Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 680.13 WLD at 0.371$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3622 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3832 (3.18 %)
Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 680.13 WLD at 0.371$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3622 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3832 (3.18 %)
Position
Entry 0.3714$
Qty 680.1264 WLD
Size 252.6329$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3622 (+2.48%)
TP $ 6.26$
SL 0.3832 (-3.18%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.78
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3452
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.67×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.25×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 69.8% |
| 1h | 23.3% |
| 4h | 74.4% |
| 24h | 46.5% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.5% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 58.1% | +0.63% |
| 24h | 51.2% | -0.16% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1037 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.62% · r3d: -7.05% · ema21_slope: -1.2808% · dist_ema21: -16.767% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2435 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.68% · rs_3d: -6.36% · beta_24h: 2.573 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1863 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.672 · trend: -30.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6664 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 41.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.704% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3624 | r1h: -0.239% · r4h: -0.657% · r1d: -2.37% · r3d: -8.02% · ema21_slope: -0.0987% · dist_ema21: -0.411% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3453 | rs_1h: -0.604% · rs_4h: -1.407% · rs_1d: -2.58% · rs_3d: -8.16% · beta_24h: 1.358 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3543 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: 0.252 · trend: 14.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5601 | ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.328% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2622 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.657% · r1d: -2.37% · r3d: -8.02% · ema21_slope: -0.4038% · dist_ema21: -3.747% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3010 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.407% · rs_1d: -2.58% · rs_3d: -8.16% · beta_24h: 0.953 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4528 | rvol_20: 1.68× · zscore_50: 0.025 · trend: -2.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6359 | ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9889 | ATR%: 3.033% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.411% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.411% | 0.4R | -0.121% | 0.0R | 11.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.411% | 0.4R | -0.657% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.411% | 0.4R | -1.747% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.411% | 0.4R | -2.639% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.676% | 0.8R | -2.639% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.676% | 0.8R | -8.207% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.178% | 3.2R | -8.207% | 2.6R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.115% | 3.5R | -8.207% | 2.6R | 1.4× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.98 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.65% | -0.61 | 03/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.67 | range_medium | -0.18% | -0.11 | 03/11 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
28%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.63 | range_low | +0.59% | -0.06 | 03/11 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489550
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | 0.563 | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 12b -1.8ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | 59% | ↓ -0.40 | value | -4.25 | — | #230396 | 0.46 | bear_high | -1.23% | -0.98 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:20
|
|
4h
#495171
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.496 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 23b -1.5ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 1.68 | 47% | ↑ +0.75 | above_value | -5.61 | — | #232743 | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.65% | -0.61 |
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 11:13
|
|
1h
anchor #495170
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.349 | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 3b -0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.82 | 68% | ↓ -0.38 | above_value | -5.61 | — | #232743 | 0.67 | range_medium | -0.18% | -0.11 |
03/11 10:00
upd 03/11 11:13
|
|
15m
#495084
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.586 | volatile_reversal | range_medium |
28%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 4b -0.2ATR | — | — | 2.30 | 94% | ↓ -0.16 | above_value | -5.40 | — | #232616 | 0.63 | range_low | +0.59% | -0.06 |
03/11 10:45
upd 03/11 11:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 4.977×ATR | p63 | -1.792×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 23b | — | 4.03×ATR | p60 | -1.51×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.464×ATR | p0 | -0.319×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.165×ATR | p3 | -0.158×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:15 | 0.37145000 | +0.013% |
| 2 | 12:15 | 0.36845000 | -0.794% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3714 | 0.3832 | 0.3622 | 0.78 | 0.2567 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3832 - 0.3714 = 0.0118
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3714 - 0.3622 = 0.0092
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0092 / 0.0118 = 0.7797
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 252.6329 | 100 | 680.1264 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0118 = 677.97
Taille de position USD = 677.97 x 0.3714 = 251.8
Donc, tu peux acheter 677.97 avec un stoploss a 0.3832
Avec un position size USD de 251.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 677.97 x 0.0118 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 677.97 x 0.0092 = 6.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 6.26 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.18 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.98 $ | -1.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7474 % | 55 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3714 | 0.3832 | 0.3622 | 0.78 | 0.2567 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3832 - 0.3714 = 0.0118
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3714 - 0.3622 = 0.0092
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0092 / 0.0118 = 0.7797
Array
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)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.411% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.411% | 0.4R | -0.121% | 0.0R | 11.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.411% | 0.4R | -0.657% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.411% | 0.4R | -1.747% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.411% | 0.4R | -2.639% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.676% | 0.8R | -2.639% | 0.8R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.676% | 0.8R | -8.207% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.178% | 3.2R | -8.207% | 2.6R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.115% | 3.5R | -8.207% | 2.6R | 1.4× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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