Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 169.69 RUNE at 0.605$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6197 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5574 (7.81 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 10:15:15
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 10:15
→ 10:20
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 0.6046$
Qty 169.693 RUNE
Size 102.593$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6197 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.56$
SL 0.5574 (-7.81%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.32
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.56$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +10.76%
1.4R
expires
03 Nov 16:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243209)
#3 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 10:00
score du 03/11/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8647
Quality Score
0.769
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 63
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.07×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.81×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.92×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts_leading
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
stable
NO
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
WOULD SKIP
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bullish
OK
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.02
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
6.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 10:00
03/11 10:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (-3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 03/11 03:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 03/11 09:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7732
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
79.5%
Macro
btc_led_risk_off
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
→-0.045
Δ 4h
▲+0.114
Δ 12h
▲+0.542
Δ 24h
▲+0.143
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 27.3% |
| 1h | 38.6% |
| 4h | 86.4% |
| 24h | 45.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 40.9% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 77.3% | +1.02% |
| 24h | 59.1% | -0.26% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
27.3%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
27.3%
Tail ↑
+1.13
Tail ↓
+0.83
Dispersion :
0.202
Universe :
44
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 10:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4259
Score SMA
0.4669
Rank
#12
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8281
Rank Norm SMA
0.7674
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2156 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.61% · r3d: -14.05% · ema21_slope: -0.5156% · dist_ema21: -11.479% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3127 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.55% · rs_3d: -13.36% · beta_24h: 0.635 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9357 | rvol_20: 3.27× · zscore_50: 2.036 · trend: 133.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6394 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 36.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.937% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.7694
Score SMA
0.5296
Rank
#3
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8647
Rank Norm SMA
0.5507
Calculé le
03/11/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7006 | r1h: 5.706% · r4h: 5.105% · r1d: 11.88% · r3d: -13.24% · ema21_slope: 0.3242% · dist_ema21: 7.361% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7384 | rs_1h: 5.681% · rs_4h: 4.738% · rs_1d: 12.47% · rs_3d: -13.23% · beta_24h: -1.151 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8894 | rvol_20: 2.58× · zscore_50: 2.344 · trend: 147.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6891 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 44.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9338 | ATR%: 3.199% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
Score brut
0.5416
Score SMA
0.5225
Rank
#11
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8981
Rank Norm SMA
0.6271
Calculé le
03/11/2026 07:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3584 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.983% · r1d: 8.32% · r3d: -15.41% · ema21_slope: -0.7627% · dist_ema21: -1.192% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4846 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.615% · rs_1d: 9.32% · rs_3d: -14.77% · beta_24h: -2.678 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.70× · zscore_50: 4.185 · trend: 212.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6419 | ADX: 17.7 (weak) · Chop: 38.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1666 | ATR%: 5.500% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.807%
(0.0472)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +9.089% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +11.616% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +11.616% | 1.5R | -3.718% | 0.5R | 3.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 119 min
MAE in min
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.55
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.70 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.43% | -0.88 | 03/11 03:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.29 | range_medium | -0.54% | +0.77 | 03/11 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.04 | range_low | +0.26% | +0.48 | 03/11 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489567
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.587 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid 2b -1.3ATR | — | — | 3.27 | 99% | ↑ +0.82 | below_value | -4.50 | — | #230400 | 0.66 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.70 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:21
|
|
4h
#493752
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.296 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 7b -0.2ATR | — | — | 4.70 | 100% | ↑ +0.63 | above_value | +0.19 | — | #232162 | 0.49 | bear_high | -3.43% | -0.88 |
03/11 03:00
upd 03/11 07:13
|
|
1h
anchor #494817
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.662 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 5b 2.1ATR | — | near 0.1ATR | 2.58 | 99% | ↑ +0.98 | value | +1.85 | — | #232620 | 0.29 | range_medium | -0.54% | +0.77 |
03/11 09:00
upd 03/11 10:09
|
|
15m
#494752
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.451 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 3b 2.5ATR | — | — | 3.90 | 100% | ↓ -0.58 | above_value | +0.17 | — | #232491 | 0.04 | range_low | +0.26% | +0.48 |
03/11 09:45
upd 03/11 10:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 3.142×ATR | p14 | -1.294×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.635×ATR | p24 | -0.216×ATR | p14 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.425×ATR | p45 | +2.071×ATR | p89 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.341×ATR | p59 | +2.453×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6046 | 0.5574 | 0.6197 | 0.32 | 0.5076 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6046
- Stop Loss: 0.5574
- Take Profit: 0.6197
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5574 - 0.6046 = -0.0472
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6046 - 0.6197 = -0.0151
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0151 / -0.0472 = 0.3199
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102.593 | 100 | 169.693 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0472
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0472 = -169.49
Taille de position USD = -169.49 x 0.6046 = -102.47
Donc, tu peux acheter -169.49 avec un stoploss a 0.5574
Avec un position size USD de -102.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -169.49 x -0.0472 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -169.49 x -0.0151 = 2.56
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.56$
Résumé
- Taille de position -169.49
- Taille de position USD -102.47
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.56
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3199
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.56 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.81 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.56 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6046 | 0.5574 | 0.6197 | 0.32 | 0.5076 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6046
- Stop Loss: 0.5574
- Take Profit: 0.6197
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5574 - 0.6046 = -0.0472
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6046 - 0.6197 = -0.0151
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0151 / -0.0472 = 0.3199
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.807%
(0.0472)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +9.089% | 1.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 72 |
| 8h | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +10.759% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
| 48h | +11.616% | 1.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 576 |
| 72h | +11.616% | 1.5R | -3.718% | 0.5R | 3.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 119 min
MAE in min
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.