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Short Trade on MON

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03 Nov 2026 at 10:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_score)

With 10367.93 MON at 0.0171$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01791 (4.49 %)

MON SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 10:15 → 13:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.01714$

Qty 10367.932 MON

Size 177.6649$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 177.71$

SL 0.01791 (-4.49%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR

Status loss PnL -3.24% / -5.75$ MAE -4.38% MFE +0.67% 0.2R expires 03 Nov 13:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 243238)
#59 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3568

Quality Score
0.412
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#59 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d near -1.60×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.02
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 10:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

01/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

03/11 03:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/11 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7732
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.60
Transition risk : 0.40
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 79.5%
Macro btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.045
Δ 4h
▲+0.114
Δ 12h
▲+0.542
Δ 24h
▲+0.143

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 27.3%
1h 38.6%
4h 86.4%
24h 45.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 40.9% -0.07%
4h 77.3% +1.02%
24h 59.1% -0.26%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
27.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
27.3%
Tail ↑
+1.13
Tail ↓
+0.83
Dispersion : 0.202
Universe : 44 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.76
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 10:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1426
Score SMA
0.2291
Rank
#64 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0156
Rank Norm SMA
0.0729
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0238 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.50% · r3d: -10.71% · ema21_slope: -1.0128% · dist_ema21: -17.912%
Force Relative 25% 0.1143 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.56% · rs_3d: -10.02% · beta_24h: 2.162
Volume 20% 0.1417 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.874 · trend: -71.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5237 ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 62.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.324% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.4121
Score SMA
0.4862
Rank
#59 / 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3568
Rank Norm SMA
0.3458
Calculé le
03/11/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2842 r1h: -0.838% · r4h: -0.198% · r1d: -7.03% · r3d: -10.55% · ema21_slope: -0.2662% · dist_ema21: -1.825%
Force Relative 25% 0.2839 rs_1h: -0.863% · rs_4h: -0.565% · rs_1d: -6.44% · rs_3d: -10.54% · beta_24h: 0.854
Volume 20% 0.2794 rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: 0.048 · trend: -12.97%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7946 ADX: 43.4 (trend) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.529% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.4581
Score SMA
0.4369
Rank
#46 / 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3548
Rank Norm SMA
0.3079
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2299 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.929% · r1d: -6.79% · r3d: -10.58% · ema21_slope: -0.5180% · dist_ema21: -7.278%
Force Relative 25% 0.2752 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.560% · rs_1d: -5.79% · rs_3d: -9.93% · beta_24h: 2.267
Volume 20% 0.5147 rvol_20: 1.81× · zscore_50: 0.146 · trend: 21.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8124 ADX: 37.5 (trend) · Chop: 34.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9552 ATR%: 3.134% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.492% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.665% 0.2R -3.641% 0.8R 0.2× 12
2h +0.665% 0.2R -4.376% 1.0R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.665% 0.2R -4.376% 1.0R 0.2× 36
4h +0.665% 0.2R -5.601% 1.3R 0.1× 48
8h +0.665% 0.2R -6.768% 1.5R 0.1× 96
12h +0.665% 0.2R -6.768% 1.5R 0.1× 144
24h +0.665% 0.2R -11.138% 2.5R 0.1× 288
48h +0.665% 0.2R -11.138% 2.5R 0.1× 576
72h +3.372% 0.8R -11.138% 2.5R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 1044 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.22
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 42% late near -1.6ATR — 0.60 bear_high -1.23% -0.99 01/11 19:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 50% late — — 0.60 bear_high -3.43% -0.85 03/11 03:00
1h ↓ down range bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 47% mid — — 0.67 range_medium -0.54% -0.44 03/11 09:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.60 range_low +0.26% -0.21 03/11 09:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#489645
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.540 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 42% late 31b -2.6ATR near -1.6ATR — 0.43 22% ↓ -0.67 below_value -17.50 inside #230433 0.60 bear_high -1.23% -0.99
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:24
4h
#493830
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.393 compression bear_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 50% late 25b -2.9ATR — — 1.81 46% ↑ +0.64 below_value -17.80 inside #232194 0.60 bear_high -3.43% -0.85
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 07:18
1h anchor
#494847
 ↓ down range bearish_transition moderate fading 0.753 expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 47% mid 1b -1.2ATR — — 0.67 65% ↓ -0.49 below_value -17.05 — #232650 0.67 range_medium -0.54% -0.44
03/11 09:00
upd 03/11 10:11
15m
#494782
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.662 expansion bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 40% early 2b -0.5ATR — — 0.32 16% ↑ +0.70 below_value -16.00 — #232521 0.60 range_low +0.26% -0.21
03/11 09:45
upd 03/11 10:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 31b — 10.117×ATR p100 -2.572×ATR p98
4h ↓ down late 25b — 5.715×ATR p90 -2.865×ATR p95
1h ↓ down mid 1b — 1.516×ATR p3 -1.154×ATR p68
15m ↑ up early 2b — 0.935×ATR p3 -0.495×ATR p22

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.01790761
  2. atr: 0.0002572
  3. expires_at: 2026-11-03T18:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 61
  2. total: 65
  3. score: 0.2742
  4. confidence: 0.938

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01714 0.01791 0.01598
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01714
  • Stop Loss: 0.01791
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01791 - 0.01714 = 0.00077

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01714 - = 0.01714

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01714 / 0.00077 = 22.2597

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
177.6649 100 10367.932 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00077

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00077 = 10389.61

Taille de position USD = 10389.61 x 0.01714 = 178.08

Donc, tu peux acheter 10389.61 avec un stoploss a 0.01791

Avec un position size USD de 178.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10389.61 x 0.00077 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10389.61 x 0.01714 = 178.08

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 178.08$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10389.61
  • Taille de position USD 178.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 178.08
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 22.2597

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 177.71 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.49 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-5.75 $ -3.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.3757 % 97.4 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01714 0.01791 0.01598
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01714
  • Stop Loss: 0.01791
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.01791 - 0.01714 = 0.00077

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01714 - = 0.01714

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01714 / 0.00077 = 22.2597

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.01714
            [stop_loss] => 0.017987
            [rr_ratio] => 20.24
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 19:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.01714
            [stop_loss] => 0.018064
            [rr_ratio] => 18.55
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 19:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.01714
            [stop_loss] => 0.018141
            [rr_ratio] => 17.12
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-03 21:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.492% (0.0008)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.665% 0.2R -3.641% 0.8R 0.2× 12
2h +0.665% 0.2R -4.376% 1.0R 0.2× 24
3h ★ +0.665% 0.2R -4.376% 1.0R 0.2× 36
4h +0.665% 0.2R -5.601% 1.3R 0.1× 48
8h +0.665% 0.2R -6.768% 1.5R 0.1× 96
12h +0.665% 0.2R -6.768% 1.5R 0.1× 144
24h +0.665% 0.2R -11.138% 2.5R 0.1× 288
48h +0.665% 0.2R -11.138% 2.5R 0.1× 576
72h +3.372% 0.8R -11.138% 2.5R 0.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 4 min MAE in 1044 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.