Short Trade on PONS (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 663.52 PONS at 0.201$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1959 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.213 (6.02 %)
03 Nov 2026 at 12:15:08
hyperliquid
PONS
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Nov 2026 12:15
→ 18:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2009$
Qty 663.5205 PONS
Size 133.3344$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1959 (+2.49%)
TP $ 3.32$
SL 0.213 (-6.02%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.41
Status
loss
PnL
-2.62%
/ -3.5$
MAE -3.46%
MFE +0.59%
0.1R
expires
03 Nov 18:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 243435)
#59 / 61
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 12:00
score du 03/11/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1417
Quality Score
0.367
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 61
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#59 / 61
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.29×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
mixed
NO
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.46
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 12:02
03/11 12:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 01/11 19:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 03/11 07:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/11 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7740
Voir snapshot →
bear
developing
bear_expansion
| Strategic |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
43.4%
Macro
broad_risk_off
Local 4h
mixed
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.248
Δ 4h
▼-0.435
Δ 12h
▲+0.114
Δ 24h
▲+0.052
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 74.4% |
| 1h | 11.6% |
| 4h | 30.2% |
| 24h | 51.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.8% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 27.9% | -0.46% |
| 24h | 48.8% | +0.03% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.7%
Down ≥1σ
2.3%
Expansion
7.0%
Tail ↑
+0.74
Tail ↓
+0.56
Dispersion :
0.129
Universe :
43
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.76
Snapshot évalué :
03/11 12:01
· env bear_trend
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.1217
Score SMA
0.2486
Rank
#65
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1948
Calculé le
02/11/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0254 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.91% · r3d: -12.02% · ema21_slope: -1.7825% · dist_ema21: -25.558% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0807 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.97% · rs_3d: -11.33% · beta_24h: 4.327 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1503 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.935 · trend: -73.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4254 | ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 72.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 21.439% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3670
Score SMA
0.5083
Rank
#59
/ 61
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1417
Rank Norm SMA
0.4072
Calculé le
03/11/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1895 | r1h: -0.901% · r4h: -0.940% · r1d: -12.15% · r3d: -12.34% · ema21_slope: -0.4241% · dist_ema21: -2.250% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2020 | rs_1h: -0.971% · rs_4h: -1.353% · rs_1d: -12.48% · rs_3d: -12.52% · beta_24h: 3.709 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2156 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.337 · trend: -21.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7919 | ADX: 41.9 (trend) · Chop: 45.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.544% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/11/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3284
Score SMA
0.4264
Rank
#61
/ 63
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0239
Rank Norm SMA
0.3069
Calculé le
03/11/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2364 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.728% · r1d: -12.46% · r3d: -11.91% · ema21_slope: -0.6554% · dist_ema21: -9.309% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1745 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.022% · rs_1d: -12.67% · rs_3d: -12.05% · beta_24h: 3.451 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4855 | rvol_20: 1.58× · zscore_50: 0.056 · trend: 31.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6716 | ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 34.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1600 | ATR%: 5.520% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.023%
(0.0121)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -1.717% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -2.758% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -2.758% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.592% | 0.1R | -3.459% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.583% | 0.3R | -3.459% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.848% | 0.8R | -3.459% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.848% | 0.8R | -15.595% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.486% | 1.2R | -15.799% | 2.6R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.359% | 1.9R | -15.799% | 2.6R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 589 min
MAE in 1319 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.39
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 | 01/11 19:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.41 | bear_high | -2.65% | -0.80 | 03/11 07:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | range_medium | -0.10% | -0.37 | 03/11 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.57 | range_low | +0.63% | -0.09 | 03/11 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#489663
|
↔ | — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
37%
|
noisy_chop 44% | — | — | — | 0.58 | 9% | ↓ -0.37 | below_value | -5.76 | inside | #230441 | — | bear_high | -1.23% | -1.00 |
01/11 19:00
upd 02/11 19:25
|
|
4h
#495280
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.723 | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 24b -2.0ATR | — | — | 1.58 | 54% | ↑ +0.60 | below_value | -7.02 | inside | #232785 | 0.41 | bear_high | -2.65% | -0.80 |
03/11 07:00
upd 03/11 11:18
|
|
1h
anchor #495585
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.395 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 9b -0.9ATR | — | — | 0.28 | 32% | ↑ +0.22 | below_value | -7.06 | — | #232974 | 0.61 | range_medium | -0.10% | -0.37 |
03/11 11:00
upd 03/11 12:11
|
|
15m
#495520
|
↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | 0.659 | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 4b 0.1ATR | — | — | 0.51 | 67% | ↓ -0.59 | below_value | -7.02 | — | #232785 | 0.57 | range_low | +0.63% | -0.09 |
03/11 11:45
upd 03/11 12:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 4.156×ATR | p63 | -1.996×ATR | p83 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.61×ATR | p54 | -0.862×ATR | p44 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.073×ATR | p11 | +0.106×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.2130069
- tp_price: 0.19592625
- atr: 0.00482276
- expires_at: 2026-11-03T23:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 63
- total: 64
- score: 0.1895
- delta_2h: -0.0633
- extension_atr: -0.66
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1438
- confidence: 0.984
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2009 | 0.213 | 0.1959 | 0.41 | 0.121 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2009
- Stop Loss: 0.213
- Take Profit: 0.1959
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.213 - 0.2009 = 0.0121
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2009 - 0.1959 = 0.005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.005 / 0.0121 = 0.4132
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133.3344 | 100 | 663.5205 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0121
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0121 = 661.16
Taille de position USD = 661.16 x 0.2009 = 132.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 661.16 avec un stoploss a 0.213
Avec un position size USD de 132.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 661.16 x 0.0121 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 661.16 x 0.005 = 3.31
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.31$
Résumé
- Taille de position 661.16
- Taille de position USD 132.83
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.31
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4132
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 3.32 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.02 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.5 $ | -2.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4594 % | 57.44 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2009 | 0.213 | 0.1959 | 0.41 | 0.121 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2009
- Stop Loss: 0.213
- Take Profit: 0.1959
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.213 - 0.2009 = 0.0121
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2009 - 0.1959 = 0.005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.005 / 0.0121 = 0.4132
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.023%
(0.0121)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -1.717% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -2.758% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -2.758% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.592% | 0.1R | -3.459% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.583% | 0.3R | -3.459% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.848% | 0.8R | -3.459% | 0.6R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.848% | 0.8R | -15.595% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +7.486% | 1.2R | -15.799% | 2.6R | 0.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.359% | 1.9R | -15.799% | 2.6R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 589 min
MAE in 1319 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.