SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 07:15 → 10:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2268$

Qty 272.4197 XTEN

Size 61.7875$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 61.78$

SL 0.2562 (-12.96%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status loss PnL -7.70% / -4.76$ MAE -9.60% MFE +2.61% 0.2R expires 03 Nov 10:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 242993)
#60 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 07:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4813

Quality Score
0.428
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#60 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+4
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+1
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#60 / 65
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
12.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.74×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h — — OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
expanding
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+4
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.96
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 07:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/11 05:00

Score : +1 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7720
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

0.55

transition

+1

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +4
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 76.1%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state expanding
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.080
Δ 4h
▲+0.407
Δ 12h
▲+0.240
Δ 24h
▲+0.504

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 52.2%
1h 69.6%
4h 89.1%
24h 28.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 65.2% +0.02%
4h 80.4% +0.96%
24h 47.8% -1.00%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
13.0%
Down ≥1σ
2.2%
Expansion
15.2%
Tail ↑
+0.51
Tail ↓
+0.54
Dispersion : 0.162
Universe : 46 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 07:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4279
Score SMA
0.4886
Rank
#60 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4813
Rank Norm SMA
0.4452
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2529 r1h: -2.586% · r4h: 10.250% · r1d: -18.14% · r3d: -19.08% · ema21_slope: -0.8081% · dist_ema21: -3.660%
Force Relative 25% 0.2679 rs_1h: -2.571% · rs_4h: 9.882% · rs_1d: -17.15% · rs_3d: -18.43% · beta_24h: -0.473
Volume 20% 0.4532 rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: 0.335 · trend: 94.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8565 ADX: 42.8 (trend) · Chop: 33.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5325 ATR%: 4.402% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4063
Score SMA
0.4540
Rank
#56 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1840
Rank Norm SMA
0.3334
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2677 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 10.250% · r1d: -18.14% · r3d: -19.08% · ema21_slope: -0.6181% · dist_ema21: -11.334%
Force Relative 25% 0.2935 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 9.882% · rs_1d: -17.15% · rs_3d: -18.43% · beta_24h: 3.356
Volume 20% 0.7178 rvol_20: 5.71× · zscore_50: 0.000 · trend: 38.34%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7155 ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.786% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -12.963% (0.0294)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.610% 0.2R -1.336% 0.1R 2.0× 12
2h +2.610% 0.2R -6.411% 0.5R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +2.610% 0.2R -9.599% 0.7R 0.3× 36
4h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 48
8h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 144
24h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 288
48h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 576
72h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 39 min MAE in 224 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.49
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d —
4h —
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — — bear_medium -0.96% -0.92 03/11 05:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate explosive expansion bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 42% early — near -0.3ATR -0.05 range_low -0.06% +0.73 03/11 06:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d Pas de snapshot
4h Pas de snapshot
1h anchor
#493567
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced 0.425 expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 45% mid 3b -0.3ATR — — 1.03 83% ↑ +0.65 below_value -4.85 — #232073 — bear_medium -0.96% -0.92
03/11 05:00
upd 03/11 06:38
15m
#493704
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate explosive 0.772 expansion bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 42% early 7b 0.8ATR — near -0.3ATR 0.02 32% ↓ -0.64 below_value -4.85 — #232073 -0.05 range_low -0.06% +0.73
03/11 06:45
upd 03/11 07:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1h ↑ up mid 3b — 3.128×ATR p65 -0.311×ATR p38
15m ↑ up early 7b — 1.088×ATR p7 +0.782×ATR p34

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.25617645
  2. atr: 0.00978882
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T15:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 62
  2. total: 65
  3. score: 0.2889
  4. confidence: 0.953

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2268 0.2562 0.1989
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2268
  • Stop Loss: 0.2562
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2562 - 0.2268 = 0.0294

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2268 - = 0.2268

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2268 / 0.0294 = 7.7143

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
61.7875 61.7875 272.4197 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0294

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0294 = 272.11

Taille de position USD = 272.11 x 0.2268 = 61.71

Donc, tu peux acheter 272.11 avec un stoploss a 0.2562

Avec un position size USD de 61.71$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 272.11 x 0.0294 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 272.11 x 0.2268 = 61.71

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 61.71$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 272.11
  • Taille de position USD 61.71
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 61.71
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 7.7143

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 61.78 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
12.96 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-4.76 $ -7.70
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-9.5988 % 74.05 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2268 0.2562 0.1989
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2268
  • Stop Loss: 0.2562
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2562 - 0.2268 = 0.0294

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2268 - = 0.2268

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2268 / 0.0294 = 7.7143

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -12.963% (0.0294)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.610% 0.2R -1.336% 0.1R 2.0× 12
2h +2.610% 0.2R -6.411% 0.5R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +2.610% 0.2R -9.599% 0.7R 0.3× 36
4h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 48
8h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 144
24h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 288
48h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 576
72h +2.610% 0.2R -12.668% 1.0R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 39 min MAE in 224 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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