03 Nov 2026 at 09:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 45.35 LIT at 3.247$ per unit. Take profit: 3.328 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.0704 (5.43 %)

LIT LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 09:15 → 10:40 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 3.2468$

Qty 45.3468 LIT

Size 147.2319$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 3.328 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.68$

SL 3.0704 (-5.43%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.46

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.68$ MAE -0.00% MFE +6.91% 1.3R expires 03 Nov 15:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 243178)
#8 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7755

Quality Score
0.649
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.65×ATR
4h near 0.16×ATR
1d clear 1.91×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.92
OK
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
25.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 09:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

03/11 03:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

03/11 08:00

Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7728
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

-2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 84.1%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.029
Δ 4h
▲+0.306
Δ 12h
▲+0.667
Δ 24h
▲+0.530

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 37.0%
1h 73.9%
4h 91.3%
24h 50.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 37.0% -0.03%
4h 71.7% +1.92%
24h 54.4% +0.02%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
50.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
50.0%
Tail ↑
+0.96
Tail ↓
+0.92
Dispersion : 0.183
Universe : 46 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+1 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 09:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3865
Score SMA
0.3193
Rank
#15 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7813
Rank Norm SMA
0.4062
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3009 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.36% · r3d: 11.22% · ema21_slope: -0.8259% · dist_ema21: -3.766%
Force Relative 25% 0.6161 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.41% · rs_3d: 11.91% · beta_24h: 2.736
Volume 20% 0.3127 rvol_20: 0.98× · zscore_50: -0.400 · trend: -2.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5310 ADX: 13.6 (weak) · Chop: 48.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.541% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6494
Score SMA
0.5358
Rank
#8 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7755
Rank Norm SMA
0.5160
Calculé le
03/11/2026 09:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8118 r1h: 2.472% · r4h: 5.554% · r1d: 6.27% · r3d: 21.77% · ema21_slope: 0.0888% · dist_ema21: 5.832%
Force Relative 25% 0.9244 rs_1h: 2.521% · rs_4h: 5.125% · rs_1d: 7.00% · rs_3d: 21.92% · beta_24h: 2.041
Volume 20% 0.7399 rvol_20: 2.78× · zscore_50: 1.086 · trend: 26.76%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6283 ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 38.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.980% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.5655
Score SMA
0.4501
Rank
#7 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8341
Rank Norm SMA
0.4446
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7024 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.210% · r1d: 1.72% · r3d: 15.43% · ema21_slope: 0.2536% · dist_ema21: 2.343%
Force Relative 25% 0.7736 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.842% · rs_1d: 2.72% · rs_3d: 16.07% · beta_24h: 2.029
Volume 20% 0.1832 rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.490 · trend: -41.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4145 ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 68.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6260 ATR%: 4.122% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.433% (0.1764)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.310% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +6.908% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +6.908% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +6.908% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +6.908% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +6.908% 1.3R -0.431% 0.1R 16.0× 144
24h +9.083% 1.7R -4.167% 0.8R 2.2× 288
48h +10.152% 1.9R -4.167% 0.8R 2.4× 576
72h +10.152% 1.9R -4.167% 0.8R 2.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1289 min MAE in 769 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.51
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.42 bear_high -1.23% -0.03 01/11 19:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression range_high
48%
noisy_chop 41% early — near 0.2ATR 0.50 bear_high -3.43% +0.88 03/11 03:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.45 range_medium -0.58% +0.61 03/11 08:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 51% late — near 0.0ATR 0.48 range_low +0.25% +0.58 03/11 08:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489653
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.503 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 35% early 12b -0.3ATR — — 0.98 60% ↑ +0.18 above_value -0.44 — #230436 0.42 bear_high -1.23% -0.03
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
4h
#493839
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.705 compression range_high
48%
noisy_chop 41% early 11b 0.6ATR — near 0.2ATR 0.53 45% ↓ -0.16 above_value +0.56 — #232197 0.50 bear_high -3.43% +0.88
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 07:18
1h anchor
#494520
↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.525 expansion bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 39% late 6b 2.8ATR — — 2.78 86% ↔ +0.09 value +2.26 — #232524 0.45 range_medium -0.58% +0.61
03/11 08:00
upd 03/11 09:12
15m
#494452
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.701 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 51% late 3b 3.5ATR — near 0.0ATR 3.61 96% ↑ +0.58 value +1.90 — #232396 0.48 range_low +0.25% +0.58
03/11 08:45
upd 03/11 09:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 12b — 2.531×ATR p0 -0.328×ATR p17
4h ↓ down early 11b — 1.36×ATR p0 +0.604×ATR p34
1h ↑ up late 6b — 4.367×ATR p87 +2.843×ATR p96
15m ↑ up late 3b — 3.502×ATR p67 +3.523×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.07038172
  2. tp_price: 3.32797
  3. atr: 0.07056731
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-03T20:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 65
  3. score: 0.6987
  4. delta_2h: 0.0389
  5. extension_atr: 1.38
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7634
  9. confidence: 0.969

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.2468 3.0704 3.328 0.46 2.9927
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.2468
  • Stop Loss: 3.0704
  • Take Profit: 3.328

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.0704 - 3.2468 = -0.1764

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.2468 - 3.328 = -0.0812

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0812 / -0.1764 = 0.4603

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
147.2319 100 45.3468 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1764

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1764 = -45.35

Taille de position USD = -45.35 x 3.2468 = -147.24

Donc, tu peux acheter -45.35 avec un stoploss a 3.0704

Avec un position size USD de -147.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -45.35 x -0.1764 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -45.35 x -0.0812 = 3.68

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.68$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -45.35
  • Taille de position USD -147.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.68
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4603

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.68 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.68 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.2468 3.0704 3.328 0.46 2.9927
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.2468
  • Stop Loss: 3.0704
  • Take Profit: 3.328

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.0704 - 3.2468 = -0.1764

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.2468 - 3.328 = -0.0812

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0812 / -0.1764 = 0.4603

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.433% (0.1764)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.310% 0.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +6.908% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +6.908% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +6.908% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +6.908% 1.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +6.908% 1.3R -0.431% 0.1R 16.0× 144
24h +9.083% 1.7R -4.167% 0.8R 2.2× 288
48h +10.152% 1.9R -4.167% 0.8R 2.4× 576
72h +10.152% 1.9R -4.167% 0.8R 2.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1289 min MAE in 769 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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